Clement Cadel
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.56). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (43 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.6% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.54). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.21 and −56.70 to a £1 stake over 107 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well over 6f – 7f (16.1%, n=31) and on Soft going (8.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 42 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 52 rides (1.9% strike, −44.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 149 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 149 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 June 2010 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Clement Cadel's strike rate?
- Clement Cadel has won 7 of 149 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Clement Cadel's Fair A/E?
- 0.56, from 129 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.