What is Jake Payne's strike rate?

Jake Payne has won 20 of 388 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jake Payne do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jake Payne ride most for?

Bill Turner, with 159 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.2%).

What is Jake Payne's Fair A/E?

0.71, from 386 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jake Payne

388 rides in the lifetime window · 191 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2015 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

20–388

Wins / Runs

5.2%

Strike rate

n=388

63 (16%)

Placed

0.71

Fair A/E

n=386 · 0.61 incl. margin

−222.53

£1 level stake

n=388 at SP · −57.4%

£69,176

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.71). Rode mostly for Bill Turner — 41% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 388 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Bill Turner: 8.2% from 159

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (8.5%, n=59), clear of the rider's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 58 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.45). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −124.78 to a £1 stake over 191 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Bill Turner supplied 41% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.2% vs 5.2%, A/E 0.94). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 31 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.7%−1.5

n=191 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −124.78

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.1%+1.9

n=28 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −21.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.4%−1.8

n=59 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −23.00

When favourite

40%

n=15 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +0.47

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.2%+0.0

n=345 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −204.53

Big fields · 14+ runners

2%−3.2

n=50 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −35.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 5.2% · n=58

At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 5.2% · n=33

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.2% · n=31

With Bill Turner 8.2% vs 5.2% · n=159

At Wolverhampton (AW) 8.5% vs 5.2% · n=59

With Tony Carroll 8.8% vs 5.2% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 386 20 5.2% −220.53

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 176 5 2.8% −138.40

Good to Firm 77 6 7.8% −13.50

Good 63 2 3.2% −46.75

Good to Soft 25 1 4% −19.50

Soft 22 3 13.6% +4.50

Firm 16 2 12.5% −2.50

Heavy 9 1 11.1% −6.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 59 5 8.5% −21.40

Lingfield (AW) 58 0 0% −58.00

Bath 35 3 8.6% −18.25

Kempton (AW) 33 0 0% −33.00

Southwell (AW) 26 0 0% −26.00

Chepstow 23 2 8.7% −6.50

Salisbury 23 1 4.3% −19.00

Leicester 16 0 0% −16.00

Warwick 13 2 15.4% +17.00

Lingfield 12 1 8.3% −4.00

Windsor 11 0 0% −11.00

Ayr 10 2 20% +12.50

Brighton 7 1 14.3% +8.00

Yarmouth 6 2 33.3% −0.88

Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 243 15 6.2% −122.25

Class 5 109 4 3.7% −85.28

Class 4 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 7 15 1 6.7% +6.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 6 27.3% 0.99 −6.53

2nd–3rd fav 52 4 7.7% 0.50 −29.00

4th–6th fav 119 6 5% 0.72 −60.00

7th+ in betting 195 4 2.1% 0.67 −127.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lordship (IRE) 28 3 5 6 Aug 13

Lucky Diva (GB) 23 3 6 31 Aug 13

Six of Clubs (GB) 13 2 5 17 Oct 12

Caustic Wit (IRE) 12 1 1 16 Aug 09

Ansells Pride (IRE) 11 2 4 17 Aug 13

Sing Alana Sing (GB) 8 0 0 13 Feb 13

Sienna Blue (GB) 8 0 1 5 Sep 12

Stamford Blue (GB) 8 1 3 17 Oct 10

It's Only Business (GB) 7 0 1 13 Dec 12

The Dancing Lord (GB) 6 0 1 28 Nov 12

Lord Deevert (GB) 6 0 0 5 Sep 12

Charlie Delta (GB) 6 0 1 5 Nov 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 191 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

041071233106300

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBill Turner

41% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Bill Turner 159 13 8.2% −60.78

Tony Carroll 34 3 8.8% −6.00

Ronald Harris 34 1 2.9% −30.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£69,176

Prize money

2012

Best season · 9 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lordship (IRE) — Synergy Civil Engineering Ltd Handicap Ayr · Oct 2009 · Class 5

£3,886

Lordship (IRE) — Armitage Venesta Open Apprentice Handicap Ayr · Aug 2009 · Class 6

£2,590

Cocohatchee (GB) — CGA Racing Excellence Apprentice Handicap (Whips Shall Be Carried But Not Used) Salisbury · Jun 2012 · Class 5

£2,588

Notable horses

Lordship (IRE) Lucky Diva (GB) Six of Clubs (GB) Ansells Pride (IRE) Caustic Wit (IRE) Stamford Blue (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Lucky Story (USA) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 351. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 451.

Bertolini (USA) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Cadeaux Genereux (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).

Singspiel (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

King Charlemagne (USA) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 395 · newest first

The latest 50 of 395 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 April 2007 to 14 October 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) John Joiner (GB)T: Peter Makin Learn English At isehove.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 6th 12/1

31 Aug 13 Bath Lucky Diva (GB)T: Bill Turner Hobbs HandicapClass 6 · 17f · Firm · 5 ran 3rd 7/1

30 Aug 13 Southwell (AW) Quick Decision (GB)T: Bill Turner 32red Casino Claiming StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 16/1

17 Aug 13 Lingfield Ansells Pride (IRE)T: Bill Turner Birth Of Aiben Smith-anthony Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 16/1

09 Aug 13 Lingfield (AW) Brean Splash Susie (GB)T: Bill Turner Ladbrokes Fillies' Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 10/1

06 Aug 13 Ffos Las Lordship (IRE)T: Tom Gretton Owen Fuels OJ Williams Premier Fuel Distributors Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 14/1

25 Jul 13 Bath Lucky Diva (GB)T: Bill Turner Docmail HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Firm · 5 ran 4th 10/1

20 Jul 13 Lingfield Ansells Pride (IRE)T: Bill Turner Itm Ease Auto Enrolment Solution HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Firm · 7 ran 7th 5/1

18 Jul 13 Leicester Denby Dale (GB)T: Bill Turner Track Your Favourite Horses At Attheraces.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 6/1

06 Jul 13 Leicester Lordship (IRE)T: Tom Gretton Sandicliffe Your Great Motoring Family HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 40/1

05 Jul 13 Warwick Emerald Girl (IRE)T: Simon Hodgson Nick Bill Memorial Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 40/1

01 Jul 13 Ffos Las Lucky Diva (GB)T: Bill Turner Iwec Electrical HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 25/1

12 Jun 13 Beverley El Duque (GB)T: Bill Turner Race Horse Trader Claiming StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 6/1J

03 Jun 13 Chepstow Lucky Diva (GB)T: Bill Turner Bathwick Tyres Bridgend Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 12/1

29 May 13 Kempton (AW) Cocohatchee (GB)T: Pat Phelan Irish Night On 10.07.13 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 33/1

28 May 13 Yarmouth El Duque (GB)T: Bill Turner Conferences At Great Yarmouth Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 6/4F

23 May 13 Salisbury Denby Dale (GB)T: Bill Turner Irish Stallion Farms E.b.f. Bathwick Tyres Maiden StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 66/1

14 May 13 Chepstow Denby Dale (GB)T: Bill Turner E.B.F./Bathwick Tyres Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 4/1

06 May 13 Windsor Cocohatchee (GB)T: Pat Phelan Young Hooves Kids Club Apprentice Training Series HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 9/1

03 May 13 Chepstow Lucky Diva (GB)T: Bill Turner 32RedBingo.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jake Payne's strike rate?: Jake Payne has won 20 of 388 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jake Payne do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jake Payne ride most for?: Bill Turner, with 159 rides since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.2%).
What is Jake Payne's Fair A/E?: 0.71, from 386 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.