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Trainer profile

Garry Caldwell

46 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 52 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
1–46
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=46
2 (4%)
Placed
1.41
n=46 · 1.12 incl. margin
−38.00
£1 level stake
n=46 at SP · −82.6%
£9,380
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.2
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 0% vs 2.2% · n=33
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.2% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 33 0 0% −33.00
Hurdle 7 1 14.3% +1.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 20 0 0% −20.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Curragh 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 7 1 14.3% 3.54 +1.00
7th+ in betting 39 0 0% 0.00 −39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Our Matilda (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Aug 24
Princess Georgie (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Sep 25
Donadea Dreamer (GB) 3 0 0 15 Jul 23
Quiet Desire (IRE)from Patrick Martin · then John C McConnell 3 0 0 25 Aug 22
Youse Raven Mad (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Jun 26
Belle Coko (IRE) 2 0 0 10 Jun 25
Topomania (GB)from James Horton 2 0 0 6 Jun 25
Girl Crush (IRE)from James McAuley 2 0 0 22 Jul 24
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian Patrick Donoghue (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
01000000000·00
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Kidd 7 0 0% −7.00
Gavin Ryan 7 0 0% −7.00
Kevin Sexton 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Siobhan Rutledge 3 0 0% −3.00
Dylan Browne McMonagle 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack Kearney 3 0 0% −3.00
Rory Cleary 2 0 0% −2.00
Rory Mulligan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr H C Swan 2 0 0% −2.00
Terry Casey 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr J R Martin 1 0 0% −1.00
Finn Brickley 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
9
Archived wins
£76,920
Prize money
2019
Best season · 3 wins
Baby Power (IRE) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap (45-70) Curragh · May 2019
£12,320
Baby Power (IRE) — Dooley Insurance Apprentice Handicap (45-70) Naas · Jul 2019
£7,092
Acari (IRE) — Derek O'Sullivan Memorial Apprentice Handicap (45-70) Curragh · Aug 2019
£6,501

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mehmas (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Australia (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,636 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.
Pether's Moon (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 13.2% of 901 runs since 2008 (106 horses).
Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,408 runs since 2008 (356 horses).
Zebedee (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 250 · newest first

The latest 50 of 250 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2010 to 29 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Jul 24 Ballinrobe Girl Crush (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Tote.ie Claiming Race9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Garry Caldwell's strike rate?
Garry Caldwell has won 1 of 46 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Garry Caldwell's Fair A/E?
1.41, from 46 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).