Danielle McCreery
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Rode mostly for Alan Berry — 42% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). Alan Berry supplied 42% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.5%, A/E 0.74). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (10.9%, n=46). The record read poorly off a 0-7-day break — 0% over 32 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 0.39 across 52 rides (1.9% strike, −35.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 431 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 431 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 6 March 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Danielle McCreery's strike rate?
- Danielle McCreery has won 6 of 190 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Danielle McCreery do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 rides (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Danielle McCreery ride most for?
- Alan Berry, with 80 rides since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.5%).
- What is Danielle McCreery's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 186 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.