What is Ben Smith's strike rate?

Ben Smith has won 18 of 228 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Smith do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 7 wins from 67 rides (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ben Smith ride most for?

R Mike Smith, with 144 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9%).

Is Ben Smith in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ben Smith's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 228 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ben Smith

228 rides in the last 5 seasons · 101 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

18–228

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=228

53 (23%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=228 · 0.72 incl. margin

−17.65

£1 level stake

n=228 at SP · −7.7%

£279k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84). Rides mostly for R Mike Smith — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 228 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.3% R Mike Smith: 9% from 144 Claiming: 8.1%

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −22.65 to a £1 stake over 104 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. R Mike Smith supplies 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (14.6%, n=41). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.4% over 58 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.47 across 96 rides (4.2% strike, −25.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.8%−2.1

n=104 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −22.65

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19%+11.1

n=21 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.65

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.3%+0.4

n=36 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −7.00

When favourite

20%

n=20 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −7.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.2

n=223 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.65

Big fields · 14+ runners

21.1%+13.2

n=19 · A/E 2.57 · £1 +93.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 18.8% vs 7.9% · n=32

Over 2m5f – 3m 14.6% vs 7.9% · n=41

Off a 31-60-day break 3.4% vs 7.9% · n=58

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 4.2% vs 7.9% · n=96

With horses switching code 3.1% vs 7.9% · n=32

On Soft going 4.5% vs 7.9% · n=89

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 189 15 7.9% −4.15

Chase 31 3 9.7% −5.50

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 89 4 4.5% +11.25

Good 65 7 10.8% −0.25

Good to Soft 55 5 9.1% −21.40

Heavy 16 2 12.5% −4.25

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 67 7 10.4% −18.50

Perth 40 4 10% −4.50

Musselburgh 13 0 0% −13.00

Sedgefield 12 0 0% −12.00

Newcastle 11 0 0% −11.00

Carlisle 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Bangor-on-Dee 9 1 11.1% +6.00

Kelso 9 1 11.1% −6.75

Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00

Aintree 6 1 16.7% +35.00

Wetherby 5 0 0% −5.00

Hexham 5 0 0% −5.00

Market Rasen 4 1 25% −1.90

Cartmel 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 105 7 6.7% −60.50

Class 5 97 9 9.3% −23.15

Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 2 9 1 11.1% +32.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 5 22.7% 0.84 −5.40

2nd–3rd fav 44 4 9.1% 0.51 −24.75

4th–6th fav 72 5 6.9% 0.90 −19.50

7th+ in betting 90 4 4.4% 1.84 +32.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.7% completed · 220 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 31 80.6% 0 2 4 0 0

Hurdle 189 88.9% 6 2 13 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Follow Charlie (IRE) 16 2 5 10 Feb 26

Dance Thief (IRE) 15 3 7 7 Mar 26

Just Dottie (GB) 8 2 3 7 Sep 26

Donso Star (GB) 8 1 5 23 Apr 25

King Ulanda (IRE) 6 1 3 23 Oct 26

Just Winging It (IRE) 6 0 0 25 Apr 25

Burgundy Man (FR) 6 0 0 28 Oct 24

Velvet Vulcan (GB) 5 0 2 6 Mar 26

Fathers Advice (IRE) 5 1 2 24 May 25

Buy Some Time (IRE) 5 3 3 29 Apr 25

Western Run (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Sep 24

Golden Swift (IRE) 5 0 0 17 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 101 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

7721142202900700

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardR Mike Smith

63% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 1.32

TrainerRWSR£1

R Mike Smith 144 13 9% +0.00

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 55 3 5.5% −31.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£279k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 8 wins

Buy Some Time (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Triple Crown Series Final Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Apr 2025

£59,000

El Jefe (IRE) — Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders') (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Class 2

£25,720

Dance Thief (IRE) — Virgin Bet Cheltenham Festival Money Back Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Mar 2024 · Class 4

£5,281

Notable horses

Dance Thief (IRE) Buy Some Time (IRE) Follow Charlie (IRE) Just Dottie (GB) Donso Star (GB) King Ulanda (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Court Cave (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,933 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Leading Light (IRE) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,200 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Al Kazeem (GB) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,263 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.

Ol' Man River (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 7.3% of 506 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 10.8% from 102. Weakest on Good going: 4.1% from 171.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,823 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Sun Central (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 9.9% of 151 runs since 2008 (14 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 228 · newest first

The latest 50 of 228 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 December 2023 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham King Ulanda (IRE)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Zebra Star (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 300/1

01 Oct 26 Southwell Crack Ops (GB)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Weatherbys Nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 2/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Royal Baroness (GB)T: R. Mike Smith Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran UR 150/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Cawthorne Cracker (IRE)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

24 Sep 26 Perth Jolyjump (FR)T: R. Mike Smith A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 9th 66/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Midnight Moonshine (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Zebra Star (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 250/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Crystal Glance (GB)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/2

07 Sep 26 Perth Midnight Moonshine (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Auto Services Perth Sales And Rentals Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 5th 20/1

07 Sep 26 Perth Just Dottie (GB)T: R Mike Smith Auto Services Perth 24-Hour Recovery Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 7/1

28 Aug 26 Sedgefield Breaking Ground (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Newts Rocket To The Top Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 5th 20/1

15 Aug 26 Perth Just Dottie (GB)T: R Mike Smith IM Group Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 5/1

19 Mar 26 Sedgefield King Ulanda (IRE)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Paxtons Equestrian Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran F 4/1

09 Mar 26 Plumpton Hilltown (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins DragonBet The Roar Before Cheltenham Dragonboosts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 9/2

09 Mar 26 Plumpton Pink 'n Purple (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins Mayo Wynne Baxter Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 6/1

07 Mar 26 Ayr Ck O'mara (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Cheltenham Lunch At Western House Hotel Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/4F

07 Mar 26 Ayr Dance Thief (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Western House Hotel New Brunch Menu Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 7/2

07 Mar 26 Ayr Mosstown Mill (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Weddings At Western House Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 125/1

06 Mar 26 Ayr Good Work (FR)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Book The Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ben Smith's strike rate?: Ben Smith has won 18 of 228 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Smith do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 7 wins from 67 rides (10.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ben Smith ride most for?: R Mike Smith, with 144 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9%).
Is Ben Smith in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ben Smith's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 228 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.