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Trainer profile

James Halpin

181 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2012
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
15–181
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=181
45 (25%)
Placed
1.37
Fair A/E
n=181 · 1.03 incl. margin
−73.75
£1 level stake
n=181 at SP · −40.7%
£239k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.37).

Deterministic profile computed from 181 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (22.6%, n=31), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (21.2%, n=33) and off a 15-30-day break (18.8%, n=48). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 31 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Summer Fillies Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2009, £44,268). The stable star of the record was Headford View (IRE) — 5 wins from 35 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−8.3
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +5.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−3.7
n=65 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −45.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+8.4
n=6 · A/E 4.38 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 22.6% vs 8.3% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 21.2% vs 8.3% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break 18.8% vs 8.3% · n=48
On Heavy going 0% vs 8.3% · n=31
On Soft going 14.3% vs 8.3% · n=49
Over 6f – 7f 14.3% vs 8.3% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 111 11 9.9% −33.75
Hurdle 32 2 6.3% −19.00
Chase 25 1 4% −17.00
NH Flat 13 1 7.7% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 49 7 14.3% +4.50
Good 35 1 2.9% −27.00
Standard (AW) 33 7 21.2% +12.75
Heavy 31 0 0% −31.00
Good to Firm 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 31 7 22.6% +14.75
Down Royal 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Curragh 13 2 15.4% +8.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Limerick 10 1 10% −2.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% −3.50
Sligo 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 5 35.7% 2.08 +7.75
2nd–3rd fav 21 5 23.8% 2.20 +14.50
4th–6th fav 39 4 10.3% 1.43 −2.00
7th+ in betting 107 1 0.9% 0.29 −94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Boynagh Joy (IRE) 27 5 13 13 Sep 11
Headford View (IRE) 24 4 9 23 Dec 11
Carmen Tango (IRE)then Garvan Donnelly 11 0 1 20 Oct 12
Our Pearl (IRE)then Miss Claire Simpson 8 0 0 16 Mar 12
Mollys Touch (IRE) 6 0 0 19 Jun 12
Legal Compromise (IRE) 6 0 0 29 Mar 09
Inoffensive (IRE) 4 0 0 2 Feb 11
Theother Haaf (GB)from A Oliver 4 0 0 29 Oct 10
Clarity Of Passion (GB) 4 0 0 14 Dec 09
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Garvan Donnelly (2) and Miss Claire Simpson (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000011474235250
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 22 3 13.6% −1.25
Fran Berry 15 4 26.7% +12.00
Andrew P Thornton 14 0 0% −14.00
Ben Curtis 11 2 18.2% −0.50
Tom Doyle 10 2 20% +7.00
Mr D F Bourke 8 0 0% −8.00
Declan McDonogh 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr A T Duff 5 1 20% +4.00
Robbie Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Levey 4 2 50% +15.00
Conor Maxwell 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J P McKeown 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£268k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Headford View (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Summer Fillies Handicap Curragh · Jun 2009
£44,268
Boynagh Joy (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Cooley Fillies Stakes (Listed) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2010 · Listed
£27,625
Headford View (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Fillies) Handicap (60-100) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2008
£19,530

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bold Fact (USA) 11.5% · 6–52
Progeny have won 7.7% of 898 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.8% from 186.
Charente River (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 6.6% of 213 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Definite Article (GB) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Shinko Forest (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.
Oratorio (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.
Balmont (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.6% of 384 runs since 2008 (29 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 240 · newest first

The latest 50 of 240 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 20 October 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Sep 12 Bath Headford Lady (IRE)J: Cathy Gannon Sds 10th Anniversary Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 25/1
19 Jun 12 Sligo Mollys Touch (IRE)J: Shane Gray Audi Sligo Handicap (47-65)6.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Halpin's strike rate?
James Halpin has won 15 of 181 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Halpin do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is James Halpin's Fair A/E?
1.37, from 181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).