What is Robbie Geoghegan's strike rate?

Robbie Geoghegan has won 9 of 177 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robbie Geoghegan do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robbie Geoghegan ride most for?

Norman Lee, with 101 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5%).

What is Robbie Geoghegan's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 177 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robbie Geoghegan

177 rides in the last 5 seasons · 65 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 22 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–177

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=177

30 (17%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=177 · 0.94 incl. margin

−49.25

£1 level stake

n=177 at SP · −27.8%

£144k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18). Rides mostly for Norman Lee — 57% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Norman Lee: 5% from 101 First rides: 6.5%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). Norman Lee supplies 57% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5%, A/E 0.93). The market has also underrated the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 3.05 across 50 rides (8% strike, +47.00 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.64 across 62 rides (3.2% strike, −28.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BoyleSports Handicap Chase at Killarney (Jul 2023, £26,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%+1.4

n=62 · A/E 2.36 · £1 +16.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+7.4

n=8 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +9.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−5.1

n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −1.75

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.8%−0.3

n=167 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −56.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.9%−2.2

n=105 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −25.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

40%+34.9

n=5 · A/E 6.18 · £1 +18.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m5f – 2m 8% vs 5.1% · n=50

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.7% vs 5.1% · n=74

On Soft going 3.2% vs 5.1% · n=62 · A/E 0.64

On first rides for the horse 6.5% vs 5.1% · n=62 · A/E 2.36

Off a 15-30-day break 6.3% vs 5.1% · n=63 · A/E 1.68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 158 7 4.4% −44.25

Chase 17 2 11.8% −3.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 62 2 3.2% −28.00

Good 46 3 6.5% +14.75

Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −21.00

Heavy 33 2 6.1% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ballinrobe 35 2 5.7% +18.25

Limerick 26 2 7.7% −8.00

Sligo 13 1 7.7% −4.50

Galway 11 0 0% −11.00

Cork 10 0 0% −10.00

Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00

Clonmel 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00

Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00

Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00

Thurles 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00

Killarney 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00

Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 5 2 40% +18.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 1 25% 0.77 −1.75

2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.75 −4.00

4th–6th fav 31 4 12.9% 1.83 +8.50

7th+ in betting 132 3 2.3% 1.06 −52.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.9% completed · 175 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 17 70.6% 0 0 5 0 0

Hurdle 158 88.6% 3 3 11 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

But What About Me (IRE) 9 0 0 23 Oct 26

Young Fitzy (IRE) 8 0 1 11 Jun 24

Made In The Woods (IRE) 8 0 4 24 Mar 24

Three Tribes (IRE) 7 0 0 17 Jul 26

Karla Martina (IRE) 7 0 2 16 Oct 22

Seangoell (IRE) 6 0 2 10 Mar 24

Eddies Pride (IRE) 6 0 2 7 Dec 23

Dream Shaper (IRE) 4 0 0 27 May 25

Princess Fiadh (IRE) 4 0 0 24 Feb 25

Eddierocket (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Sep 24

Shuil Na Tra (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Jun 24

Brilliant Question (IRE) 4 1 1 3 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

120003413022008

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNorman Lee

57% of all rides
5% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Norman Lee 101 5 5% −15.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£164k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 3 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sole Pretender (IRE) — BoyleSports Handicap Chase (Listed) Killarney · Jul 2023 · Listed

£26,550

She Is Electric (IRE) — Pat Walsh Memorial Irish EBF Mares Hurdle (Listed) Gowran Park · Sep 2022 · Listed

£17,700

Pakens Rock (IRE) — Wishing Everyone A Safe & Happy Christmas Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Dec 2023

£9,440

Notable horses

She Is Electric (IRE) Brilliant Question (IRE) Rebel Waltz (IRE) St Anthonys Corner (IRE) Noble Talent (IRE) Pakens Rock (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,025 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.

Virtual (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 8.7% of 823 runs since 2013 (66 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.8% from 104.

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Gatewood (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 6.6% of 106 runs since 2022 (19 horses).

Getaway (GER) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Gold Well (GB) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 351 · newest first

The latest 50 of 351 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) But What About Me (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 8th 18/1

17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Three Tribes (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div II)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 33/1

10 Jun 25 Sligo Seventy Eight Team (IRE)T: Paul John Gilligan Connaught Bottlers Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 16 ran 5th 50/1

01 Jun 25 Kilbeggan No Demand (IRE)T: Darren Collins Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 9th 100/1

31 May 25 Listowel Three Tribes (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Cnoc An Oir Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23.5f · Good · 18 ran 12th 50/1

27 May 25 Ballinrobe Dream Shaper (IRE)T: I Madden Portwest Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 20/1

27 May 25 Ballinrobe Brave Crogha (FR)T: I Madden Sheridan Electric Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Good · 13 ran 5th 50/1

27 May 25 Ballinrobe Kushkame (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Sheridan Electric Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 150/1

13 May 25 Sligo Three Tribes (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Strandhill Caravan Park Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Good · 13 ran 8th 80/1

12 May 25 Killarney Whatchukno (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr Kerry Tool Hire Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 300/1

25 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Whatchukno (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr KilbegganRaces.com Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 11th 150/1

24 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Three Tribes (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)18f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 66/1

21 Apr 25 Cork The Vegas Raider (IRE)T: K A Heffernan Leisure Domes Ltd Marquee Hire Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Yielding · 18 ran 11th 22/1

20 Apr 25 Cork Whatchukno (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 250/1

11 Apr 25 Ballinrobe Max Time (IRE)T: I Madden Sherry Fitzgerald Mayo Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 12/1

23 Mar 25 Limerick Mattie's Mountain (IRE)T: Thomas P O'Connor Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 50/1

20 Mar 25 Cork Dream Shaper (IRE)T: I Madden Racing Home For Easter Festival April 19th - 21st Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Good · 18 ran 7th 33/1

24 Feb 25 Punchestown Princess Fiadh (IRE)T: K A Heffernan Festival 2025 Group Tickets From 27 Euros Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)20f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 150/1

28 Jan 25 Limerick Three Tribes (IRE)T: Barry T Murphy Become A Member At Limerick Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 50/1

31 Dec 24 Punchestown Max Time (IRE)T: I Madden Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robbie Geoghegan's strike rate?: Robbie Geoghegan has won 9 of 177 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robbie Geoghegan do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robbie Geoghegan ride most for?: Norman Lee, with 101 rides since 2022 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5%).
What is Robbie Geoghegan's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 177 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.