What is Conrad Allen's strike rate?

Conrad Allen has won 56 of 504 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Conrad Allen do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 131 runners (16.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Conrad Allen?

Darragh Keenan, with 92 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12%).

Is Conrad Allen in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Conrad Allen's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 497 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Conrad Allen

504 runners in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

56–504

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=504

141 (28%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=497 · 0.94 incl. margin

−25.44

£1 level stake

n=504 at SP · −5.0%

£508k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 504 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 29.4% when favourite Darragh Keenan: 12% from 92 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (16.8%, n=131), clear of the yard's 11.1% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (7.1% over 70 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −58.67 to a £1 stake over 139 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Darragh Keenan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 1.70) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (15%, n=127). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 4.9% over 103 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Scottish Sun/EBF Stallions Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes at Ayr (Jun 2014, £22,684). The stable star of the record: Tyger Bay (GB) — 15 wins from 87 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.2%−2.9

n=49 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −15.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.3%+3.2

n=7 · A/E 1.93 · £1 −2.67

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−5.8

n=19 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−11.1

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

22.2%+11.1

n=18 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +16.50

When favourite

29.4%

n=34 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −1.43

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.6%−2.5

n=139 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −58.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.1

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jack Gilligan 20.4% vs 11.1% · n=49

In Class 4 4.9% vs 11.1% · n=103

At Lingfield (AW) 16.8% vs 11.1% · n=131

At trips under 6f 15% vs 11.1% · n=127

With Sean Levey 16.1% vs 11.1% · n=31

At Kempton (AW) 7.1% vs 11.1% · n=70

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 502 56 11.2% −23.44

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 332 39 11.7% −19.68

Good to Firm 69 7 10.1% −2.09

Good 55 4 7.3% −20.67

Soft 25 4 16% −6.00

Good to Soft 17 2 11.8% +29.00

Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 131 22 16.8% +55.87

Kempton (AW) 70 5 7.1% −19.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 62 7 11.3% −26.05

Southwell (AW) 37 3 8.1% −7.50

Yarmouth 33 3 9.1% +16.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 21 1 4.8% −16.00

Brighton 17 2 11.8% +20.50

Windsor 15 1 6.7% −9.00

Lingfield 12 2 16.7% −1.17

Newmarket 11 0 0% −11.00

Newcastle (AW) 11 1 9.1% −7.00

Sandown 9 1 11.1% −2.50

Leicester 9 1 11.1% −4.67

Bath 7 1 14.3% −2.50

Newmarket 7 1 14.3% +4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 203 28 13.8% −0.64

Class 6 139 20 14.4% +47.70

Class 4 103 5 4.9% −37.00

Class 3 32 3 9.4% −8.50

Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 39 14 35.9% 1.37 +10.57

2nd–3rd fav 112 17 15.2% 0.85 −22.01

4th–6th fav 203 20 9.9% 1.13 +19.00

7th+ in betting 150 5 3.3% 0.97 −33.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tyger Bay (GB)from Richard Guest 72 11 32 17 Oct 26

Mick's Spirit (GB)from Richard Guest 61 10 22 27 Aug 26

Hiatus (IRE)then Ivan Furtado 44 5 12 23 Oct 25

Edergole's Gift (IRE) 43 3 9 15 Oct 26

It's Showtime (IRE) 34 1 11 29 Jan 26

My Awele (IRE) 24 3 5 27 Mar 26

Luna Queen (GB)then Sheena West 24 3 6 26 Oct 23

Scramble (GB) 23 1 5 20 Jun 24

Impeach (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then Michael Attwater 22 3 7 7 Jun 23

Elvetham (IRE)from Michael Bell 20 4 10 24 Sep 26

Mercury Day (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 14 2 2 23 Jul 26

Pearl Of Windsor (GB) 14 2 2 28 Nov 25

All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Guest (3) and Michael Bell (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

151112127141216136012

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDarragh Keenan

18% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.70

RiderRWSR£1

Darragh Keenan 92 11 12% +42.62

Jack Gilligan 49 10 20.4% +28.99

Connor Planas 40 4 10% −11.67

Sean Levey 31 5 16.1% −9.38

Neil Callan 30 3 10% −15.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

129

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hay Chewed (IRE) — Scottish Sun/EBF Stallions Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Ayr · Jun 2014 · Listed

£22,684

Mercury Day (IRE) — Durcan Bloodstock Pat Smullen Memorial Fillies' Handicap Newmarket · Jun 2024 · Class 4

£10,308

Hay Chewed (IRE) — Ebf Stallions Prestwold Conditions Stakes Leicester · Sep 2016 · Class 3

£9,452

Notable horses

Tyger Bay (GB) Mick's Spirit (GB) Sonnet Rose (IRE) Rouge Nuage (IRE) Hiatus (IRE) Busby (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cable Bay (IRE) 15.3% · 11–72

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,645 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Camacho (GB) 11.4% · 5–44

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Reliable Man (GB) 7% · 3–43

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,208 runs since 2008 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 105. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 101.

Showcasing (GB) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,584 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Havana Gold (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,051 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,406 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,406 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Catterick Tyger Bay (GB)J: David Allan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 8th 18/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 9/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Alice Bond Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 50/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tyger Bay (GB)J: Joe Leavy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 28/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 22/1

16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Tyger Bay (GB)J: Joe Leavy Sea Deer Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 33/1

12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Alice Bond Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 40/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 16/1

03 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Tyger Bay (GB)J: Seamus Cronin Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 28/1

01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 5/4F

29 Aug 26 Windsor Tyger Bay (GB)J: Jack Gilligan Total Task Consultancy Take The Reins Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/1

27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Mick's Spirit (GB)J: Jack Gilligan Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 5/1

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 3/1F

14 Aug 26 Yarmouth Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley QuinnBet Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 14/1

13 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Emilies 21st Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 7/2C

08 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: George Wood Rodney Bay Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/1

04 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan John Cunliffe Obf 80th Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 13/2

03 Aug 26 Ripon Secret Harvest (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/1

30 Jul 26 Epsom Elvetham (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Spillers Spectacular Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Conrad Allen's strike rate?: Conrad Allen has won 56 of 504 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conrad Allen do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 131 runners (16.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Conrad Allen?: Darragh Keenan, with 92 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12%).
Is Conrad Allen in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Conrad Allen's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 497 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.