What is Ali Stronge's strike rate?

Ali Stronge has won 14 of 190 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ali Stronge do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Ali Stronge's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 188 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ali Stronge

190 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

14–190

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=190

37 (20%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=188 · 0.84 incl. margin

−52.87

£1 level stake

n=190 at SP · −27.8%

£117k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 190 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (3.1% over 32 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (11.1%, n=45). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 3% over 33 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.62 across 101 runners (5% strike, −69.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Storm Melody (GB) — 9 wins from 77 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7%−0.4

n=43 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −20.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.4

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%+1.7

n=11 · A/E 1.87 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+25.9

n=12 · A/E 3.49 · £1 +31.00

When favourite

11.1%

n=9 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −6.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.3%−1.1

n=16 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +25.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3% vs 7.4% · n=33

At Lingfield (AW) 3.1% vs 7.4% · n=32

Off a 31-60-day break 11.1% vs 7.4% · n=45

With a new jockey booking 4.4% vs 7.4% · n=90

With C&D winners 10.9% vs 7.4% · n=46

On Standard (AW) going 5% vs 7.4% · n=101

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 152 9 5.9% −43.75

Chase 20 5 25% +8.88

Hurdle 11 0 0% −11.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 101 5 5% −69.75

Good to Soft 29 5 17.2% −0.62

Good 28 1 3.6% −19.50

Good to Firm 21 2 9.5% +7.00

Soft 11 1 9.1% +30.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 32 1 3.1% −23.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 27 2 7.4% −14.50

Kempton (AW) 26 2 7.7% −16.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Leicester 11 1 9.1% +10.00

Newbury 9 0 0% −9.00

Southwell 7 2 28.6% +9.50

Lingfield 6 0 0% −6.00

Hereford 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Brighton 5 2 40% +10.00

Bath 5 0 0% −5.00

Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00

Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00

Salisbury 4 0 0% −4.00

Exeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 102 8 7.8% −14.75

Class 5 68 5 7.4% −26.62

Class 4 18 1 5.6% −9.50

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 1 10% 0.39 −7.62

2nd–3rd fav 25 6 24% 1.51 +10.25

4th–6th fav 64 5 7.8% 0.93 −26.50

7th+ in betting 91 2 2.2% 0.82 −29.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Storm Melody (GB)from Jonjo O'Neill 26 1 4 31 Dec 23

Estrela Star (IRE) 14 2 3 19 Oct 23

Ardmayle (IRE) 12 3 4 7 May 24

Angel Of Antrim (IRE)then Ed Dunlop 12 1 3 18 Oct 23

Fantastic Artist (IRE) 11 0 0 1 Apr 24

Lake Sand (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 11 0 1 25 Feb 23

Musical Mystery (GB)then Ed Dunlop 10 0 3 5 Jul 23

Gatwick Kitten (USA)from D K Weld · then Ed Dunlop 8 2 4 13 Oct 22

Yorktown (IRE)from David Simcock 8 1 4 18 May 22

Renardeau (GB) 7 0 2 24 Jan 24

Vinaka (IRE)from Roger Teal · then Dominic Ffrench Davis 7 1 3 18 Oct 23

Helluvaboy (IRE) 6 1 1 25 Sep 22

All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Phillip Makin (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Ed Dunlop (3) and Dominic Ffrench Davis (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

01917115081206010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 26 2 7.7% −11.00

Ross Coakley 25 1 4% −21.25

Ray Dawson 21 1 4.8% −14.00

Brendan Powell 13 2 15.4% −0.50

Miss Sophie Smith 8 0 0% −8.00

Luke Morris 8 0 0% −8.00

James Davies 6 0 0% −6.00

Franny Norton 5 1 20% +3.00

Finley Marsh 5 0 0% −5.00

James Bowen 4 3 75% +12.38

Mr Daniel Kyne 4 0 0% −4.00

Jim Crowley 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

116

Archived wins

£852k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 16 wins

Royal Guardsman (IRE) — Bet365 Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£22,743

Royal Guardsman (IRE) — Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Feb 2015 · Class 3

£12,512

Blu Cavalier (GB) — Bet365 Handicap Hurdle Doncaster · Dec 2019 · Class 2

£12,512

Notable horses

Storm Melody (GB) Ardmayle (IRE) Meetings Man (IRE) Estrela Star (IRE) Renardeau (GB) Proud Times (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Casamento (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,617 runs since 2008 (298 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.4% from 496. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,841 runs since 2008 (1,593 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Whitmore's Conn (USA) 25% · 3–12

Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Zoffany (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,758 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2012 to 19 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Dec 24 Exeter Lions Peak (IRE)J: Charlie Deutsch Coreus Group Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 80/1

27 May 24 Leicester Valegro (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Loros Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 25/1

07 May 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Boost Your Football Acca At PlanetSportBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1

01 Apr 24 Huntingdon Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: James Davies Read Henry Brooke On Blog.Rhino.Bet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1

27 Mar 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Ben Jones Horse Racing On Another Planet Podcast Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 9/1

11 Mar 24 Taunton Ardmayle (IRE)J: Brendan Powell William Hill Cheltenham Offers Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1

10 Mar 24 Warwick Lions Peak (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Olly Murphy Racing Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 50/1

13 Feb 24 Lingfield Ill Reef (FR)J: Brendan Powell Download The Racing App Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

02 Feb 24 Southwell Ill Reef (FR)J: Brendan Powell Off The Fence On youtube.com/attheraces Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran F 100/1

29 Jan 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Ben Jones Best Odds Guaranteed At PlanetSportBet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

24 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Renardeau (GB)J: Ross Coakley Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 11/1

23 Jan 24 Newbury Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 300/1

23 Jan 24 Newbury Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 250/1

12 Jan 24 Wincanton Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Two Mile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 10th 125/1

04 Jan 24 Hereford Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Best Odds Guaranteed At PlanetSportBet Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1

31 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Storm Melody (GB)J: Robert Havlin Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 28/1

22 Dec 23 Ascot Ardmayle (IRE)J: Brendan Powell WB Wealth Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 150/1

11 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (AWT)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 5th 50/1

05 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Renardeau (GB)J: Ross Coakley BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 40/1

21 Nov 23 Hereford Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Download The PlanetSportBet App Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ali Stronge's strike rate?: Ali Stronge has won 14 of 190 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ali Stronge do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Ali Stronge's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 188 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.