Grace McEntee
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (66 rides). Rides mostly for Phil McEntee — 40% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.5% over 81 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.7% (n=66, Fair A/E 1.31), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.75). Phil McEntee supplies 40% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15%, n=107) and at trips under 6f (12.9%, n=171). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 32 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Contingency Fee (GB) — 11 wins from 52 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,456 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,456 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2018 to 27 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 15 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Grace McEntee's strike rate?
- Grace McEntee has won 64 of 825 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Grace McEntee do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 5 wins from 43 rides (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Grace McEntee ride most for?
- Phil McEntee, with 326 rides since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (8.3%).
- Is Grace McEntee in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Grace McEntee's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 817 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.