Erwan Bureller
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 20 times a season, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60). When claiming the record reads 10% (82 rides).
Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 9.8% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.37), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0.6% (n=160, Fair A/E 0.20). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.29 and −81.00 to a £1 stake over 133 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. E Lecoiffier supplies 29% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Flat races (10.8%, n=83) and over 1m5f – 2m (8.7%, n=46). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Prince d'Ecouen at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2017, £40,385).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 406 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 406 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 November 2005 to 11 March 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Erwan Bureller's strike rate?
- Erwan Bureller has won 19 of 400 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Erwan Bureller do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 189 rides (3.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Erwan Bureller ride most for?
- E Lecoiffier, with 114 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (5.3%).
- What is Erwan Bureller's Fair A/E?
- 0.60, from 353 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.