What is Erwann Lebreton's strike rate?

Erwann Lebreton has won 4 of 152 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Erwann Lebreton do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Erwann Lebreton's Fair A/E?

0.61, from 151 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Erwann Lebreton

152 rides in the lifetime window · 115 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2020 95% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

4–152

Wins / Runs

2.6%

Strike rate

n=152

16 (11%)

Placed

0.61

Fair A/E

n=151 · 0.51 incl. margin

−109.40

£1 level stake

n=152 at SP · −72.0%

£85,155

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 4% off breaks of two months or more (45 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.4% First rides: 3.5% Claiming: 3.4%

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (6.3%, n=32), clear of the rider's 2.6% baseline. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −73.40 to a £1 stake over 116 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.37 across 81 rides (1.2% strike, −66.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.5%+0.9

n=115 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −72.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−2.6

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.4%+1.8

n=45 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −37.10

When favourite

100%

n=2 · A/E 4.26 · £1 +5.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.4%+0.8

n=116 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −73.40

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.3%−1.3

n=75 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −69.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−2.6

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 6.3% vs 2.6% · n=32

At Chantilly (FR) 0% vs 2.6% · n=48

Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=44

On Standard (AW) going 1.2% vs 2.6% · n=81 · A/E 0.37

On first rides for the horse 3.5% vs 2.6% · n=115 · A/E 0.84

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 145 4 2.8% −102.40

Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 81 1 1.2% −66.00

Good 23 0 0% −23.00

Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00

Soft 18 3 16.7% +9.60

Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 48 0 0% −48.00

Deauville (FR) 39 1 2.6% −24.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 32 2 6.3% −24.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 14 1 7.1% +5.70

Longchamp (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Auteuil (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Enghien (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 2 100% 4.26 +5.90

2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00

4th–6th fav 20 1 5% 0.57 −0.30

7th+ in betting 118 1 0.8% 0.40 −103.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Happy Ending (FR) 5 0 1 9 Mar 20

Bliss In The City (FR) 5 1 2 26 Jun 17

Ring My Bell (FR) 4 0 0 13 Feb 18

Insolito (FR) 4 0 0 7 May 16

Le Mecene (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Dec 17

Flying Ballerina (IRE) 3 0 0 11 Oct 17

Miss Grisi (FR) 3 0 0 17 Mar 16

Picasso Do Brasil (FR) 3 0 1 24 Apr 15

Chailloue (FR) 2 0 1 6 Nov 19

Naousa (FR) 2 0 0 30 Oct 19

Paris Seychelles (FR) 2 0 0 13 Nov 18

Classic Red (IRE) 2 0 0 11 Apr 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 115 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00001400001305

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

A Bonin 16 0 0% −16.00

F Vermeulen 16 3 18.8% +6.90

C Laffon-Parias 11 0 0% −11.00

P De Chevigny 9 0 0% −9.00

J-P Gallorini 8 0 0% −8.00

Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez 5 0 0% −5.00

F Alloncle 4 0 0% −4.00

C Restout 3 0 0% −3.00

I Endaltsev 3 0 0% −3.00

Matthieu Palussiere 3 0 0% −3.00

Louis Baudron 3 0 0% −3.00

M Aubry 3 0 0% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£85,155

Prize money

2017

Best season · 2 wins

Amazing (FR) — Prix du Grand Chesnaie (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Colts & Geldings) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2016

£9,926

Sun Sea Bird (FR) — Prix de Rodez (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2017

£8,120

Bliss In The City (FR) — Prix du Petit Morin (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2016

£6,985

Notable horses

Bliss In The City (FR) Amazing (FR) Sun Sea Bird (FR) Kalahari Soldier (GER)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive City (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,429 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Rajsaman (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,839 runs since 2016 (311 horses).

American Post (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.

Diamond Green (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.4% of 2,572 runs since 2010 (261 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.9% from 286.

Turtle Bowl (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,307 runs since 2011 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14% from 136. Weakest on Good going: 6.1% from 293. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.4% from 146.

Chichi Creasy (FR) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 3.5% of 370 runs since 2012 (46 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 152 · newest first

The latest 50 of 152 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 September 2014 to 9 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Mar 20 Chantilly (FR) Happy Ending (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix du Noyer (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 54/1

20 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Wooldix (FR)T: Mme Stephanie Penot Prix du Crochet de Coye (Claimer) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 46/1

14 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Enjoy Bilberry (FR)T: Melanie Van Den Weghe Prix du Carrefour des Debardeurs (Claimer) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 124/1

14 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Nice Lucy (FR)T: Mlle Audrey Blandeyrac Prix de la Route Bourbon (Conditions) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 133/1

11 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Zimbaldino (FR)T: M Delzangles Prix du Carrefour du Chapitre (Claimer) (4yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (AW Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 24/1

11 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Happy Ending (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix de la Premiere Route Ronde (Conditions) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 22/1

30 Jan 20 Chantilly (FR) Gymkhana (GB)T: P De Chevigny Prix de Plailly (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 52/1

24 Jan 20 Chantilly (FR) Happy Ending (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix du Chemin de Hallage (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 4th 22/1

04 Jan 20 Deauville (FR) Happy Ending (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix de la Seullette (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 46/1

03 Jan 20 Deauville (FR) Loona Spigao (FR)T: Mlle Audrey Blandeyrac Prix des Rouges Terres (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 72/1

23 Dec 19 Chantilly (FR) Happy Ending (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix Watermael-Boitsfort (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 65/1

14 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Lone Peak (FR)T: F Head Prix de Roiville (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 9/1

14 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Sea Weed (FR)T: G Doleuze Prix des Perrets (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 101/1

01 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Life Power (GER)T: M Nigge Prix de Hieville (Claimer) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 17/2

27 Nov 19 Deauville (FR) Geronimix (FR)T: P Leblanc Prix de Formentin (Claimer) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 46/1

06 Nov 19 Chantilly (FR) Chailloue (FR)T: M Nigge Prix de l'Embarcadere (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 29/10

30 Oct 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Naousa (FR)T: Dennis Van Dyck Prix de Courtrai (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 32/1

18 Oct 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Naousa (FR)T: Dennis Van Dyck Prix de Bezons (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 20/1

16 Oct 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Chailloue (FR)T: M Nigge Prix Banassa (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)12.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 22/5

12 Sep 19 Longchamp (FR) Croquembouche (FR)T: P De Chevigny Prix du Rouvray (Claimer) (2yo) (Grande Course) (Turf)9f · Good · 9 ran 5th 14/5

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Erwann Lebreton's strike rate?: Erwann Lebreton has won 4 of 152 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Erwann Lebreton do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Erwann Lebreton's Fair A/E?: 0.61, from 151 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.