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Trainer profile

Jason Cairns

76 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–76
Wins / Runs
1.3%
Strike rate
n=76
7 (9%)
Placed
0.34
Fair A/E
n=76 · 0.26 incl. margin
−66.00
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −86.8%
£23,773
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.3
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.7%+0.4
n=58 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −48.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 1.7% vs 1.3% · n=58 · A/E 0.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 43 0 0% −43.00
Flat 18 1 5.6% −8.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Good 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 12 0 0% −12.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Sligo 6 1 16.7% +4.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 12 1 8.3% 1.25 −2.00
7th+ in betting 59 0 0% 0.00 −59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86% completed · 50 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 71.4% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 43 88.4% 1 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Isle View (IRE) 14 0 2 23 Aug 16
Respectueux (FR)from G Macaire · then David Brace 10 0 1 8 Oct 11
Isle Road (IRE)then John David Riches 6 0 1 19 May 17
Blue Monster (FR)from S Foucher 6 0 0 2 Dec 11
Chestnut Charlie (IRE)from T Trapenard · then Lindsay Woods 6 0 0 26 Nov 11
Jeremys Joy (IRE)from Mark Michael McNiff · then Keith Henry Clarke 5 1 1 11 Nov 16
Rime Avec Gentil (FR)then Sirrell Griffiths 4 0 0 19 May 11
Single Lady (GB)from Emmet Michael Butterly 3 0 0 5 Oct 12
Native Express (IRE)from R McGlinchey 3 0 0 22 Jul 11
Molans Mare (IRE)from Emmet Michael Butterly · then Emmet Michael Butterly 2 0 0 11 Nov 16
Love Secret (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Aug 16
Tell The Tale (IRE)then Neil Mulholland 2 0 1 10 Jul 16
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Emmet Michael Butterly (2) and Mark Michael McNiff (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 18 0 0% −18.00
Paddy Kennedy 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane Butler 5 0 0% −5.00
Robbie Downey 5 1 20% +5.00
Keith Donoghue 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J T Carroll 2 0 0% −2.00
Marc Monaghan 2 0 0% −2.00
Robert Dunne 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Carroll 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean Levey 2 0 0% −2.00
Derek Fox 1 0 0% −1.00
Danny Mullins 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
1
Archived wins
£23,773
Prize money
2016
Best season · 1 win
Jeremys Joy (IRE) — Glasshouse Hotel Handicap Sligo · Aug 2016
£15,375
Notable horses
Jeremys Joy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Heron Island (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.
Robin Des Pres (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).
Desert King (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.4% from 157.
Diktat (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Jeremy (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,598 runs since 2008 (721 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 76 · newest first

The latest 50 of 76 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 November 2010 to 19 May 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 May 17 Downpatrick Isle Road (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Very Special Hunters Chase22f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 33/1
11 Nov 16 Dundalk (AW) Molans Mare (IRE)J: Robbie Downey Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 66/1
11 Nov 16 Dundalk (AW) Jeremys Joy (IRE)J: Robbie Downey Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 28/1
04 Nov 16 Dundalk (AW) Molans Mare (IRE)J: Andrew Breslin Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (45-65)5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 50/1
29 Oct 16 Leopardstown Jeremys Joy (IRE)J: Robbie Downey Tote Handicap10f · Yielding · 22 ran 22nd 33/1
13 Sep 16 Listowel Jeremys Joy (IRE)J: Robbie Downey Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Handicap8f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 4/1
23 Aug 16 Ballinrobe Isle View (IRE)J: Danny Mullins On Course Vets Beginners Chase19f · Yielding · 10 ran 10th 50/1
19 Aug 16 Kilbeggan Love Secret (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Kilbeggan Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 100/1
03 Aug 16 Sligo Jeremys Joy (IRE)J: Robbie Downey Glasshouse Hotel Handicap10.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 9/1
02 Aug 16 Roscommon Isle View (IRE)J: Derek Fox Class Grass Handicap Hurdle (80-109)23.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 15th 33/1
02 Aug 16 Roscommon Love Secret (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Paul Byron Shoes Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 100/1
30 Jul 16 Galway Jeremys Joy (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Ladbrokes 'the Grid' Handicap (50-80)12f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 11/1
13 Jul 16 Uttoxeter Isle View (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Brown Recycling Conditional Jockeys' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 15/2
10 Jul 16 Perth Tell The Tale (IRE)J: Callum Bewley totepoolliveinfo.com For Racing Results Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
11 Jun 16 Hexham Tell The Tale (IRE)J: Robert Dunne St Martins Care Supporting Marie Curie Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
06 May 16 Downpatrick Isle Road (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Waltz From A Samba Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1
22 Apr 16 Kilbeggan Isle Road (IRE)J: John Fitzpatrick Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 100/1
26 Dec 15 Down Royal Isle Road (IRE)J: Mr A J Fox Dark Horse Wine Bar Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 18th 66/1
18 Nov 15 Fairyhouse Isle Road (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Fairyhouse Membership 2016 Now Available Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 100/1
30 Oct 15 Down Royal Isle Road (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Eventsec Maiden Hurdle22f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jason Cairns's strike rate?
Jason Cairns has won 1 of 76 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Jason Cairns's Fair A/E?
0.34, from 76 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).