What is Ahmed Ajtebi's strike rate?

Ahmed Ajtebi has won 91 of 653 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ahmed Ajtebi do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 rides (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ahmed Ajtebi ride most for?

Mahmood Al Zarooni, with 315 rides since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (15.6%).

What is Ahmed Ajtebi's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 649 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ahmed Ajtebi

653 rides in the lifetime window · 428 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

91–653

Wins / Runs

13.9%

Strike rate

n=653

215 (33%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=649 · 0.95 incl. margin

+38.75

£1 level stake

n=653 at SP · +5.9%

£1.31m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (100 runs). Rode mostly for Mahmood Al Zarooni — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 653 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Oct Fresh horses: 16% 34.6% when favourite Mahmood Al Zarooni: 15.6% from 315 Claiming: 15.7% Rode the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Yarmouth (0% over 32 rides) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 9.7% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.94). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 12.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.57 and +43.75 to a £1 stake over 119 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mahmood Al Zarooni supplied 48% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (15.6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 61-180-day break (32.3%, n=31). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 8.7% over 69 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix La Rochette at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2009, £38,835). Seasonally, the rider fired Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13.2%−0.7

n=423 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +30.98

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+0.4

n=77 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −14.07

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16%+2.1

n=100 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +26.73

When favourite

34.6%

n=78 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +0.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

15.7%+1.8

n=210 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +3.05

Big fields · 14+ runners

12.6%−1.3

n=119 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +43.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.7%−4.2

n=93 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +19.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 32.3% vs 13.9% · n=31

At Yarmouth 0% vs 13.9% · n=32

With Charlie Appleby 6% vs 13.9% · n=67

With David Simcock 6.4% vs 13.9% · n=47

With Saeed bin Suroor 19% vs 13.9% · n=105

Off a break of 180+ days 8.7% vs 13.9% · n=69

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 272 36 13.2% −59.37

Good 148 24 16.2% +63.00

Standard (AW) 110 16 14.5% +10.61

Good to Soft 76 10 13.2% +25.50

Soft 37 4 10.8% −16.99

Firm 6 1 16.7% +20.00

Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 51 9 17.6% +32.35

Newmarket 50 5 10% +22.50

Newmarket 43 4 9.3% +11.50

Ascot 39 6 15.4% +60.00

Yarmouth 32 0 0% −32.00

Doncaster 29 9 31% +15.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 29 3 10.3% −14.12

Windsor 23 2 8.7% −0.50

Lingfield (AW) 22 4 18.2% +0.38

Goodwood 22 3 13.6% −5.00

Sandown 22 3 13.6% −4.25

Nottingham 22 3 13.6% −3.38

Pontefract 21 2 9.5% −10.50

Haydock 19 1 5.3% −17.09

Brighton 18 4 22.2% +6.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 256 38 14.8% −49.36

Class 4 171 28 16.4% +43.23

Class 1 93 9 9.7% +19.88

Class 2 66 7 10.6% +31.00

Class 3 44 6 13.6% +5.00

Class 6 23 3 13% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 94 31 33% 1.04 +1.00

2nd–3rd fav 181 30 16.6% 1.03 −6.75

4th–6th fav 223 22 9.9% 1.22 +17.50

7th+ in betting 155 8 5.2% 1.43 +27.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Buzzword (GB) 8 1 3 18 Jun 10

Parlour Games (GB) 7 2 3 24 Aug 13

Ahla Wasahl (GB) 7 2 4 8 May 10

Navy List (FR) 6 1 2 21 Jun 10

Black Snowflake (USA) 6 0 1 17 Jun 10

Halaak (USA) 5 0 1 17 Sep 09

Bahar Shumaal (IRE) 5 1 2 5 Jul 08

Namecheck (GER) 4 1 2 29 Jul 11

Gracefield (USA) 4 1 2 21 Jul 11

Genius Beast (USA) 4 2 3 17 Jun 11

Ahtoug (GB) 4 2 3 24 Apr 11

Mojave Moon (GB) 4 0 0 21 Aug 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 428 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

···1291315121622··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMahmood Al Zarooni

48% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 1.09

TrainerRWSR£1

Mahmood Al Zarooni 315 49 15.6% +44.45

Saeed bin Suroor 105 20 19% +39.86

Charlie Appleby 67 4 6% −49.38

Clive Brittain 65 6 9.2% −14.00

David Simcock 47 3 6.4% −6.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.34m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 23 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Buzzword (GB) — Prix La Rochette Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2009 · Group 3

£38,835

Zeitoper (GB) — Prix de Conde Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2009 · Group 3

£38,835

Regal Parade (GB) — Buckingham Palace Handicap Ascot · Jun 2008 · Class 2

£37,386

Notable horses

Parlour Games (GB) Ahla Wasahl (GB) Genius Beast (USA) Ahtoug (GB) Sandusky (GB) Vale Of York (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 3.9% · 2–51

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,981 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Street Cry (IRE) 25% · 9–36

Progeny have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 131.

Shamardal (USA) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Pivotal (GB) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 681 · newest first

The latest 50 of 681 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 June 2007 to 20 June 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Jun 15 Newmarket Storm Check (GB)T: Saeed bin Suroor Francis Furlong EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 9/1

06 Jun 15 Lingfield Fly With Emirates (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Orpheus Centre Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran RR 8/1

16 May 15 Newmarket The Way You Dance (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Mazerattan.com Garden Furniture Specialists Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 33/1

09 May 15 Nottingham Tower Power (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Family Fun Day Sunday 31st May Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Flat Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 16/1

28 Apr 15 Nottingham The Way You Dance (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed 32red Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 33/1

06 Oct 14 Pontefract Tayma (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Buy Your 2015 Annual Badge Today Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/1

23 Sep 14 Newcastle Hollie Point (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Factory To Store We're Your Charity/EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 11/4

13 Sep 14 Lingfield Pulcinella (IRE)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 5/2

11 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Daaree (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 15/8F

11 Sep 14 Epsom Downs Viceroyalty (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Taffy Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 8/1

29 Aug 14 Thirsk Game Show (GB)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/2

25 Aug 14 Chepstow I'm Back (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Bathwick Tyres HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 20/1

24 Aug 14 Yarmouth With Charm (USA)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF totejackpot Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bobis Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 50/1

20 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Heart Of Africa (GB)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 33/1

16 Aug 14 Doncaster Legerity (IRE)T: Charlie Appleby Betfred Racing Follow On Twitter EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 16/1

13 Aug 14 Yarmouth Digital Rebellion (IRE)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF/bet365 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

10 Aug 14 Leicester Yukon Gold (GB)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 33/1

06 Aug 14 Lingfield (AW) Better Chance (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Bet & Watch At winner.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 5/2

26 Jul 14 Ascot My Freedom (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Longines International Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good · 29 ran 25th 66/1

25 Jul 14 Thirsk Hollie Point (GB)T: Charlie Appleby British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ahmed Ajtebi's strike rate?: Ahmed Ajtebi has won 91 of 653 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ahmed Ajtebi do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 rides (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ahmed Ajtebi ride most for?: Mahmood Al Zarooni, with 315 rides since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (15.6%).
What is Ahmed Ajtebi's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 649 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.