Amy Scott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (47 rides). Rode mostly for Henry Candy — 41% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (3.2% over 63 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.9% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.20), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=79, Fair A/E 0.66). Henry Candy supplied 41% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (15.7%, n=51) and on Soft going (15%, n=40). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.6% over 39 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Seamus Shindig (GB) — 5 wins from 44 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 558 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 558 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 May 2007 to 7 February 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Amy Scott's strike rate?
- Amy Scott has won 53 of 539 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Amy Scott do best at?
- Goodwood by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 rides (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Amy Scott ride most for?
- Henry Candy, with 222 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.4%).
- What is Amy Scott's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 533 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.