Stuart Kittow
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).
The record is strongest at Ffos Las (18.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 11% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (2.8% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Rob Hornby rides 25% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.3% vs 11%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well on Soft going (17.8%, n=45) and off a 8-14-day break (16.7%, n=54). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 runners, 11pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.43 across 64 runners (4.7% strike, −29.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap at Epsom Downs (May 2013, £31,125). The stable star of the record: Guilded Warrior (GB) — 9 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,680 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,680 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 30 March 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stuart Kittow's strike rate?
- Stuart Kittow has won 53 of 484 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stuart Kittow do best at?
- Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Stuart Kittow?
- Rob Hornby, with 121 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.3%).
- What is Stuart Kittow's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 482 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.