What is Ms Sheila Lavery's strike rate?

Ms Sheila Lavery has won 44 of 771 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ms Sheila Lavery do best at?

Cork by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ms Sheila Lavery?

Robbie Colgan, with 424 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (5.2%).

Is Ms Sheila Lavery in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ms Sheila Lavery's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ms Sheila Lavery

771 runners in the last 5 seasons · 89 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

44–771

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=771

148 (19%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=768 · 0.69 incl. margin

−232.84

£1 level stake

n=771 at SP · −30.2%

£1.15m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (149 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 771 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.4% 18.2% when favourite Robbie Colgan: 5.2% from 424 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Cork (10%, n=40), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 9.4% (n=149, Fair A/E 1.72), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −15.00 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robbie Colgan rides 55% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (9.7%, n=103) and off a break of 180+ days (8.7%, n=46). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 2.4% over 42 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.50 across 141 runners (3.5% strike, −108.92 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Petingo' Handicap at Leopardstown (Sep 2022, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Danz Gift (IRE) — 7 wins from 64 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.4%+3.7

n=149 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +134.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+14.3

n=5 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +62.00

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−2.5

n=62 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −15.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.4%−3.3

n=42 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −40.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.7

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

18.2%

n=33 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −14.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.5%−0.2

n=127 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −15.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.7%−3.0

n=37 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 9.7% vs 5.7% · n=103

At Cork 10% vs 5.7% · n=40

At trips under 6f 2.4% vs 5.7% · n=42

With first-time headgear 2.4% vs 5.7% · n=42

Off a break of 180+ days 8.7% vs 5.7% · n=46

Off a 8-14-day break 3.5% vs 5.7% · n=141

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 248 18 7.3% −7.25

Soft 233 12 5.2% −140.92

Standard (AW) 130 8 6.2% −46.67

Heavy 77 4 5.2% +9.00

Good to Soft 61 2 3.3% −25.00

Good to Firm 22 0 0% −22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 149 6 4% −86.00

Dundalk (AW) 128 8 6.3% −44.67

Naas 77 5 6.5% +22.00

Leopardstown 75 5 6.7% −14.50

Navan 59 3 5.1% +0.00

Gowran Park 49 3 6.1% −27.67

Cork 40 4 10% +43.00

Roscommon 25 2 8% −9.75

Limerick 22 2 9.1% −7.00

Fairyhouse 19 2 10.5% −13.25

Killarney 16 0 0% −16.00

Tipperary 15 1 6.7% −10.50

Galway 14 0 0% −14.00

Bellewstown 12 0 0% −12.00

Down Royal 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 37 1 2.7% −14.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 8 19% 0.78 −14.17

2nd–3rd fav 97 15 15.5% 1.13 +3.33

4th–6th fav 197 9 4.6% 0.64 −108.00

7th+ in betting 435 12 2.8% 0.91 −114.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Anvika (IRE) 35 3 10 20 Oct 26

Markievicz (IRE) 28 2 5 31 Jan 24

Mapa (CAN) 25 0 3 4 Oct 26

New Hill (IRE) 21 0 3 31 Oct 23

Fort Vega (FR) 20 3 10 10 Oct 26

Nituna (IRE) 20 1 4 28 Oct 24

Toriangel (IRE) 20 2 6 13 Jun 24

Grey Fable (IRE)then Karl Thornton 20 0 3 5 May 24

Tino Pai (IRE) 19 0 3 16 Oct 25

Salah Belle (IRE) 18 2 4 3 Jun 26

Kortez Bay (IRE) 18 2 7 11 May 25

Global Energy (GB) 18 5 7 20 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2) and Tony Carroll (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01889693175017

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobbie Colgan

55% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Robbie Colgan 424 22 5.2% −115.42

Rory Cleary 91 4 4.4% −54.00

Siobhan Rutledge 31 1 3.2% −26.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

146

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.11m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 19 wins

Moracana (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Petingo' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Sep 2022

£88,500

Magnetic North (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Nasrullah' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Jul 2019

£59,000

Fort Vega (FR) — Mallow Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cork · Jun 2025

£59,000

Notable horses

Danz Gift (IRE) Laid Back Luke (IRE) Secret Wizard (IRE) Half Nutz (IRE) Global Energy (GB) Truffles (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 4.8% · 6–125

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,946 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Elzaam (AUS) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,523 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 325.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 2.4% · 1–42

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,172 runs since 2008 (662 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,180 runs since 2008 (1,104 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 957.

New Bay (GB) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,966 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Gustav Klimt (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 6.8% of 517 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,045 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,045 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2013 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tinshona (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Lily Parr (GB)J: Robbie Colgan Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 5th 14/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Anvika (IRE)J: Reese Holohan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran UR 9/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) African Affair (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 6th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Anvika (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 1st 14/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Fort Vega (FR)J: Robbie Colgan Naas Racecourse Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Leveraging (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 16/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Dress Dance (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 15th 40/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Connova (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 8th 4/1J

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Suerte (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 25/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Mapa (CAN)J: Miss R Hogan Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap12f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 33/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Belle Vision (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 100/1

01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Tintinabulla (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 13/2

01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Lily Parr (GB)J: Robbie Colgan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 3/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Connova (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap12f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 7/2

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kokoshanelle (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 100/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Leveraging (IRE)J: Jack Cleary View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Suerte (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll BAR 1 Betting 'Bet €10 Get €70' Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Dress Dance (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div II)9f · Good · 13 ran 11th 14/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lily Parr (GB)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap9f · Good · 14 ran 7th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms Sheila Lavery's strike rate?: Ms Sheila Lavery has won 44 of 771 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms Sheila Lavery do best at?: Cork by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ms Sheila Lavery?: Robbie Colgan, with 424 runners since 2022 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (5.2%).
Is Ms Sheila Lavery in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ms Sheila Lavery's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 768 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.