Tornado Watch (IRE)
Tornado Watch (IRE) is 6 from 29. Hasn't won since Aug 2018. Last raced off a career-high mark of 133.
- 6–29Wins / Runs
- 20.7%Strike rate
- 12 (41.4%)Placed
- −13.20£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 1.53Fair A/E n=29 · 1.21 incl. margin
- 133Highest OR
- 61dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 99
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 99B | 91 | — |
| Heavy | 4 | 158B | 55 | — |
| Good | 2 | 88B | 83 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 136B | 128 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 158B | 91 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 136B | 73 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 115A | 107 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 92A | 90.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 115A | 99 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 103B | 96 | — |
Of 20 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 18 figures from 20 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since Jan 2008 (333 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | +9.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 752 | 89 | 11.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,076 | 112 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 3 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 582 | 72 | 12.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 671 | 80 | 11.9% | +0.6 | 2 from 8 |
| Heavy | 228 | 18 | 7.9% | −3.4 | 1 from 9 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,024 | 117 | 11.4% | +0.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 45 | 2 | 4.4% | −6.9 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 729 | 77 | 10.6% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,103 | 127 | 11.5% | +0.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,183 | 162 | 13.7% | +2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 785 | 76 | 9.7% | −1.6 | 4 from 19 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 358 | 40 | 11.2% | −0.1 | 2 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 143 | 11 | 7.7% | −3.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 25 | 1 | 4% | −7.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Tornedo Shay (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 1m½f–2m4f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornedo Shay (IRE) | 22 | 6 | 1m6f–2m4f | — |
| Tenacious Greg (IRE) | 16 | 1 | 1m½f | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.25 |
| Soft | 8 | 2 | 25% | −2.87 |
| Good | 8 | 3 | 38% | −1.08 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.62 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tramore | 3 | 2 | 67% | +3.25 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.42 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 19 | 4 | 21% | −7.62 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 2 | 25% | −3.58 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M P Fogarty | 6 | 3 | 50% | +0.80 |
| David Mullins | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Miss R Dudfield | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.50 |
| Gary Carroll | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Alain Cawley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brian Cawley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Robbie Geoghegan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Conor Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tommy Brett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian O'Connell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J J King | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 12 | 3 | 25% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2016 | 8 | 3 | 38% | −1.20 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 20 | 5 | 25% | −6.70 |
| Flat | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.50 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Tornado Watch (IRE) won?
- Tornado Watch (IRE) won 6 of 29 archived starts between 2014 and 2018, a strike rate of 20.7%. Placed 12 times in total (41.4% of starts).
- Who trained Tornado Watch (IRE)?
- Tornado Watch (IRE) was trained by Emmet Mullins on the most recent run on record, at Ascot on 22 December 2018.
- Who is Tornado Watch (IRE)'s sire?
- Tornado Watch (IRE) is by Selkirk (USA) out of Pattimech (USA), whose sire is Nureyev.
- What going does Tornado Watch (IRE) prefer?
- Tornado Watch (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 8 starts (37.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Tornado Watch (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 133, from the run on 22 December 2018. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Tornado Watch (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Selkirk (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since Jan 2008 (333 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
- Who are Tornado Watch (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Pattimech (USA), Tornado Watch (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Tornedo Shay (IRE) (6). The wins came over 1m½f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.