What is Harry Russell's strike rate?

Harry Russell has won 78 of 1,070 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Russell do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 105 rides (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Harry Russell ride most for?

Ollie Pears, with 226 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.4%).

What is Harry Russell's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,063 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Harry Russell

1,070 rides in the last 5 seasons · 503 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 16 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

78–1,070

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=1,070

236 (22%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,063 · 0.79 incl. margin

−114.64

£1 level stake

n=1,070 at SP · −10.7%

£809k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (78 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,070 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 26% when favourite Ollie Pears: 8.4% from 226 LTO winners: 14.1% Claiming: 10.9% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Doncaster (0% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.1% (n=78, Fair A/E 1.03), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.84). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −28.54 to a £1 stake over 469 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ollie Pears supplies 21% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The standout partner of the record: Ready Freddie Go (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%−2.8

n=469 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −28.54

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.1%+6.8

n=78 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +1.23

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.1%−3.2

n=146 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −65.12

When favourite

26%

n=50 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −10.47

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.9%+3.6

n=312 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +155.43

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−2.5

n=104 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +9.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Geoff Oldroyd 18.5% vs 7.3% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 14.1% vs 7.3% · n=78

At Doncaster 0% vs 7.3% · n=38

With new recruits 0% vs 7.3% · n=30

With Richard Fahey 1.5% vs 7.3% · n=65

When claiming 10.9% vs 7.3% · n=312

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 483 42 8.7% −86.32

Good 232 11 4.7% +106.00

Good to Firm 170 14 8.2% −16.32

Good to Soft 93 4 4.3% −61.88

Soft 74 6 8.1% −41.00

Heavy 18 1 5.6% −15.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 258 21 8.1% −32.63

Southwell (AW) 108 8 7.4% −22.77

Wolverhampton (AW) 105 12 11.4% −27.92

Catterick 80 5 6.3% −55.12

Beverley 73 3 4.1% −59.92

Redcar 67 3 4.5% −50.90

Thirsk 57 6 10.5% +41.00

Doncaster 38 0 0% −38.00

Hamilton 28 3 10.7% +183.00

Musselburgh 28 1 3.6% −19.50

York 28 4 14.3% +52.00

Ripon 27 1 3.7% +2.00

Ayr 27 2 7.4% −19.88

Carlisle 27 1 3.7% −19.50

Chester 22 2 9.1% +9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 456 33 7.2% −174.61

Class 5 340 25 7.4% +117.35

Class 4 191 13 6.8% −48.38

Class 3 52 5 9.6% +12.50

Class 2 25 2 8% −15.50

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 59 14 23.7% 0.85 −16.47

2nd–3rd fav 169 24 14.2% 0.92 −40.67

4th–6th fav 334 27 8.1% 1.10 −50.50

7th+ in betting 508 13 2.6% 0.84 −7.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ready Freddie Go (IRE) 31 4 9 31 Oct 25

Spartan Fighter (GB) 21 3 5 28 Oct 24

Tathmeen (IRE) 20 3 10 23 Apr 24

Glory Call (IRE) 16 3 5 20 Mar 25

Golden Gal (IRE) 16 2 5 28 Aug 24

Indefensible (IRE) 15 2 8 17 Oct 26

Kaaress (IRE) 15 2 3 29 Sep 25

Clear Angel (GB) 15 2 8 26 Aug 25

Sixcor (GB) 12 2 6 13 Jun 23

Keldeo (GB) 11 1 2 6 Oct 26

Rise Hall (GB) 11 0 0 31 Jul 24

Let's Go Hugo (IRE) 10 0 0 8 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 503 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

714993791134910

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardOllie Pears

21% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Ollie Pears 226 19 8.4% −71.07

Brian Ellison 146 12 8.2% −72.82

Antony Brittain 138 14 10.1% +34.50

Geoff Oldroyd 65 12 18.5% +85.50

Richard Fahey 65 1 1.5% −54.00

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 39 3 7.7% +19.50

Susan Corbett 34 2 5.9% −22.75

Linda Perratt 34 4 11.8% −13.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

136

Archived wins

£1.26m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 28 wins

Tashkhan (IRE) — Bet365 Handicap Haydock · Jul 2021 · Class 2

£51,540

Pallas Dancer (GB) — Betway All-Weather Vase Apprentice Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2022 · Class 4

£23,399

Doctor Khan Junior (GB) — Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 2

£13,608

Notable horses

Ready Freddie Go (IRE) Doctor Khan Junior (GB) Spartan Fighter (GB) Tathmeen (IRE) Glory Call (IRE) Lucky Lodge (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Cotai Glory (GB) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,971 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,433. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,650 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 245. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Muhaarar (GB) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,840 runs since 2019 (414 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,160 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,193.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,721 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,721 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 November 2016 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Savernake (IRE)T: Antony Brittain All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 20/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Masai Angel (FR)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Boy Star (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Sunday River (GB)T: Brian Ellison Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 16/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Freddie Steady Go (GB)T: Susan Corbett Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 4/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Vega Storm (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 8/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) London Rose (IRE)T: Ollie Pears AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Force (IRE)T: Antony Brittain Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 13/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Indefensible (IRE)T: Ollie Pears William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 6th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Qila (GB)T: Brian Ellison QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

13 Oct 26 Leicester Kissamee (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 66/1

10 Oct 26 York Freddie Steady Go (GB)T: Susan Corbett Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 3rd 20/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Prince Of Pillo (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 66/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Keldeo (GB)T: Ollie Pears bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Pontefract Bloodsweatandtyres (GB)T: Brian Ellison Autism In Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Aughavannon (IRE)T: Simon Waugh Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 300/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Dabbling (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Indefensible (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 14/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) True Promise (GB)T: Fionn McSharry Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Hidden Army (IRE)T: Ollie Pears United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 24 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Russell's strike rate?: Harry Russell has won 78 of 1,070 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Russell do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 105 rides (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Russell ride most for?: Ollie Pears, with 226 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.4%).
What is Harry Russell's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,063 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.