Andrew Hamilton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.30).
It is weakest at Ayr (2.6% over 38 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +4.25 to a £1 stake over 132 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Alan Doyle rides 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.66) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (15.7%, n=70) and off a 31-60-day break (16.7%, n=36). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.83 across 62 runners (12.9% strike, +21.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 5.6% over 124 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: El Jefe (IRE) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 395 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 395 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2013 to 15 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Andrew Hamilton's strike rate?
- Andrew Hamilton has won 18 of 195 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Andrew Hamilton do best at?
- Perth by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 runners (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Andrew Hamilton?
- Alan Doyle, with 72 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.3%).
- Is Andrew Hamilton in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Andrew Hamilton's Fair A/E?
- 1.30, from 195 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.