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Jockey profile

Gavin Lerena

55 rides in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 133 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–55
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=55
12 (22%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=55 · 0.72 incl. margin
−8.50
£1 level stake
n=55 at SP · −15.5%
£75,983
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance First rides: 7.8%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.8%+0.5
n=51 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −4.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 7.3% vs 7.3% · n=55 · A/E 0.82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 23 3 13% +19.00
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ascot 7 2 28.6% +30.00
Goodwood 6 0 0% −6.00
Newmarket 5 1 20% −0.50
Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00
Sandown 4 0 0% −4.00
Brighton 4 1 25% +1.00
Greyville (SAF) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 17 1 5.9% −12.00
Class 4 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 9 2 22.2% +6.50
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 5 1 20% +21.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.14 −1.50
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.52 −11.00
7th+ in betting 20 1 5% 1.34 +6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zzoro (IRE) 2 1 1 22 Jun 17
Venutius (GB) 2 0 0 19 Jun 17
Fair Selene (GB) 2 0 2 15 Jun 17
Lightoller (IRE) 2 0 1 13 Jun 17
Whistle The Tune (SAF) 1 0 0 4 Jul 26
Minogue (SAF) 1 0 0 4 Jul 26
Malmesbury Missile (SAF) 1 0 0 30 May 26
Extraction (USA) 1 0 0 24 Jun 17
Childesplay (GB) 1 0 0 23 Jun 17
Winston C (IRE) 1 0 0 23 Jun 17
Splash Around (GB) 1 0 0 22 Jun 17
Same Jurisdiction (SAF) 1 0 0 21 Jun 17
All 51 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
····53040····
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Charles Hills 17 0 0% −17.00
Amanda Perrett 13 2 15.4% +17.50
Mick Channon 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Heather Main 5 0 0% −5.00
Richard Hannon 2 1 50% +9.00
Candice & Tammy Dawson 2 0 0% −2.00
Martyn Meade 2 0 0% −2.00
Ed Dunlop 2 0 0% −2.00
Robert Cowell 1 0 0% −1.00
David Simcock 1 0 0% −1.00
Justin Snaith 1 0 0% −1.00
Charlie Fellowes 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
4
Archived wins
£75,983
Prize money
2017
Best season · 2 wins
Arch Villain (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Ascot · Aug 2016 · Class 2
£22,193
Danehill Kodiac (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) Ascot · Aug 2016 · Class 3
£22,131
Zzoro (IRE) — McCulloughs Air-Conditioning And Ventilation Handicap Newmarket · May 2017 · Class 3
£7,763
Notable horses
Zzoro (IRE) Jersey Breeze (IRE) Danehill Kodiac (IRE) Arch Villain (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,160 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,193.
Harbour Watch (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2016 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 322. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Arch (USA) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.
Dark Angel (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,399 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,543 runs since 2014 (549 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 55 · newest first

The latest 50 of 55 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 August 2016 to 4 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Jul 26 Greyville (SAF) Whistle The Tune (SAF)T: Candice & Tammy Dawson Ridgemont Garden Province Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)8f · Good · 10 ran 7th 50/1
04 Jul 26 Greyville (SAF) Minogue (SAF)T: Candice & Tammy Dawson Hollywoodbets Durban July Handicap) (Turf)11f · Good · 18 ran 14th 50/1
30 May 26 Greyville (SAF) Malmesbury Missile (SAF)T: Justin Snaith Daily News 2000 (Turf)10f · Good · 11 ran 5th 33/1
24 Jun 17 Newmarket Extraction (USA)T: Martyn Meade Royal Ascot Betting At 188bet EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 14/1
23 Jun 17 Newmarket Childesplay (GB)T: Heather Main Fly London Southend Airport To Budapest Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 25/1
23 Jun 17 Newmarket Winston C (IRE)T: Michael Bell Fly London Southend Airport To Milan HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 8/1
22 Jun 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Splash Around (GB)T: Sir Michael Stoute Essex Life HandicapClass 4 · 14f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 11/4
22 Jun 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Zzoro (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett Lexus Ipswich HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 5/1
21 Jun 17 Ascot Same Jurisdiction (SAF)T: Ed Dunlop Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) (Str)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 125/1
21 Jun 17 Ascot Barrington (IRE)T: Charles Hills Jersey Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 18th 100/1
20 Jun 17 Brighton Jersey Breeze (IRE)T: Mick Channon Human League 8 Sept HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 4/1
20 Jun 17 Brighton Whiteley (IRE)T: Mick Channon Labyrinth Challenge 18 Aug HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 6/1
19 Jun 17 Windsor Red Emperor (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett Best Of British Festival 1-3 July HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 16/1
19 Jun 17 Windsor Venutius (GB)T: Charles Hills Sky Bet Specials At Royal Ascot HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 16/1
19 Jun 17 Windsor The Kiddie Kid (GB)T: Mick Channon Burning Bright Productions Selling StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 33/1
19 Jun 17 Windsor Simply Big (GB)T: Charles Hills Ebf Stallions Novice StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 15/2
17 Jun 17 Sandown The Warrior (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett Randox Health HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 20/1
16 Jun 17 Sandown Chaparrachik (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett Dr Lucy Free HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 13/2
16 Jun 17 Sandown Zamalight (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Beck HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 14/1
16 Jun 17 Sandown Artful Rogue (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett George Lindon-travers Memorial HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Lerena's strike rate?
Gavin Lerena has won 4 of 55 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Gavin Lerena's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 55 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).