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Trainer profile

William Young Jnr

174 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–174
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=174
29 (17%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=174 · 0.93 incl. margin
−59.25
£1 level stake
n=174 at SP · −34.1%
£104k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 174 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (10%, n=50), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. It is weakest at Perth (2% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.58). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (12.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.5% over 40 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ardera Cross (IRE) — 14 wins from 82 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.3
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.3%−4.0
n=43 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −35.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 12.5% vs 6.3% · n=40
At Perth 2% vs 6.3% · n=49
With Derek Fox 2.2% vs 6.3% · n=45
With claiming riders up 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=43
At Ayr 10% vs 6.3% · n=50
On Soft going 2.5% vs 6.3% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 108 6 5.6% −35.25
Chase 65 5 7.7% −23.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 81 5 6.2% −12.75
Soft 40 1 2.5% −35.50
Good to Soft 37 2 5.4% −18.50
Heavy 13 3 23.1% +10.50
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ayr 50 5 10% −8.00
Perth 49 1 2% −36.00
Hexham 20 1 5% +14.00
Cartmel 18 0 0% −18.00
Kelso 17 2 11.8% −3.25
Musselburgh 11 0 0% −11.00
Carlisle 5 1 20% −0.50
Sedgefield 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 1 100% +6.50
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 95 6 6.3% −28.75
Class 4 74 5 6.8% −25.50
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.80 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 19 4 21.1% 1.11 +1.75
4th–6th fav 53 3 5.7% 0.79 −20.50
7th+ in betting 99 3 3% 1.26 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74% completed · 173 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 65 73.8% 1 0 16 0 0
Hurdle 108 74.1% 0 2 26 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ardera Cross (IRE)from Dan Skelton 38 5 10 7 Mar 25
Darkest Day (IRE)from Gary Moore 30 3 6 28 Nov 25
Don't Look Back (GB)from Lucinda Russell 18 0 1 25 May 25
So Be It (IRE)from Liam Lennon 17 0 3 4 Oct 24
Shantou Moon (IRE)from Tristan Davidson 13 0 2 16 Aug 25
Colonel Manderson (FR)from Dan Skelton 13 1 1 11 Dec 24
Fostered Phil (IRE)from James Ewart 11 2 4 16 Feb 26
Santa Clarita (FR)from Dan Skelton 9 0 2 23 Apr 25
Fortunes Dawn (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Sep 26
Don Occhetti (IRE)from Dan Skelton 5 0 0 2 Apr 26
Tumbling Dice (GB)from Sue Smith 3 0 0 28 Dec 23
Young William (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 3 0 0 18 Jul 22
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (5) and Lucinda Russell (2); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
13211000000290011
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDerek Fox
26% of all rides
2.2% SR · A/E 0.38
RiderRWSR£1
Derek Fox 45 1 2.2% −11.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
28
Archived wins
£261k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 6 wins
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Coral Handicap Chase Cartmel · Aug 2019 · Class 2
£15,640
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Gordon's Pink Gin Handicap Chase Ayr · Nov 2019 · Class 3
£9,357
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Louis Roederer Handicap Chase Cartmel · Jul 2019 · Class 3
£7,538
Notable horses
Ardera Cross (IRE) Formidableopponent (IRE) Darkest Day (IRE) Fostered Phil (IRE) Raifteiri (IRE) Colonel Manderson (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shantou (USA) 9.4% · 5–53
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Aizavoski (IRE) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 12.8% of 741 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,001 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Kapgarde (FR) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,608 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
Arcadio (GER) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 431 · newest first

The latest 50 of 431 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2013 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Perth Jasper Glory (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 300/1
04 Oct 26 Kelso Boston Queen (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 80/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Boston Queen (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 100/1
23 Sep 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 6th 18/1
29 Aug 26 Cartmel Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Hadwins Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Malcolm Group Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 4th 66/1
12 Jul 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Book Your Christmas Party Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 250/1
21 Jun 26 Hexham Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Chris Lowther & Brian Ellison 28 Years Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 125/1
23 May 26 Cartmel Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Cartmel Sticky Toffee Pudding Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 7th 125/1
02 Apr 26 Kelso Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1
23 Feb 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran F 40/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Sandy Molloy Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 8/1
10 Feb 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt 100% Racing TV Profits Back To Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 80/1
13 Jan 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Dream Weddings At Western House Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 125/1
02 Jan 26 Ayr Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Golf Inn Prestwick For The Ayr Stayers Trophy Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 22/1
02 Jan 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Sunday Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 19 ran PU 66/1
14 Dec 25 Carlisle Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Racing Blogger Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2
01 Dec 25 Ayr Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Derek Fox Festive Dining At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/1
28 Nov 25 Musselburgh Darkest Day (IRE)J: Aaron Anderson 100% Racing TV Profits Back To Racing Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 66/1
01 Nov 25 Ayr Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Southern Ayr Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Young Jnr's strike rate?
William Young Jnr has won 11 of 174 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Young Jnr do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 5 wins from 50 runners (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is William Young Jnr in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Young Jnr's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 174 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).