What is Tim Etherington's strike rate?

Tim Etherington has won 21 of 369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Etherington do best at?

Beverley by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Tim Etherington's Fair A/E?

1.26, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tim Etherington

369 runners in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2016 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

21–369

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=369

51 (14%)

Placed

1.26

Fair A/E

n=367 · 1.06 incl. margin

−92.25

£1 level stake

n=369 at SP · −25.0%

£220k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.26).

Deterministic profile computed from 369 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jul Claiming riders: 6.8%

The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (14.3%, n=35), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 6.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.55 and +8.75 to a £1 stake over 132 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.2%, n=38) and in Class 4 (11.8%, n=34). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 37 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Portland Heritage Handicap at Doncaster (Sep 2007, £46,740). The stable star of the record was Fullandby (IRE) — 10 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−1.5

n=72 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −36.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+14.3

n=5 · A/E 2.73 · £1 +1.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−5.7

n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−5.7

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+3.4

n=11 · A/E 3.16 · £1 +1.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −0.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%+1.1

n=132 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +8.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%+7.6

n=15 · A/E 2.24 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Beverley 14.3% vs 5.7% · n=35

Off a 0-7-day break 13.2% vs 5.7% · n=38

In Class 4 11.8% vs 5.7% · n=34

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 5.7% · n=37

With debutants 0% vs 5.7% · n=30

With Dale Swift 10.5% vs 5.7% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 358 21 5.9% −81.25

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 103 9 8.7% +67.25

Standard (AW) 96 4 4.2% −51.50

Good 89 3 3.4% −67.50

Good to Soft 40 1 2.5% −33.50

Soft 24 2 8.3% −14.00

Firm 11 2 18.2% +13.00

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Doncaster 42 3 7.1% +4.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 36 1 2.8% −19.00

Kempton (AW) 35 3 8.6% −7.50

Beverley 35 5 14.3% +38.00

Redcar 29 1 3.4% −22.50

Thirsk 22 2 9.1% −13.25

Musselburgh 20 1 5% +31.00

Newcastle 19 0 0% −19.00

Catterick 16 0 0% −16.00

Ayr 15 2 13.3% +5.00

Haydock 11 0 0% −11.00

Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Ascot 8 0 0% −8.00

Lingfield (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Carlisle 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 146 4 2.7% −88.25

Class 6 113 5 4.4% −66.00

Class 2 36 1 2.8% +15.00

Class 4 34 4 11.8% +9.50

Class 3 23 5 21.7% +39.50

Class 1 15 2 13.3% +0.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.49 +2.25

2nd–3rd fav 27 6 22.2% 1.61 +8.50

4th–6th fav 89 8 9% 1.57 +13.00

7th+ in betting 246 5 2% 0.77 −116.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Burning Thread (IRE)then David Elsworth 41 6 9 11 Oct 14

Fullandby (IRE) 36 3 11 6 Nov 10

Embra (IRE) 26 2 9 9 Aug 11

Bailadeira (GB) 24 2 7 21 May 13

Ruler's Honour (IRE) 18 0 1 28 Nov 11

Artillery Train (IRE) 16 0 0 19 Oct 13

Absolute Bearing (IRE) 15 1 1 11 Aug 14

Alis Aquilae (IRE) 14 1 4 21 Nov 13

Slip Star (GB) 14 1 1 23 Sep 09

Cranworth Blaze (GB)then Tony Newcombe 12 0 1 28 Aug 09

Poppy's Rose (GB)from Ian McInnes 11 2 3 23 Sep 10

Another Luke (IRE) 11 0 0 16 Oct 09

All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Elsworth (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0130097942280

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGreg Fairley

12% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.43

RiderRWSR£1

Greg Fairley 44 3 6.8% −6.50

James Sullivan 44 2 4.5% −14.00

Dale Swift 38 4 10.5% +65.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£441k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Fullandby (IRE) — Ladbrokes Portland Heritage Handicap Doncaster · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£46,740

Fullandby (IRE) — Best Odds Guaranteed At Totesport.com Wentworth Stakes (Listed) Doncaster · Nov 2009 · Listed

£29,630

Fullandby (IRE) — Giles Insurance 40th Anniversary Heritage Handicap Ayr · Jul 2007 · Class 2

£29,147

Notable horses

Fullandby (IRE) Burning Thread (IRE) Classic Punch (IRE) Embra (IRE) Bailadeira (GB) First Rhapsody (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Rio (GB) 10.4% · 7–67

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Monashee Mountain (USA) 8.1% · 5–62

Progeny have won 8.4% of 998 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11.7% from 291. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.7% from 120.

Intikhab (USA) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.

Diktat (GB) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Antonius Pius (USA) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.

Amadeus Wolf (GB) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,589 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 157.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 625 · newest first

The latest 50 of 625 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 4 January 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Jan 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Become Aware (GB)J: Joey Haynes Ladbrokes Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 125/1

14 Dec 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Become Aware (GB)J: Joey Haynes Coral Connect Selling StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 100/1

28 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Become Aware (GB)J: Adam Beschizza Download The Coral App HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

06 Nov 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Pura Vida (GB)J: Adam Beschizza Scoop6soccer The 1 Million Football Bet Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1

03 Nov 15 Redcar Become Aware (GB)J: Paddy Pilley Bet With Your Racing UK App Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 66/1

26 Oct 15 Redcar Pura Vida (GB)J: David Allan Watch Racing UK Anywhere Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 100/1

19 Sep 15 Catterick Pura Vida (GB)J: David Allan Watch Racing UK Today Just 10 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 8th 28/1

09 Jul 15 Carlisle Become Aware (GB)J: Rachel Richardson Compare Odds At bookies.com HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

19 Jun 15 Redcar Become Aware (GB)J: James Sullivan Start Your Racing UK Free Trial Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 100/1

14 Jun 15 Doncaster Become Aware (GB)J: James Sullivan Fsb Vehicle Services Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 17 ran 15th 100/1

13 Dec 14 Southwell (AW) Pepperello (GB)J: Raul Da Silva Bet Now With The Ladbrokes App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 100/1

01 Dec 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pepperello (GB)J: Miss M Edden 32Red Casino Handicap (Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 125/1

22 Nov 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Become Aware (GB)J: Tom Eaves 32Red Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 100/1

16 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Connexion Francais (GB)J: Joey Haynes Facilities Management Services Ltd Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 200/1

11 Oct 14 Musselburgh Burning Thread (IRE)J: James Sullivan Graphic Impressions 21st Anniversary Conditions StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 25/1

04 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pepperello (GB)J: Amy Scott Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 66/1

23 Sep 14 Beverley Connexion Francais (GB)J: Miss Laura Wilson Brian And Jason Merrington Memorial Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 100/1

23 Sep 14 Beverley Burning Thread (IRE)J: Adam Beschizza Eddie And Violet Smith Conditions StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 33/1

20 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Pepperello (GB)J: Danielle Mooney Try A totetrifecta Today HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 100/1

06 Sep 14 Ascot Burning Thread (IRE)J: James Sullivan Rarc In Aid Of The Ijf HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 15th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Etherington's strike rate?: Tim Etherington has won 21 of 369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Etherington do best at?: Beverley by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tim Etherington's Fair A/E?: 1.26, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.