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Trainer profile

Victor Dartnall

163 runners in the last 5 seasons · 27 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
20–163
Wins / Runs
12.3%
Strike rate
n=163
50 (31%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=163 · 1.09 incl. margin
+45.95
£1 level stake
n=163 at SP · +28.2%
£202k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.29).

Deterministic profile computed from 163 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Alan Johns: 9.5% from 74 Claiming riders: 12.5%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). Alan Johns rides 45% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.5% vs 12.3%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (21.6%, n=51) and on Good going (19.4%, n=31). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 7.7% over 52 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.82 across 51 runners (7.8% strike, −15.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (Mar 2009, £57,010). The stable star of the record: Seebright (GB) — 9 wins from 19 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−12.3
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+0.2
n=48 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −1.63
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 21.6% vs 12.3% · n=51
On Good going 19.4% vs 12.3% · n=31
Over 2m5f – 3m 19.4% vs 12.3% · n=31
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.7% vs 12.3% · n=52
On Good to Soft going 7.8% vs 12.3% · n=51
In Class 6 16.7% vs 12.3% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 65 8 12.3% +64.50
Flat 57 8 14% +0.12
Chase 28 4 14.3% −5.67
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 51 4 7.8% −15.25
Soft 34 4 11.8% −11.67
Good 31 6 19.4% +67.87
Standard (AW) 27 2 7.4% +0.00
Heavy 14 3 21.4% +0.00
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Taunton 21 3 14.3% +41.50
Exeter 19 1 5.3% −14.67
Chepstow 14 2 14.3% +0.25
Ffos Las 14 5 35.7% +32.12
Wincanton 12 2 16.7% +15.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Bath 9 2 22.2% −0.75
Kempton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00
Sandown 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 4 1 25% +15.00
Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00
Fontwell 4 1 25% +0.00
Hereford 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton 3 1 33.3% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 48 8 16.7% +9.12
Class 4 45 4 8.9% +26.00
Class 5 43 4 9.3% −4.00
Class 3 17 3 17.6% +20.50
Class 2 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.20 −0.38
2nd–3rd fav 41 6 14.6% 0.94 −12.17
4th–6th fav 58 8 13.8% 1.87 +47.50
7th+ in betting 51 2 3.9% 1.30 +11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lhebayeb (GER)from Paul George · then Richard Price 18 3 11 8 Jan 24
Arthalot (IRE)from Paul George · then Robbie Llewellyn 16 0 1 5 May 24
Run To Milan (IRE) 13 1 7 23 Mar 24
Salta Resta (GB) 13 2 3 17 Nov 23
Aurigny Mill (FR)then Robert Walford 11 3 4 11 May 24
Haldon Hill (IRE) 11 3 4 25 Mar 24
Atjima (IRE) 10 1 1 24 Apr 24
Pride Of Paris (IRE)then Harry Derham 8 1 1 6 May 24
River Bray (IRE) 7 2 2 25 Feb 23
Sympathise (IRE)from Paul George 6 3 4 22 Sep 23
Minnie Escape (GB) 6 0 3 18 Apr 22
Native Moon (IRE)then Jeremy Scott 5 0 1 26 May 24
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul George (4); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Jeremy Scott (2) and Roger Ingram (2); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1382041717050013613
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlan Johns
45% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Alan Johns 74 7 9.5% +37.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
288
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£2.31m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Russian Trigger (GB) — John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Mar 2009 · Listed
£57,010
Exmoor Ranger (IRE) — United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ascot · Oct 2011 · Grade 3
£56,270
Giles Cross (IRE) — Betfred Grand National Trial (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Haydock · Feb 2012 · Class 1
£42,713
Notable horses
Seebright (GB) Shammick Boy (IRE) Benetwood (IRE) Richard's Sundance (IRE) Exmoor Ranger (IRE) Admiral's Secret (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,825 runs since 2008 (782 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Alhebayeb (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,628 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.
Camelot (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,655 runs since 2008 (750 horses).
Brazen Beau (AUS) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,469 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.9% from 157.
Milan (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Diamond Boy (FR) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 12% of 2,265 runs since 2008 (284 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,029 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,029 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 26 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 May 24 Uttoxeter Native Moon (IRE)J: Alan Johns Turf Services Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 4 ran PU 10/3
11 May 24 Haydock Aurigny Mill (FR)J: Alan Johns Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 15.5f · Good · 17 ran PU 33/1
06 May 24 Warwick Pride Of Paris (IRE)J: Alan Johns Welcombe Hills Vineyard Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran PU 9/1
05 May 24 Salisbury Arthalot (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Kingsclere Past, Present And Future HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 20/1
26 Apr 24 Chepstow Aurigny Mill (FR)J: Fergus Gillard Sun Trade Windows Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 17/2
24 Apr 24 Taunton Atjima (IRE)J: Alan Johns Dave Criddle Travel Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1
19 Apr 24 Bath Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Showcasing Standing At Whitsbury Manor HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 16/1
17 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Trevanion (IRE)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet Zero% Mission Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 13th 28/1
14 Apr 24 Hereford Native Moon (IRE)J: Alan Johns Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/1
11 Apr 24 Taunton Pride Of Paris (IRE)J: Alan Johns Stables Business Park Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 12 ran UR 4/1J
05 Apr 24 Lingfield (AW) Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram East Park Riding For The Disabled HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 18/1
25 Mar 24 Exeter Haldon Hill (IRE)J: Alan Johns Kenn Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 5 ran PU 11/1
23 Mar 24 Newbury Run To Milan (IRE)J: Fergus Gillard Visit Irish Store Sales With Itm Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 17/2
16 Mar 24 Kempton Tamarind Bay (IRE)J: Alan Johns Unibet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 4/1
06 Mar 24 Kempton (AW) Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet More Extra Place Races HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 12/1
29 Feb 24 Taunton Devon Blue (IRE)J: Alan Johns Free Racing On Monday 11th March Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 17/2
23 Feb 24 Exeter Eye Candy (IRE)J: Miss Heidi Stevens My Pension Expert Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 40/1
18 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Trevanion (IRE)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 50/1
14 Feb 24 Hereford Atjima (IRE)J: Alan Johns Always Gamble Responsibly At Vickers.Bet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 14 ran PU 22/1
11 Feb 24 Exeter Run To Milan (IRE)J: Alan Johns trustatrader.com Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 24f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Victor Dartnall's strike rate?
Victor Dartnall has won 20 of 163 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Victor Dartnall?
Alan Johns, with 74 runners since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.5%).
What is Victor Dartnall's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).