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Trainer profile

Miss Claire Simpson

65 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2015
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–65
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=65
4 (6%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=65 · 0.65 incl. margin
−39.00
£1 level stake
n=65 at SP · −60.0%
£14,440
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%+4.0
n=14 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +1.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+5.2
n=12 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%+2.8
n=34 · A/E 1.91 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 5.9% vs 3.1% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 49 2 4.1% −23.00
Hurdle 10 0 0% −10.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00
Good 16 0 0% −16.00
Soft 16 1 6.3% −5.00
Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 14 1 7.1% 1.12 −3.00
7th+ in betting 50 1 2% 0.75 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Head Waiter (IRE)from Patrick Martin 14 1 3 7 Sep 14
A Twist Of Fate (IRE)from Richard J Walker · then Patrick Martin 13 0 0 17 Aug 15
Queenlet (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Nov 14
Ruby Flipper (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan 5 0 0 4 Sep 14
Rising Euro (IRE)from Patrick Martin · then Adrian McGuinness 4 0 0 27 Oct 13
Liam Eile (IRE)then Gerard Keane 3 0 0 26 Aug 15
Our Pearl (IRE)from James Halpin 3 0 0 16 Jan 15
The Black Devil (IRE)from Gerard Keane 3 0 0 27 Oct 14
Headford Lady (IRE)from James Halpin 3 0 0 22 Jun 13
Rosaleens Choice (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Jul 14
Caracal (GB)from Adrian McGuinness 2 0 0 13 Sep 13
Rathlugh Boy (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Jan 13
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian McGuinness (2) and James Halpin (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
25·05000000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew P Thornton 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Colin Keane 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr J P McKeown 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Grant 3 0 0% −3.00
Connor King 3 1 33.3% +8.00
N G McCullagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Stephen Gray 2 0 0% −2.00
Caroline Murtagh 2 0 0% −2.00
Tom Madden 2 0 0% −2.00
Ray Dawson 1 0 0% −1.00
J B Kane 1 0 0% −1.00
L P Dempsey 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
2
Archived wins
£14,440
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
Head Waiter (IRE) — Leopardstown Intervarsity Colours Challenge Cup Handicap (47-75) Leopardstown · Apr 2013
£5,520
Enigma Code (UAE) — Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Rated Race Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2013
£5,520
Notable horses
Head Waiter (IRE) Enigma Code (UAE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lend A Hand (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.5% from 130. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Heron Island (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.
Excellent Art (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.
Key Of Luck (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.
Chineur (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2008 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.
Azamour (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 65 · newest first

The latest 50 of 65 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2012 to 26 August 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Aug 15 Bellewstown Liam Eile (IRE)J: Danny Grant Indaver Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1
17 Aug 15 Roscommon A Twist Of Fate (IRE)J: Colin Keane Sean Cleary Memorial Handicap (47-70)12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 16/1
15 Aug 15 Tramore Liam Eile (IRE)J: Danny Grant Perennial Freight Maiden12f · Good · 13 ran 5th 12/1
25 Jul 15 Wexford Liam Eile (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Forth & Bargy Maiden11f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 33/1
15 Jul 15 Killarney A Twist Of Fate (IRE)J: Colin Keane Malton Handicap17f · Yielding · 17 ran 7th 25/1
07 Jul 15 Roscommon A Twist Of Fate (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 14th 20/1
18 Jun 15 Leopardstown A Twist Of Fate (IRE)J: Mr J P McKeown Follow Leopardstown On Facebook (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 25/1
16 Jan 15 Dundalk (AW) Our Pearl (IRE)J: Caroline Murtagh Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1
21 Nov 14 Dundalk (AW) Queenlet (IRE)J: Tom Madden Opera At Dundalk Stadium - Sunday 30th November Nursery Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1
27 Oct 14 Galway The Black Devil (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Corrib Food Products Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 20/1
24 Oct 14 Dundalk (AW) Queenlet (IRE)J: Tom Madden www.dundalkstadium.com Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 20/1
11 Oct 14 Fairyhouse The Black Devil (IRE)J: Andrew P Thornton Thistle Cheltenham Hotel Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 22/1
10 Oct 14 Dundalk (AW) Queenlet (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Race5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 66/1
29 Sep 14 Roscommon Queenlet (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 13th 100/1
26 Sep 14 Downpatrick The Black Devil (IRE)J: Andrew P Thornton At The Races Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 11/1
21 Sep 14 Gowran Park Queenlet (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 100/1
07 Sep 14 Dundalk (AW) Head Waiter (IRE)J: Colin Keane Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (50-75)16f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 16/1
04 Sep 14 Laytown (AW) Ruby Flipper (IRE)J: Andrew P Thornton Gilna's Cottage Inn Maiden7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 20/1
24 Aug 14 Curragh (IRE) Head Waiter (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Mongey Communications Handicap16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 50/1
19 Aug 14 Sligo Queenlet (IRE)J: Colin Keane Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Claire Simpson's strike rate?
Miss Claire Simpson has won 2 of 65 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Claire Simpson's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 65 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).