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Jockey profile

David McCabe

110 rides in the lifetime window · 79 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2012 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–110
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=110
9 (8%)
Placed
0.18
Fair A/E
n=110 · 0.13 incl. margin
−99.00
£1 level stake
n=110 at SP · −90.0%
£157k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.18). Rode mostly for A P O'Brien — 67% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 110 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance A P O'Brien: 1.4% from 74 First rides: 1.4%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.4%+0.5
n=72 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −61.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−0.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−0.9
n=53 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −53.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−0.9
n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 3.2% vs 0.9% · n=31
With A P O'Brien 1.4% vs 0.9% · n=74 · A/E 0.22
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 31 1 3.2% −20.00
Soft 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 16 0 0% −16.00
Dundalk (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Cork 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Longchamp (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Epsom Downs 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 40 0 0% −40.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 18 1 5.6% 0.90 −7.00
7th+ in betting 77 0 0% 0.00 −77.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Royal Bandit (GB) 6 0 0 4 Oct 09
Fairylike (IRE) 5 0 2 29 Jun 11
Why (IRE) 3 0 0 31 Jul 11
Hold Me Love Me (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Aug 08
Mystic Mayfly (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Aug 08
Yield For No One (USA) 3 0 0 2 May 08
Noah Webster (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Jul 12
Demurely (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Jul 12
Thomasgainsborough (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Jun 12
Frontier (GER) 2 0 0 22 Jun 12
Astrology (IRE) 2 1 2 20 Aug 11
Mighty Whitey (IRE) 2 0 0 3 Jun 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··000008000·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardA P O'Brien
67% of all rides
1.4% SR · A/E 0.22
TrainerRWSR£1
A P O'Brien 74 1 1.4% −63.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£326k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Machinist (IRE) — Totesport Ayr Silver Cup Handicap Ayr · Sep 2005 · Class 2
£17,400
Song of Hiawatha (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Race Navan · Jun 2007
£16,275
Astrology (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden Leopardstown · Aug 2011
£11,730
Notable horses
Kabeer (GB) Machinist (IRE) Royal Dignitary (USA) Lord of The East (GB) Estepona (GB) Blackheath (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Galileo (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,191 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Sadler's Wells (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
King Charlemagne (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Montjeu (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 468 · newest first

The latest 50 of 468 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 12 Dundalk (AW) Performance (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 11/1
07 Oct 12 Tipperary Ballyglasheen (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Athassel House Stud E.B.F. Maiden9f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 10/1
05 Oct 12 Gowran Park Three Bells (IRE)T: Patrick Downey Kilkenny Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 7/1
28 Sep 12 Dundalk (AW) Heirloom (GB)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 11/1
02 Sep 12 Dundalk (AW) Agreement (IRE)T: A P O'Brien www.sesif.org Race7f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 10/1
24 Jul 12 Tipperary Noah Webster (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Dundrum House Hotel Golf & Leisure Resort Handicap (47-65)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 5th 16/1
19 Jul 12 Leopardstown Demurely (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Challenge Stakes (listed)14f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 25/1
23 Jun 12 Down Royal Thomasgainsborough (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Magners Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap)13f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 4th 9/2J
22 Jun 12 Limerick Frontier (GER)T: A P O'Brien Martin Molony Stakes (listed)11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 25/1
17 Jun 12 Cork Demurely (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Kerry Group Noblesse Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)12f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 33/1
06 May 12 Gowran Park Soon (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Victor McCalmont Memorial Stakes (Fillies' Listed)9.5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 25/1
29 Apr 12 Navan Noah Webster (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Family Day Handicap (47-70)10f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 13th 16/1
29 Apr 12 Navan Daigreen (IRE)T: Ms Joanna Morgan Navan Chairman Handicap (47-70)6f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 16th 50/1
13 Apr 12 Dundalk (AW) South South West (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1
25 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) J'amour Dance (GB)T: Anthony Mulholland Winter Racing At Dundalk Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 66/1
25 Nov 11 Dundalk (AW) Custodian (IRE)T: James M Barrett Winter Racing At Dundalk Handicap (60-90)16f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 20/1
30 Oct 11 Leopardstown Order (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C&G) Maiden8f · Yielding · 19 ran 11th 20/1
30 Oct 11 Leopardstown Drops (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 17 ran 11th 20/1
14 Oct 11 Dundalk (AW) Pacific Heights (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1
09 Oct 11 Curragh Frontier (GER)T: A P O'Brien Manguard Plus European Breeders Fund Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David McCabe's strike rate?
David McCabe has won 1 of 110 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does David McCabe ride most for?
A P O'Brien, with 74 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.4%).
What is David McCabe's Fair A/E?
0.18, from 110 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).