What is James Millman's strike rate?

James Millman has won 92 of 1,047 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Millman do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 67 rides (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Millman ride most for?

Rod Millman, with 972 rides since 2008 — 93% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (9.1%).

What is James Millman's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,038 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Millman

1,047 rides in the lifetime window · 169 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2012 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

92–1,047

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=1,047

280 (27%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,038 · 0.82 incl. margin

−350.77

£1 level stake

n=1,047 at SP · −33.5%

£577k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (97 rides). Rode mostly for Rod Millman — 93% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,047 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul 27.9% when favourite Rod Millman: 9.1% from 972 LTO winners: 11.3% Claiming: 9.8% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (22.6%, n=31), clear of the rider's 8.8% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=180, Fair A/E 0.62). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −63.00 to a £1 stake over 130 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Rod Millman supplied 93% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (17.3%, n=52). The standout partner of the record was Whitbarrow (IRE) — 7 wins from 51 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.1%−4.7

n=145 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −107.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.3%+2.5

n=97 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −33.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.6%−4.2

n=130 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −63.00

When favourite

27.9%

n=61 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −8.31

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.8%+1.0

n=479 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −109.53

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−4.9

n=180 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −99.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.8

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield 22.6% vs 8.8% · n=31

With first-time headgear 18.8% vs 8.8% · n=32

Off a 0-7-day break 17.3% vs 8.8% · n=52

With debutants 1.5% vs 8.8% · n=68

At Newbury 0% vs 8.8% · n=31

On first rides for the horse 4.1% vs 8.8% · n=145

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,039 91 8.8% −349.77

NH Flat 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 339 33 9.7% −70.02

Good to Firm 260 22 8.5% −110.33

Good 210 15 7.1% −110.00

Soft 102 8 7.8% −48.75

Good to Soft 97 7 7.2% −37.50

Firm 29 6 20.7% +30.83

Heavy 10 1 10% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 123 15 12.2% +37.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 87 6 6.9% −42.25

Salisbury 73 7 9.6% −26.47

Windsor 69 3 4.3% −51.12

Southwell (AW) 67 9 13.4% −15.77

Lingfield (AW) 58 3 5.2% −45.00

Goodwood 54 2 3.7% −45.25

Leicester 53 5 9.4% −31.50

Chepstow 51 6 11.8% −14.25

Bath 51 5 9.8% −14.17

Warwick 40 1 2.5% −31.50

Ffos Las 40 4 10% −10.00

Nottingham 38 3 7.9% +11.00

Sandown 33 3 9.1% −18.75

Newbury 31 0 0% −31.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 442 38 8.6% −200.81

Class 6 227 29 12.8% +16.63

Class 4 226 17 7.5% −90.42

Class 3 71 4 5.6% −29.17

Class 2 55 4 7.3% −21.00

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 21 26.9% 1.05 −4.06

2nd–3rd fav 214 38 17.8% 1.17 −21.21

4th–6th fav 365 21 5.8% 0.69 −149.50

7th+ in betting 390 12 3.1% 0.83 −176.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Masai Moon (GB) 46 4 14 22 Nov 12

Shavansky (GB) 32 4 10 7 Nov 12

Mustajed (GB) 32 1 11 6 Mar 12

Whitbarrow (IRE) 26 1 13 18 Mar 10

Galatian (GB) 25 4 6 31 Oct 12

Sherman McCoy (GB) 25 5 7 28 Aug 12

Irish Jugger (USA) 25 4 7 17 Apr 12

Mrs Boss (GB) 24 1 5 19 Nov 11

George Thisby (GB) 20 1 7 28 Sep 11

Money Money Money (GB) 19 5 10 6 Jul 12

Madame Kintyre (GB) 18 1 5 14 Dec 12

Mister Musicmaster (GB) 18 2 4 5 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 169 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91221551311796117

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRod Millman

93% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

Rod Millman 972 88 9.1% −307.48

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

136

Archived wins

£822k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Light From Mars (GB) — Best Price Guarantee At coral.co.uk Handicap York · Oct 2009 · Class 2

£11,657

Phantom Whisper (GB) — Crown Hotels & Restautrant Sprint Handicap Chepstow · Jul 2008 · Class 2

£11,354

El Bosque (IRE) — Renault Vans Handicap (AW) Lingfield (AW) · May 2007 · Class 3

£9,348

Notable horses

Whitbarrow (IRE) Masai Moon (GB) Paso Doble (GB) Sherman McCoy (GB) Money Money Money (GB) Shavansky (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Makbul (GB) 8.8% · 7–80

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,039 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.8% from 117. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 120.

Lujain (USA) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Royal Applause (GB) 11.4% · 5–44

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Trade Fair (GB) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,230 runs since 2008 (113 horses).

Alhaarth (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Erhaab (USA) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 8% of 1,060 runs since 2008 (86 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,515 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 18 December 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Dec 12 Lingfield (AW) Ishi (GB)T: Rod Millman Book Hospitality At Lingfield Park Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 5/2

14 Dec 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Madame Kintyre (GB)T: Rod Millman 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 50/1

14 Dec 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Poetic Verse (GB)T: Rod Millman 32 Bonus At 32Red.com NurseryClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 14/1

12 Dec 12 Kempton (AW) Icebuster (GB)T: Rod Millman Calverts Carpets York HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 7/1

12 Dec 12 Kempton (AW) Ishi (GB)T: Rod Millman Back And Lay At betdaq.com Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 20/1

05 Dec 12 Kempton (AW) Ishi (GB)T: Rod Millman Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 50/1

28 Nov 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Poetic Verse (GB)T: Rod Millman 32RedBingo.com NurseryClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1

28 Nov 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Wyndham Wave (GB)T: Rod Millman 32RedPoker.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 4/1J

22 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Masai Moon (GB)T: Rod Millman 32RedBingo.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 14/1

21 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Icebuster (GB)T: Rod Millman Racing Plus - The Best Weekend Action HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 4/1

21 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Ishi (GB)T: Rod Millman Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 5/1

15 Nov 12 Southwell (AW) Masai Moon (GB)T: Rod Millman Book Tickets Online At southwell-racecourse.co.uk Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 6/1

07 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Shavansky (GB)T: Rod Millman Peter Slattery Big Birthday HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 14/1

06 Nov 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Icebuster (GB)T: Rod Millman 32Red HandicapClass 4 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 3/1

31 Oct 12 Lingfield (AW) Galatian (GB)T: Rod Millman attheraces.com Breeders' Cup Site Now Live Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 6/1

26 Oct 12 Newbury Shahdaroba (IRE)T: Rod Millman Sir Gerald Whent Memorial NurseryClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 5/1

26 Oct 12 Newbury Burnt Fingers (IRE)T: Rod Millman Join Hot To Trot Racing Club E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 6.5f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1

25 Oct 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Blackdown Fair (GB)T: Rod Millman attheraces.com Breeders' Cup Site Now Live Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 22/1

24 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Masai Moon (GB)T: Rod Millman Tullamore Dew HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 33/1

24 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Isis Blue (GB)T: Rod Millman Betdaq Mobile Apps/British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Millman's strike rate?: James Millman has won 92 of 1,047 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Millman do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 67 rides (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Millman ride most for?: Rod Millman, with 972 rides since 2008 — 93% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (9.1%).
What is James Millman's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,038 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.