Alice Bond
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.33). Rides mostly for Joseph Parr — 53% of rides in the window.
Joseph Parr supplies 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 0.87). The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (11.4%, n=35). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3.2% over 31 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.38 across 56 rides (3.6% strike, −36.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Mc'ted (GB) — 7 wins from 36 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 186 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 186 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2018 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Alice Bond's strike rate?
- Alice Bond has won 14 of 167 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Alice Bond ride most for?
- Joseph Parr, with 88 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.8%).
- Is Alice Bond in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Alice Bond's Fair A/E?
- 1.33, from 164 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.