No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
15–181
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=181
45 (25%)
Placed
1.37
Fair A/E
n=181 · 1.03 incl. margin
−73.75
£1 level stake
n=181 at SP · −40.7%
£239k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.37).
Deterministic profile computed from 181 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read
The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (22.6%, n=31), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (21.2%, n=33) and off a 15-30-day break (18.8%, n=48). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 31 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Summer Fillies Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2009, £44,268). The stable star of the record was Headford View (IRE) — 5 wins from 35 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−8.3
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +5.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−3.7
n=65 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −45.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+8.4
n=6 · A/E 4.38 · £1 +7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW)22.6% vs 8.3% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going21.2% vs 8.3% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break18.8% vs 8.3% · n=48
On Heavy going0% vs 8.3% · n=31
On Soft going14.3% vs 8.3% · n=49
Over 6f – 7f14.3% vs 8.3% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat111119.9%−33.75
Hurdle3226.3%−19.00
Chase2514%−17.00
NH Flat1317.7%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft49714.3%+4.50
Good3512.9%−27.00
Standard (AW)33721.2%+12.75
Heavy3100%−31.00
Good to Firm2400%−24.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)31722.6%+14.75
Down Royal1417.1%−10.00
Curragh13215.4%+8.00
Cork1000%−10.00
Limerick10110%−2.00
Roscommon8112.5%−3.50
Sligo7114.3%+2.00
Gowran Park700%−7.00
Downpatrick600%−6.00
Navan600%−6.00
Naas600%−6.00
Leopardstown600%−6.00
Galway6116.7%+3.00
Ballinrobe600%−6.00
Fairyhouse500%−5.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 16116.7%+7.00
Class 5200%−2.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14535.7%2.08+7.75
2nd–3rd fav21523.8%2.20+14.50
4th–6th fav39410.3%1.43−2.00
7th+ in betting10710.9%0.29−94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f44511.4%−9.75
6f – 7f42614.3%+1.00
2m1f – 2m4f3837.9%−17.00
1m5f – 2m2514%−16.00
1m2f – 1m4f1800%−18.00
2m5f – 3m1100%−11.00
Under 6f200%−2.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200831516.1%−2.00
20093525.7%−17.00
201041614.6%+2.25
20115123.9%−34.00
20122300%−23.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1101110%−37.75
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners77810.4%−18.25
17+ runners4337%−20.00
11-13 runners3139.7%−13.50
8-10 runners2214.5%−14.00
5-7 runners700%−7.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 24 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.
7 have since run for another yard, most often for Garvan Donnelly (2) and Miss Claire Simpson (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000011474235250
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 7.7% of 898 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.8% from 186.
Charente River (IRE)9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 6.6% of 213 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Definite Article (GB)18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Shinko Forest (IRE)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.
Progeny have won 9.6% of 384 runs since 2008 (29 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 240 · newest first
The latest 50 of 240 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 20 October 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is James Halpin's strike rate?
James Halpin has won 15 of 181 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Halpin do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is James Halpin's Fair A/E?
1.37, from 181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
James Halpin·SR 8.3%·A/E 1.37
KTB
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