What is Caroline Murtagh's strike rate?

Caroline Murtagh has won 7 of 100 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Caroline Murtagh do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Caroline Murtagh ride most for?

J P Murtagh, with 69 rides since 2008 — 69% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.1%).

What is Caroline Murtagh's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 100 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Caroline Murtagh

100 rides in the lifetime window · 41 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

7–100

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=100

21 (21%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=100 · 0.70 incl. margin

−36.00

£1 level stake

n=100 at SP · −36.0%

£86,578

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Rode mostly for J P Murtagh — 69% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance J P Murtagh: 10.1% from 69 Claiming: 7.1%

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.41). J P Murtagh supplied 69% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.1% vs 7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 2.9% over 34 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.4%−4.6

n=41 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −34.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+5.5

n=8 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −4.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.5%+5.5

n=16 · A/E 2.12 · £1 −0.50

When favourite

28.6%

n=7 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +0.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.1%+0.1

n=99 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −35.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

2%−5.0

n=50 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −35.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On first rides for the horse 2.4% vs 7% · n=41

Off a 15-30-day break 2.9% vs 7% · n=34

With J P Murtagh 10.1% vs 7% · n=69

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 38 2 5.3% −23.50

Soft 24 1 4.2% −9.00

Good 18 3 16.7% +12.50

Good to Firm 13 1 7.7% −9.00

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 37 2 5.4% −22.50

Curragh 13 1 7.7% +8.00

Naas 10 1 10% +5.00

Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00

Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00

Cork 4 0 0% −4.00

Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00

Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00

Down Royal 3 1 33.3% +1.00

Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00

Ballinrobe 2 1 50% +1.00

Navan 2 1 50% +4.50

Galway 1 0 0% −1.00

Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 2 25% 1.06 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 0.89 −3.00

4th–6th fav 25 2 8% 0.97 +5.00

7th+ in betting 52 1 1.9% 0.51 −37.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Regal Power (GB) 15 1 3 23 Jul 16

Tagg's Island (IRE) 10 0 2 11 Mar 16

Fix It (IRE) 7 2 3 30 Sep 14

Maronella (IRE) 6 1 1 21 Jun 16

Stoichkhov (IRE) 6 0 0 12 Feb 16

Full Court Press (IRE) 5 1 1 30 Jun 17

Eye Of The Tiger (GER) 5 0 3 20 Nov 15

Stanley Daley (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Aug 16

Bumble Bee Slim (GB) 4 0 0 2 Apr 14

Akasaka (IRE) 3 0 1 28 Sep 14

Landsman (IRE) 2 1 1 3 Aug 16

Yulong Baozuo (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Sep 15

All 41 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7000992900000

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ P Murtagh

69% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

J P Murtagh 69 7 10.1% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£86,578

Prize money

2016

Best season · 3 wins

Jocular (GB) — Donedeal Apprentice Derby Curragh · Jun 2015

£13,650

Full Court Press (IRE) — Follow thetotecom On Twitter Handicap Ballinrobe · Jul 2016

£7,688

Maronella (IRE) — Download The At The Races App Apprentice Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2016

£7,590

Notable horses

Fix It (IRE) Regal Power (GB) Maronella (IRE) Full Court Press (IRE) Landsman (IRE) Jocular (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Excellent Art (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2011 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.

Royal Applause (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Fast Company (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,601 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Ivan Denisovich (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,019 runs since 2010 (71 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 192.

Frozen Power (IRE) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).

Tiger Hill (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,823 runs since 2008 (360 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 100 · newest first

The latest 50 of 100 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 December 2013 to 19 August 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Aug 17 Curragh Golden Spell (GB)T: J P Murtagh Paddy Power Onside App Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)6f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 10/3

30 Jun 17 Curragh Full Court Press (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Hackett Apprentice Derby12f · Good · 19 ran 18th 16/1

10 Jun 17 Curragh Passionatta (IRE)T: J P Murtagh McDonnell's Bar Newbridge Supporting Junefest Maiden5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 50/1

05 Jun 17 Gowran Park Full Court Press (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Festival Of Speed July 16th Handicap9.5f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 11th 16/1

28 Aug 16 Curragh (IRE) In Our Blood (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Derek O'Sullivan Memorial Apprentice Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 10/1

03 Aug 16 Sligo Landsman (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Students Day 28th September Race10.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 9/2

01 Aug 16 Naas Stanley Daley (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Palmerstown House Estate Remembering Anne Brewster Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Good · 15 ran 9th 16/1

01 Aug 16 Naas Lady Maesmor (GB)T: D J Bunyan Kildare Post & kildarenow.com Apprentice Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

23 Jul 16 Gowran Park Regal Power (GB)T: Marcus Callaghan Racing Again August 10th Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 6th 20/1

22 Jul 16 Down Royal Full Court Press (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Magners Forbidden Flavours Handicap10.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 11/8F

20 Jul 16 Naas Future Earner (IRE)T: F Costello www.naasracecourse.com Apprentice Handicap (45-65)8f · Good · 18 ran 10th 25/1

18 Jul 16 Ballinrobe Full Court Press (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Follow thetotecom On Twitter Handicap13f · Good · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

17 Jul 16 Curragh Rock In Peace (IRE)T: G M Lyons Gabriel Curran Memorial Nursery Handicap6f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

09 Jul 16 Tipperary Stanley Daley (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Costello's Tavern Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 20/1

08 Jul 16 Navan Landsman (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Country & Western Evening Claiming Race10f · Good · 3 ran 1st 11/2

30 Jun 16 Tipperary Stanley Daley (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Tipperary Ladies Day Saturday 9th July Handicap (45-65)7.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 10th 16/1

21 Jun 16 Ballinrobe Maronella (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Vaughanshoes.ie Kate Appleby Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Yielding · 8 ran PU 8/1

08 Jun 16 Fairyhouse Set To Fire (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Summer Family Day At Fairyhouse July 10th Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 6th 14/1

06 Apr 16 Leopardstown Maronella (IRE)T: J P Murtagh 'colours Bar' Handicap (47-75)8f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 7/1

26 Mar 16 Cork Maronella (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Newmarket Handicap7f · Heavy · 17 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Caroline Murtagh's strike rate?: Caroline Murtagh has won 7 of 100 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Caroline Murtagh do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Caroline Murtagh ride most for?: J P Murtagh, with 69 rides since 2008 — 69% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.1%).
What is Caroline Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 100 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.