No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them.
Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read
The yard also read well in Class 6 (9.3%, n=54) and on Standard (AW) going (8.7%, n=46). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 0% over 38 runners, 5pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
100%+95.0
n=1 · A/E 15.39 · £1 +12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−1.3
n=27 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −14.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 50% vs 5% · n=38
In Class 69.3% vs 5% · n=54
On Standard (AW) going8.7% vs 5% · n=46
Over 6f – 7f7.7% vs 5% · n=65
With a new jockey booking2.6% vs 5% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat9155.5%−39.00
Hurdle900%−9.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)4648.7%−2.00
Good to Firm2400%−24.00
Good1400%−14.00
Good to Soft900%−9.00
Firm3133.3%+5.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)21419%+23.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1600%−16.00
Yarmouth800%−8.00
Brighton7114.3%+1.00
Warwick500%−5.00
Southwell (AW)400%−4.00
Bath400%−4.00
Market Rasen300%−3.00
Lingfield (AW)300%−3.00
Lingfield300%−3.00
Folkestone300%−3.00
Nottingham300%−3.00
Windsor200%−2.00
Chelmsford (AW)200%−2.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 65459.3%−2.00
Class 53800%−38.00
Class 4500%−5.00
Class 3300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite500%0.00−5.00
2nd–3rd fav1000%0.00−10.00
4th–6th fav40512.5%1.42+12.00
7th+ in betting4500%0.00−45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f6557.7%−13.00
1m5f – 2m1200%−12.00
Under 6f1000%−10.00
2m1f – 2m4f600%−6.00
1m2f – 1m4f500%−5.00
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084412.3%−31.00
20093139.7%−2.00
20102514%−15.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9044.4%−48.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners5335.7%−19.00
8-10 runners2229.1%−4.00
14-16 runners2000%−20.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 8 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Spearing (3); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1417000011000913
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.
Titus Livius (FR)6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Entrepreneur (GB)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 5.1% of 216 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Montjeu (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Namid (GB)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.
Prince of Birds (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 5.9% of 17 runs since 2008 (3 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 128 · newest first
The latest 50 of 128 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2005 to 19 November 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Teresa Spearing's strike rate?
Teresa Spearing has won 5 of 100 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Teresa Spearing's Fair A/E?
0.63, from 99 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Teresa Spearing·SR 5%·A/E 0.63
KTB
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