Jake Greenall
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (141 rides).
It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.5% (n=141, Fair A/E 0.84), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +47.29 to a £1 stake over 320 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −175.93 to a £1 stake over 492 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Henry Daly supplied 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.3%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 62 rides, 9.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.37 across 66 rides (3% strike, −54.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Goodtoknow (GB) — 5 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,445 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,445 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 May 2008 to 29 April 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jake Greenall's strike rate?
- Jake Greenall has won 140 of 1,445 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jake Greenall do best at?
- Stratford by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jake Greenall ride most for?
- Henry Daly, with 461 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (11.3%).
- What is Jake Greenall's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 1,443 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.