What is C Roberts's strike rate?

C Roberts has won 23 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C Roberts do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 8 wins from 53 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is C Roberts's Fair A/E?

1.27, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C Roberts

253 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2010

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

23–253

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=253

65 (26%)

Placed

1.27

Fair A/E

n=252 · 1.06 incl. margin

−44.87

£1 level stake

n=253 at SP · −17.7%

£174k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.27).

Deterministic profile computed from 253 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 10.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (15.1%, n=53), clear of the yard's 9.1% baseline. The yard also read well in Class 3 (14.9%, n=47) and over 1m5f – 2m (14%, n=86). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 5.1% over 79 runners, 4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totesport.com Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle at Chepstow (Oct 2008, £22,804). The stable star of the record was Picot de Say (GB) — 7 wins from 39 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.4%−1.7

n=54 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −23.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.1

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Debutants · first career start

7.7%−1.4

n=13 · A/E 2.36 · £1 −5.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−9.1

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+15.9

n=4 · A/E 6.56 · £1 +11.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=12 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +2.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.1%+1.0

n=158 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −16.37

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+15.9

n=4 · A/E 6.62 · £1 +11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mr Byron Moorcroft 2.5% vs 9.1% · n=40

At Chepstow 15.1% vs 9.1% · n=53

In Class 3 14.9% vs 9.1% · n=47

Over 1m5f – 2m 14% vs 9.1% · n=86

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.1% vs 9.1% · n=79

With Lee Stephens 4.7% vs 9.1% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 117 11 9.4% −17.12

Chase 68 8 11.8% −11.75

Flat 42 3 7.1% +2.50

NH Flat 26 1 3.8% −18.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 77 5 6.5% −24.50

Good to Firm 57 5 8.8% −30.12

Good to Soft 43 3 7% −10.00

Soft 36 4 11.1% −8.75

Heavy 25 4 16% +5.50

Standard (AW) 15 2 13.3% +23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 53 8 15.1% +17.25

Hereford 20 0 0% −20.00

Newton Abbot 18 0 0% −18.00

Worcester 18 2 11.1% −9.00

Stratford 15 4 26.7% +19.50

Exeter 14 2 14.3% −5.62

Fontwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Wincanton 9 1 11.1% −1.00

Ludlow 8 1 12.5% −5.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Ffos Las 8 0 0% −8.00

Taunton 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00

Towcester 7 0 0% −7.00

Market Rasen 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 77 8 10.4% −38.12

Class 5 72 4 5.6% −30.00

Class 3 47 7 14.9% +23.75

Class 6 39 2 5.1% −9.50

Class 2 11 1 9.1% +1.00

Class 1 5 1 20% +10.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 5 33.3% 1.38 +3.88

2nd–3rd fav 47 8 17% 1.18 +3.25

4th–6th fav 59 7 11.9% 1.66 +27.00

7th+ in betting 132 3 2.3% 0.84 −79.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.8% completed · 185 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 68 64.7% 1 1 21 1 0

Hurdle 117 83.8% 4 0 14 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dreams Jewel (GB)from Tony Newcombe 29 4 13 24 Jan 10

Dancewiththedevil (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill · then Peter Bowen 19 4 12 29 May 10

Irish Legend (IRE)then A P Boxhall 18 4 6 5 Dec 09

Picot de Say (GB)from John Berry · then Bernard Llewellyn 18 4 8 5 Dec 09

Victory Gunner (IRE)then Richard Lee 16 2 3 2 Jun 10

Incentivise (IRE)then Richard Lee 14 3 3 23 Oct 10

Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)from Matt Sheppard · then David Evans 14 0 2 4 Sep 10

Queen Excalibur (GB)from Alan Juckes · then Bernard Llewellyn 11 0 3 16 Nov 08

Dont Tell Baby (IRE)then Nick Mitchell 8 0 4 23 Apr 10

Heavenly Saint (GB)from Richard Price · then Lisa Day 8 0 0 30 Oct 09

Scotch Corner (IRE)from Mrs Sarah Price 7 0 1 4 Oct 09

Commanche Luke (GB) 6 0 0 16 Aug 10

All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Jones (2) and Shaun Lycett (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Bernard Llewellyn (4) and Debra Hamer (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10121246545251566

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLee Stephens

17% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Lee Stephens 43 2 4.7% −24.00

Mr Byron Moorcroft 40 1 2.5% −37.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£290k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 10 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Irish Legend (IRE) — totesport.com Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Chepstow · Oct 2008 · Listed

£22,804

Victory Gunner (IRE) — Western Daily Press Handicap Chase Chepstow · Feb 2009 · Class 2

£13,010

Irish Legend (IRE) — rippleffect.com Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Sep 2008 · Class 3

£9,107

Notable horses

Picot de Say (GB) Irish Legend (IRE) Dreams Jewel (GB) Victory Gunner (IRE) Dancewiththedevil (IRE) Incentivise (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dreams End (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 4.1% of 196 runs since 2008 (25 horses).

Dr Massini (IRE) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Largesse (GB) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 7.3% of 368 runs since 2008 (25 horses).

Sadler's Wells (USA) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Old Vic (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Cloudings (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 581 · newest first

The latest 50 of 581 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 23 October 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 10 Chepstow Incentivise (IRE)J: Michael Murphy Get Live Football Stats At Totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23.5f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 11/4

29 Sep 10 Nottingham Chik's Dream (GB)J: Neil Chalmers PHS Treadsmart Entrance Matting Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 100/1

21 Sep 10 Stratford Panache (GB)J: Mr P J Tolman Jenkinsons Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 13/2

04 Sep 10 Stratford Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Peter Carberry Lafarge GTEC Plasterboard Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 2nd 8/1

22 Aug 10 Newton Abbot Mr Tobias (GB)J: Christian Williams Toteplacepot Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 150/1

19 Aug 10 Stratford Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Rhys Flint Broadway Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 5/1

16 Aug 10 Windsor Commanche Luke (GB)J: David Probert sportingbet.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1

09 Aug 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Commanche Luke (GB)J: David Probert Great Offers At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1

03 Aug 10 Ffos Las Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Rhys Flint Aspinall Foundation Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4th 18/1

27 Jul 10 Worcester Commanche Luke (GB)J: Christian Williams Ladbrokes Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 13th 100/1

21 Jul 10 Worcester Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Michael Murphy 3663 First For Foodservice Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 7/1

18 Jul 10 Stratford Rescindo (IRE)J: Christian Williams Claydon Horse Exercisers Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 66/1

07 Jul 10 Worcester Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Michael Murphy Tonbrie Construction Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 17/2

30 Jun 10 Worcester Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Michael Murphy Winterfold House School 0-13 Years Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 66/1

20 Jun 10 Hereford Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Donal Devereux Totesuper7 Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 13 ran PU 16/1

06 Jun 10 Worcester Scotsbrook Cloud (GB)J: Donal Devereux Ladbrokes Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran F 12/1

02 Jun 10 Cartmel Victory Gunner (IRE)J: Tom Messenger Burlington Stone Cartmel Grand Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 15/2

01 Jun 10 Ffos Las Incentivise (IRE)J: Michael Murphy M & A Solicitors Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 8/1

29 May 10 Stratford Dancewiththedevil (IRE)J: Donal Devereux Mark Fossey Cup Handicap Hurdle (for the Clairefontaine Challenge Trophy)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 13/2

15 May 10 Bangor-on-Dee Dancewiththedevil (IRE)J: Donal Devereux Stute Pinnington Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C Roberts's strike rate?: C Roberts has won 23 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C Roberts do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 8 wins from 53 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is C Roberts's Fair A/E?: 1.27, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.