Leo Braem
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).
It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well on Soft going (8.6%, n=58) and off a 61-180-day break (8.3%, n=60). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 41 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 297 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 297 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2011 to 19 December 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Leo Braem's strike rate?
- Leo Braem has won 15 of 297 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Leo Braem do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 62 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Leo Braem's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 292 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.