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Jockey profile

Francis Ferris

663 rides in our archive record, 2005–2006 · 360 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2006 100% of rides on the flat
Archive record 2005–2006
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 3 Jan 2005 to 19 Oct 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
44–663
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=663
119 (18%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=659 · 1.07 incl. margin
+22.50
£1 level stake
n=663 at SP · +3.4%
£269k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode 663 times in our archive record (2005–2006), almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 1.29).

Deterministic profile computed from 663 archived runs (archive record 2005–2006) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun Bryn Palling: 9.4% from 202
The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (11.7%, n=77), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 5.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +87.00 to a £1 stake over 210 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Bryn Palling supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.4% vs 6.6%, A/E 1.58) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Soft going (13.2%, n=38). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 31 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −4.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.2%−1.4
n=210 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +87.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With David Evans 0% vs 6.6% · n=52
On Soft going 13.2% vs 6.6% · n=38
With Rae Guest 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=56
In Class 2 0% vs 6.6% · n=31
At Windsor 0% vs 6.6% · n=30
At Chepstow 11.7% vs 6.6% · n=77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 242 16 6.6% −70.00
Good to Firm 164 11 6.7% −45.50
Good 119 8 6.7% +37.50
Good to Soft 56 1 1.8% −30.00
Firm 38 3 7.9% −11.00
Soft 38 5 13.2% +147.50
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton 121 11 9.1% −8.00
Chepstow 77 9 11.7% +177.00
Southwell (AW) 59 4 6.8% −7.00
Lingfield (AW) 56 1 1.8% −49.00
Bath 49 4 8.2% +10.00
Leicester 39 3 7.7% +18.00
Windsor 30 0 0% −30.00
Nottingham 25 2 8% +3.00
Yarmouth 24 2 8.3% −8.00
Warwick 23 0 0% −23.00
Newmarket 17 0 0% −17.00
Goodwood 17 3 17.6% +28.50
Lingfield 15 2 13.3% +2.00
Folkestone 13 0 0% −13.00
Brighton 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 252 16 6.3% +79.00
Class 6 193 12 6.2% −37.50
Class 7 103 10 9.7% +3.50
Class 4 62 5 8.1% +9.50
Class 2 31 0 0% −31.00
Class 3 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 3 23.1% 1.16 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 56 8 14.3% 1.22 +1.50
4th–6th fav 169 19 11.2% 1.49 +13.50
7th+ in betting 425 14 3.3% 1.14 +6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Elidore (GB) 15 2 4 16 Sep 06
Daniella (GB) 13 3 6 12 Oct 06
Indian Edge (GB) 13 3 7 10 Oct 06
Carcinetto (IRE) 13 2 3 8 Aug 06
Cyfrwys (IRE) 12 1 4 7 Mar 06
Danielle's Lad (GB) 10 0 2 23 Aug 06
Corrib (IRE) 9 3 4 5 Sep 06
Jakarmi (GB) 9 0 5 22 Jun 06
Polesworth (GB) 9 2 3 18 Dec 05
Inka Dancer (IRE) 8 1 2 5 Sep 06
Feisty (GB) 7 3 3 19 Oct 06
Trifti (GB) 7 2 4 2 Oct 06
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 360 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
261261197652130
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardBryn Palling
30% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.58
TrainerRWSR£1
Bryn Palling 202 19 9.4% +56.00
Rae Guest 56 7 12.5% +10.50
David Evans 52 0 0% −52.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
44
Archived wins
£269k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 27 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Tanforan (GB) — Halliwell Jones BMW - Mile Handicap) Chester · Jul 2005 · Class 3
£9,787
Establishment (GB) — Avtrade Handicap Goodwood · May 2005 · Class 4
£7,019
Giocoso (USA) — Charlie Crocker Handicap Goodwood · Jun 2005 · Class 4
£6,978
Notable horses
Daniella (GB) Indian Edge (GB) Corrib (IRE) Feisty (GB) Elidore (GB) Carcinetto (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Danetime (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,843 runs since 2005 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 414. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.1% from 148.
Mujahid (USA) 23.5% · 4–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,739 runs since 2005 (195 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 7.1% from 353.
Wizard King (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 6% of 1,684 runs since 2005 (146 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9% from 401.
Dansili (GB) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 13.6% of 14,025 runs since 2005 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.1% from 479. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.
Indian Rocket (GB) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 8% of 1,854 runs since 2005 (160 horses).
Foxhound (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 6.6% of 3,032 runs since 2005 (167 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 10.4% from 115. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 781.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 663 · newest first

The latest 50 of 663 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2006.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 06 Brighton Feisty (GB)T: Rae Guest Sporting Index Nursery HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 50/1
18 Oct 06 Nottingham Top Jaro (FR)T: Tom Tate Savills Nottingham HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 40/1
13 Oct 06 Warwick Feisty (GB)T: Rae Guest Entertain Clients At Warwick Racecourse Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 18/1
12 Oct 06 Newmarket Daniella (GB)T: Rae Guest E.B.F. Boadicea Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 33/1
10 Oct 06 Newbury Indian Edge (GB)T: Bryn Palling Electrolux Professional HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 40/1
09 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Teide Lady (GB)T: Rae Guest Ringside Suite 700 Theatre Style Conference HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard To Fast · 13 ran 3rd 33/1
09 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Mynd (GB)T: Bryn Palling Holiday Inn Dunstall Park HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Fast · 12 ran 12th 14/1
09 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Byanita (IRE)T: Bryn Palling Wolverhampton-racecourse.Co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Fast · 11 ran 9th 40/1
09 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Silvanella (IRE)T: Malcolm Saunders Frank Conlon Lifetime In Racing Median Auction Mdn (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Fast · 10 ran 8th 40/1
08 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Brunelleschi (GB)T: Patrick Gilligan Niel Jackson Mid-Morning HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1
04 Oct 06 Nottingham Indian Edge (GB)T: Bryn Palling wbx.com World Bet Exchange HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 40/1
02 Oct 06 Wolverhampton (AW) Trifti (GB)T: C A Cyzer Zongalero Restaurant HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard To Fast · 11 ran 11th 9/1
30 Sep 06 Newmarket Dramaticus (GB)T: Bryn Palling Toteexacta HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 100/1
26 Sep 06 Goodwood Daniella (GB)T: Rae Guest Merbury Catering Supreme Stakes (Grp3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 5th 50/1
26 Sep 06 Goodwood Urban Warrior (GB)T: Norma Twomey Electrolux Professional Nursery HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1
25 Sep 06 Bath Filliemou (IRE)T: Tony Carroll University Maiden Fillies' Stks (Div 1)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 200/1
23 Sep 06 Ascot Teide Lady (GB)T: Rae Guest Rosemary Stakes (Fillies Listed H'cap)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 100/1
22 Sep 06 Ascot Teide Lady (GB)T: Rae Guest Princess Royal Stakes (Fillies' Grp3)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 100/1
20 Sep 06 Redcar Feisty (GB)T: Rae Guest PMPS Achieving Nursery Handicap (Str)Class 6 · 8f · Firm · 17 ran 16th 14/1
16 Sep 06 Warwick Elidore (GB)T: Bryn Palling Beech-Hurst HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francis Ferris's strike rate?
Francis Ferris has won 44 of 663 rides between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Francis Ferris do best at?
Chepstow by strike rate: 9 wins from 77 rides (11.7%) between 2005 and 2006. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Francis Ferris ride most for?
Bryn Palling, with 202 rides between 2005 and 2006 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (9.4%).
What is Francis Ferris's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 659 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.