What is Ismail Mohammed's strike rate?

Ismail Mohammed has won 60 of 536 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ismail Mohammed do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ismail Mohammed?

Benoit De La Sayette, with 55 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (18.2%).

What is Ismail Mohammed's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 534 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ismail Mohammed

536 runners in the last 5 seasons · 85 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 141 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

60–536

Wins / Runs

11.2%

Strike rate

n=536

142 (27%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=534 · 0.93 incl. margin

+43.13

£1 level stake

n=536 at SP · +8.0%

£596k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (155 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 536 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 34.9% when favourite Benoit De La Sayette: 18.2% from 55 Claiming riders: 14.8% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Yarmouth (2.6% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.8% (n=155, Fair A/E 1.27), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.31). Benoit De La Sayette rides 10% of the entries and beats the yard's average (18.2% vs 11.2%, A/E 1.55) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.8% over 36 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.27 across 70 runners (2.9% strike, −63.76 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 57th John Smith's Cup at York (Jul 2016, £124,500). The stable star of the record: Good Effort (IRE) — 9 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−2.7

n=71 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −8.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

6%−5.2

n=67 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.6%−8.6

n=38 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −36.09

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.7%−3.5

n=13 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −4.50

When favourite

34.9%

n=43 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −2.61

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.8%+3.6

n=155 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +53.59

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.2

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 25.8% vs 11.2% · n=31

Off a 8-14-day break 2.9% vs 11.2% · n=70

At Yarmouth 2.6% vs 11.2% · n=39

With first-time headgear 2.6% vs 11.2% · n=38

On Good to Soft going 2.8% vs 11.2% · n=36

With Benoit De La Sayette 18.2% vs 11.2% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 534 60 11.2% +45.13

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 223 34 15.2% −0.68

Good 133 9 6.8% +107.33

Good to Firm 119 15 12.6% −16.85

Good to Soft 36 1 2.8% −26.00

Soft 22 1 4.5% −17.67

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 55 9 16.4% −9.51

Kempton (AW) 49 5 10.2% +12.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 44 6 13.6% −6.22

Yarmouth 39 1 2.6% −32.00

Southwell (AW) 28 6 21.4% −6.15

Lingfield (AW) 24 3 12.5% −4.50

Nottingham 23 1 4.3% −17.50

Newcastle (AW) 23 5 21.7% +13.20

Doncaster 20 2 10% −6.67

Newmarket 17 2 11.8% +0.00

Newbury 16 0 0% −16.00

Haydock 16 1 6.3% +10.00

Windsor 16 3 18.8% −1.76

Newmarket 15 3 20% +42.00

Leicester 14 2 14.3% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 208 19 9.1% +21.48

Class 6 158 24 15.2% −11.73

Class 4 98 11 11.2% +26.38

Class 2 29 4 13.8% +33.00

Class 3 22 2 9.1% −5.00

Class 1 21 0 0% −21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 16 32% 1.07 −5.28

2nd–3rd fav 129 17 13.2% 0.76 −47.09

4th–6th fav 183 20 10.9% 1.44 +3.50

7th+ in betting 174 7 4% 1.36 +92.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Frostmagic (IRE) 19 3 8 12 May 26

Magical Mile (IRE) 19 4 9 29 Aug 23

Must Believe (GB)then George Baker 18 2 8 4 Feb 26

Zaman Daar (IRE) 18 1 2 2 Jul 25

Hawa Jumeirah (GB)then Robbie Llewellyn 16 2 2 5 Jul 25

Shamardia (GB) 15 3 6 24 Mar 25

Didaar (IRE)then Denis Quinn 14 0 1 14 Oct 25

Son Of Wind (IRE)then Matthew J Smith 14 1 3 11 Oct 25

Inverinate (IRE)then Mme N Verheyen 14 1 4 7 Oct 23

Nibras Rainbow (IRE)then Paul W Flynn 14 2 4 1 Jul 23

Fast Bullet (GB) 12 1 2 21 Feb 26

Love Rock (IRE) 12 1 3 21 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 85 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos (8) and Alice Haynes (3); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

2021151412107161141310

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBenoit De La Sayette

10% of all rides
18.2% SR · A/E 1.55

RiderRWSR£1

Benoit De La Sayette 55 10 18.2% +42.33

Tommie Jakes 43 5 11.6% +18.75

Paddy Bradley 39 5 12.8% −0.75

Raul Da Silva 34 4 11.8% −11.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

212

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.37m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 23 wins

Educate (GB) — 57th John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) York · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£124,500

Educate (GB) — Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Sep 2013 · Class 2

£99,600

Zain Claudette (IRE) — Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) York · Aug 2021 · Group 2

£85,065

Notable horses

Good Effort (IRE) Educate (GB) Amazour (IRE) Mubtadi (GB) Rhombus (IRE) Therthaar (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Universal (IRE) 14.5% · 9–62

Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.

No Nay Never (USA) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,310 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Kodiac (GB) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Profitable (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,412 runs since 2008 (357 horses).

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,628 runs since 2008 (842 horses).

Frosted (USA) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 9.8% of 61 runs since 2008 (13 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,664 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,664 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 May 2012 to 2 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Jun 26 Pontefract Desert Phantom (GB)J: Mason Paetel HBC Construction Ltd Supports The YCC EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 14/1

01 Jun 26 Windsor Good Fighter (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Pourou Garhigh Anniversary EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 10/1

01 Jun 26 Newbury Desert Sands (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Get 100-1 On England At BetVictor EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 16/1

31 May 26 Nottingham Big Bad Storm (GB)J: Christian Howarth Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 11th 14/1

30 May 26 Lingfield Blue Sign (GB)J: Mason Paetel APC Electrical EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 16/1

28 May 26 Sandown Brave Hunter (GB)J: Oisin Murphy starsports.bet HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 7th 4/1

27 May 26 Kempton (AW) Lord Britain (GB)J: Mason Paetel Unibet Supports Safer Gambling HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 1st 4/1

27 May 26 Kempton (AW) Khaleejy (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 14/1

23 May 26 Goodwood Beautiful Effort (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Elston Consulting EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 9th 7/1

22 May 26 Goodwood Magic Effort (GB)J: Mason Paetel British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/2

13 May 26 York Minhad (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Stuey Weston & Friends Getting Out Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 17 ran 5th 13/2

12 May 26 Lingfield (AW) Frostmagic (IRE)J: Mason Paetel Follow AtTheRaces On X HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 17/2

11 May 26 Windsor Brave Hunter (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Rendells Are Hammers HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 17/2

08 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Al Amirah (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 25/1

07 May 26 Southwell (AW) Jumeirah Sands (GB)J: Mason Paetel Follow AtTheRaces On X Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 11/10F

02 May 26 Newmarket Lord Britain (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Betfred 2000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 150/1

01 May 26 Newcastle (AW) Khaleejy (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 20/1

23 Apr 26 Beverley Frostmagic (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Alan McGuinness And Robin Lunness Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 10/3

20 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Scarlet Sunset (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Joan Butcher 90th Birthday Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 9/4J

18 Apr 26 Thirsk Minhad (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Happy 21st Birthday Lily Watkinson Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ismail Mohammed's strike rate?: Ismail Mohammed has won 60 of 536 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ismail Mohammed do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ismail Mohammed?: Benoit De La Sayette, with 55 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (18.2%).
What is Ismail Mohammed's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 534 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.