Oliver Greenall
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). With a claiming rider up the record reads 18% (38 runs).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=38, Fair A/E 1.25). The yard also reads well in Class 5 (23.1%, n=39). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 8.1% over 86 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.64 across 74 runners (8.1% strike, −34.88 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Cave Top (IRE) — 5 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,497 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,497 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 March 2012 to 21 April 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Oliver Greenall's strike rate?
- Oliver Greenall has won 15 of 127 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Oliver Greenall's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 127 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.