What is Joseph Parr's strike rate?

Joseph Parr has won 81 of 827 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joseph Parr do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 82 runners (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Joseph Parr?

Alice Bond, with 88 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.8%).

Is Joseph Parr in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Joseph Parr's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 822 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Joseph Parr

827 runners in the last 5 seasons · 84 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

81–827

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=827

241 (29%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=822 · 0.75 incl. margin

−325.17

£1 level stake

n=827 at SP · −39.3%

£753k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 12% (33 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 827 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 27.1% when favourite Alice Bond: 6.8% from 88 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.87). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 207 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Alice Bond rides 11% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.8% vs 9.8%, A/E 0.87). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.5%, n=39). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.8% over 36 runners, 7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: G'daay (GB) — 7 wins from 54 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.4%−0.4

n=96 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −33.55

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−2.1

n=26 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −13.25

Debutants · first career start

2.4%−7.4

n=41 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −15.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.1%+2.3

n=33 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.5%−0.3

n=42 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.67

When favourite

27.1%

n=96 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −21.66

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−2.1

n=207 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −97.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 20.5% vs 9.8% · n=39

With Daniel Muscutt 18.4% vs 9.8% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 9.8% · n=84

With debutants 2.4% vs 9.8% · n=41

On Good to Soft going 2.8% vs 9.8% · n=36

With Dylan Hogan 2.8% vs 9.8% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 824 81 9.8% −322.17

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 494 47 9.5% −201.27

Good to Firm 131 16 12.2% −50.15

Good 119 12 10.1% −46.00

Soft 37 5 13.5% +8.25

Good to Soft 36 1 2.8% −26.00

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 126 12 9.5% −48.38

Chelmsford City (AW) 105 7 6.7% −54.74

Southwell (AW) 82 10 12.2% −14.01

Lingfield (AW) 82 9 11% −22.10

Kempton (AW) 74 8 10.8% −40.29

Yarmouth 54 6 11.1% −15.50

Newmarket 31 3 9.7% −12.25

Windsor 31 1 3.2% −25.50

Brighton 29 3 10.3% −20.83

Newcastle (AW) 25 1 4% −21.75

Leicester 24 2 8.3% −16.75

Nottingham 17 4 23.5% +12.00

Newmarket 15 0 0% −15.00

Doncaster 15 3 20% +2.80

Epsom Downs 14 3 21.4% +0.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 334 41 12.3% −82.35

Class 5 292 25 8.6% −140.70

Class 4 155 13 8.4% −88.12

Class 3 29 2 6.9% +3.00

Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 112 29 25.9% 0.94 −24.16

2nd–3rd fav 190 32 16.8% 0.99 −20.01

4th–6th fav 257 14 5.4% 0.67 −117.00

7th+ in betting 268 6 2.2% 0.69 −164.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sun Festival (GB)from Roger Ingram 45 4 17 10 Mar 26

G'daay (GB) 43 6 15 10 Jul 25

Prince Of Bel Lir (IRE)then K R Burke 33 5 9 23 Apr 25

Mc'ted (GB)then Michael Keady 32 6 15 13 Jan 25

Kalamunda (GB) 27 5 8 3 Oct 26

The Green Man (IRE)then Danny Brooke 27 4 12 12 Oct 24

Revolucion (GB)then Grace Harris 27 1 9 15 Apr 24

Tennessee Gold (FR) 26 3 7 5 Jul 26

Lethal Touch (GB)then Mlle Gaelle Gernay 22 4 10 12 Oct 23

Roman Dynasty (IRE) 21 1 10 12 Oct 23

Hello Me (IRE) 19 2 5 11 Nov 23

Naadyaa (GB)from Owen Burrows · then Alexandra Dunn 19 0 2 8 Sep 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Owen Burrows (3) and Andrew Balding (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard; 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

7541191181392029

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAlice Bond

11% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

Alice Bond 88 6 6.8% −34.00

Daniel Muscutt 87 16 18.4% +5.51

Harry Burns 56 3 5.4% −42.75

Luke Morris 51 4 7.8% −21.75

Jack Mitchell 49 4 8.2% −29.50

Dylan Hogan 36 1 2.8% −33.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

117

Archived wins

£976k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 25 wins

Enigmatic (IRE) — Volkswagen Van Centre Leeds Optional Claiming Handicap Pontefract · Sep 2021 · Class 2

£16,200

Beauty Viva (GB) — Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2024 · Class 3

£15,462

The Green Man (IRE) — Clean Up With Pps Handicap York · Jun 2023 · Class 4

£10,468

Notable horses

G'daay (GB) Hello Me (IRE) Prince Of Bel Lir (IRE) Mc'ted (GB) Kalamunda (GB) Lucayan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Havana Grey (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Mehmas (IRE) 5.9% · 3–51

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Toronado (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Adaay (IRE) 14% · 6–43

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,957 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.

Garswood (GB) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,919 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 132.

Prince Of Lir (IRE) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,369 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,062 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,062 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 March 2020 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Honeymoon Bear (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sacred Rhythm (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Portman Blue (GB)J: Sean Levey Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 11/4F

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sonbelievable (GB)J: Luke Morris Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 100/30

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Midnight's Dream (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 13/8F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Midnight's Dream (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Amarachi (IRE)J: David Egan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Little Copper (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 500/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Honeymoon Bear (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 10th 15/2

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Portman Blue (GB)J: David Egan Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 1st 7/4F

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wield (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kalamunda (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Last Verse (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 11/2

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sacred Rhythm (IRE)J: Luke Morris Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 6/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Love You More (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 11/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Amarachi (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Ael Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 3/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Beauty By My Side (IRE)J: Harry Burns Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 28/1

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Little Copper (GB)J: Luke Morris Follow @AtTheRaces On X Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 300/1

21 Sep 26 Leicester Midnight's Dream (IRE)J: Harry Burns Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 5th 13/2

17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Portman Blue (GB)J: Ray Dawson White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 7th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joseph Parr's strike rate?: Joseph Parr has won 81 of 827 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joseph Parr do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 82 runners (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joseph Parr?: Alice Bond, with 88 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.8%).
Is Joseph Parr in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joseph Parr's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 822 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.