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Trainer profile

Marcus Callaghan

168 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2016 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–168
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=168
30 (18%)
Placed
1.31
Fair A/E
n=168 · 0.99 incl. margin
−27.00
£1 level stake
n=168 at SP · −16.1%
£101k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.31).

Deterministic profile computed from 168 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.6%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 47 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also read well on Good to Firm going (15.4%, n=39) and at trips under 6f (13.5%, n=52). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 51 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.52 across 73 runners (2.7% strike, −41.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Patrickswell (IRE) — 9 wins from 89 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%+0.5
n=119 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Leigh Roche 15.6% vs 7.1% · n=45
On Good to Firm going 15.4% vs 7.1% · n=39
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 7.1% · n=51
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 7.1% · n=47
At trips under 6f 13.5% vs 7.1% · n=52
Over 6f – 7f 2.7% vs 7.1% · n=73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 51 0 0% −51.00
Good to Firm 39 6 15.4% +39.50
Good 36 1 2.8% −25.00
Soft 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Heavy 5 1 20% +8.00
Firm 4 3 75% +27.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 47 0 0% −47.00
Navan 21 3 14.3% +16.00
Naas 20 1 5% −7.00
Down Royal 13 3 23.1% +18.50
Curragh 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Gowran Park 10 1 10% +3.00
Bellewstown 8 2 25% +12.50
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 4 1 25% +7.00
Laytown (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 1 25% +11.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 1 11.1% 0.80 −3.50
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.51 +1.50
4th–6th fav 31 3 9.7% 1.40 +0.00
7th+ in betting 122 7 5.7% 1.37 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Patrickswell (IRE)from K J Condon 89 9 20 21 Jun 14
Blue Law (IRE)from A Oliver 37 1 5 1 Aug 11
Regal Power (GB)from J P Murtagh 28 1 3 31 Aug 16
Paris Sue (IRE) 9 1 2 20 Jul 08
Dawn Music (IRE) 4 0 0 22 Jul 09
Alchemiss (IRE)from G A Kingston · then G A Kingston 1 0 0 26 Dec 13
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0071411460·0
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLeigh Roche
27% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 3.21
RiderRWSR£1
Leigh Roche 45 7 15.6% +42.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
£151k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Patrickswell (IRE) — www.navangolfclub.ie Handicap Navan · Jun 2011
£13,000
Paris Sue (IRE) — Tipperary Racecourse 90th Birthday Handicap (rated 50-80) Tipperary · Sep 2006
£8,638
Paris Sue (IRE) — B.T. McKeefrey Handicap (50-80) Down Royal · Jun 2007
£8,638
Notable horses
Patrickswell (IRE) Paris Sue (IRE) Blue Law (IRE) Regal Power (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iron Mask (USA) 10.1% · 9–89
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,019 runs since 2008 (118 horses).
Fath (USA) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Royal Applause (GB) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Paris House (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 6.8% of 443 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.1% from 119. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 146. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.4% from 174.
Distant Music (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,086 runs since 2008 (79 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,826 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 240 · newest first

The latest 50 of 240 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 March 2005 to 31 August 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 16 Gowran Park Regal Power (GB)J: Keith Moriarty Kilkenny Apprentice Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 8th 25/1
16 Aug 16 Tipperary Regal Power (GB)J: Danny Grant Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Handicap (45-65)7.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 25/1
01 Aug 16 Naas Regal Power (GB)J: Keith Moriarty Kildare Post & kildarenow.com Apprentice Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 33/1
23 Jul 16 Gowran Park Regal Power (GB)J: Caroline Murtagh Racing Again August 10th Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 6th 20/1
12 Jul 16 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Regal Power (GB)J: Tom Madden Coral.ie Download The App Apprentice Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1
01 Jul 16 Bellewstown Regal Power (GB)J: Tom Madden Jim Fuller Memorial Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 14/1
22 Jun 16 Naas Regal Power (GB)J: Danny Grant New Ireland Assurance Supporting North Kildare Chamber Handicap (45-65)6f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 5th 33/1
13 May 16 Dundalk (AW) Regal Power (GB)J: Danny Grant www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (45-65)6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
25 Apr 16 Naas Regal Power (GB)J: Wayne Lordan Punchestown Preview Evening Handicap (47-65)8f · Good · 20 ran 16th 20/1
18 Apr 16 Dundalk (AW) Regal Power (GB)J: Wayne Lordan Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 20/1
21 Sep 15 Navan Regal Power (GB)J: Wayne Lordan Kilberry Handicap (47-65)8f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 14/1
05 Sep 15 Navan Regal Power (GB)J: Killian Leonard Gormanlough Handicap (47-70)10f · Good To Firm · 22 ran 19th 20/1
26 Aug 15 Bellewstown Regal Power (GB)J: Ian Queally Eva-Tec Ltd Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
09 Aug 15 Curragh Regal Power (GB)J: Killian Leonard Gabriel Curran Memorial Handicap7f · Good · 13 ran 10th 20/1
23 Jul 15 Leopardstown Regal Power (GB)J: Ian Queally Morocco Sorec Apprentice Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 10/1
22 Jul 15 Naas Regal Power (GB)J: Ian Queally www.naasracecourse.com Apprentice Handicap (47-65)8f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 1st 12/1
09 Jul 15 Leopardstown Regal Power (GB)J: Wayne Lordan Leopardstown Handicap (50-80)8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 16/1
30 Jun 15 Gowran Park Regal Power (GB)J: Fran Berry Bbq Evening Wednesday August 12th Handicap7f · Good · 9 ran 6th 12/1
24 Jun 15 Naas Regal Power (GB)J: Wayne Lordan OnePlace IT Supporting Naas Hurling Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 14/1
20 Jun 15 Down Royal Regal Power (GB)J: Robbie Downey Value Cabs Handicap (47-65)7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 5/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Marcus Callaghan's strike rate?
Marcus Callaghan has won 12 of 168 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marcus Callaghan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 47 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Marcus Callaghan's Fair A/E?
1.31, from 168 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).