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Trainer profile

Stuart Kittow

484 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 205 days ago 90% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
53–484
Wins / Runs
11%
Strike rate
n=484
155 (32%)
Placed
0.95
n=482 · 0.82 incl. margin
−90.42
£1 level stake
n=484 at SP · −18.7%
£474k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 484 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 30% when favourite Rob Hornby: 8.3% from 121 Claiming riders: 11.4% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (18.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 11% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (2.8% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Rob Hornby rides 25% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.3% vs 11%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well on Soft going (17.8%, n=45) and off a 8-14-day break (16.7%, n=54). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 runners, 11pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.43 across 64 runners (4.7% strike, −29.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap at Epsom Downs (May 2013, £31,125). The stable star of the record: Guilded Warrior (GB) — 9 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.9%−1.1
n=81 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −25.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.5%−1.5
n=21 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16%+5.0
n=25 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +6.58
When favourite
30%
n=60 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −5.42
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.4%+0.4
n=35 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −15.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 11% · n=30
At Chepstow 2.8% vs 11% · n=36
On Good to Soft going 4.7% vs 11% · n=64
On Soft going 17.8% vs 11% · n=45
At Ffos Las 18.2% vs 11% · n=33
Off a 8-14-day break 16.7% vs 11% · n=54
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 434 47 10.8% −72.58
Hurdle 43 5 11.6% −15.17
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 3 1 33.3% +1.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 151 19 12.6% +6.57
Good 104 11 10.6% −46.64
Good to Firm 87 8 9.2% −52.34
Good to Soft 64 3 4.7% −29.17
Soft 45 8 17.8% +37.66
Heavy 28 3 10.7% −8.00
Firm 5 1 20% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 65 8 12.3% +18.50
Bath 51 6 11.8% −8.00
Windsor 51 4 7.8% −13.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 42 5 11.9% −13.25
Chepstow 36 1 2.8% −33.50
Ffos Las 33 6 18.2% +22.88
Southwell (AW) 27 6 22.2% +18.32
Salisbury 23 4 17.4% +2.16
Brighton 14 2 14.3% −6.17
Newbury 13 1 7.7% −10.00
Leicester 13 1 7.7% +2.00
Lingfield (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Sandown 11 1 9.1% −3.50
Goodwood 11 0 0% −11.00
Nottingham 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 180 21 11.7% −29.56
Class 5 156 18 11.5% −35.64
Class 4 119 13 10.9% −3.72
Class 3 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 63 18 28.6% 1.01 −8.42
2nd–3rd fav 128 17 13.3% 0.79 −30.50
4th–6th fav 143 13 9.1% 1.10 −19.50
7th+ in betting 150 5 3.3% 1.15 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Chalk Mountain (GB)then Zoe Hawkins 34 6 14 24 Sep 25
Notre Maison (GB) 33 3 11 25 Aug 25
Coup De Force (GB) 33 8 18 23 Aug 25
Beyond Equal (GB) 33 0 8 16 Nov 24
Jimmy Mark (IRE)then Zoe Hawkins 30 5 11 20 Oct 25
Gherkin (GB) 29 2 10 30 Oct 25
Cornish Storm (GB)then Zoe Hawkins 24 4 11 20 Mar 26
Monteria (IRE)from John C McConnell 23 2 5 22 Apr 25
Papabella (GB) 22 3 8 9 Oct 25
Oriental Spirit (GB) 21 1 4 10 Oct 24
Liosa (IRE)from Craig Lidster · then Zoe Hawkins 19 4 9 23 Oct 25
Sunny Corner (GB) 18 5 9 25 Sep 25
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Zoe Hawkins (7); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
222751091454201358
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRob Hornby
25% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Rob Hornby 121 10 8.3% −49.62
Liam Keniry 34 4 11.8% +33.00
Callum Shepherd 31 4 12.9% +27.12
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
254
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.89m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 20 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Resurge (IRE) — Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap Epsom Downs · May 2013 · Class 2
£31,125
Resurge (IRE) — Investec Investment Stakes (handicap) Epsom Downs · Jun 2011 · Class 2
£28,040
Noble Protector (GB) — Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered As The Aphrodite Stakes) (Fillies' Listed) Newmarket · Jul 2014 · Listed
£22,684

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Coach House (IRE) 10.2% · 9–88
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Lethal Force (IRE) 22.9% · 8–35
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,264 runs since 2008 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.2% from 357.
Outstrip (GB) 17.6% · 6–34
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,274 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Kheleyf (USA) 0% · 0–33
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,542 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Intrinsic (GB) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 10.2% of 433 runs since 2008 (39 horses).
Due Diligence (USA) 17.2% · 5–29
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,545 runs since 2008 (193 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,680 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,680 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 30 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Mar 26 Newbury Cornish Storm (GB)J: Ben Jones BetVictor Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2
07 Nov 25 Exeter Cornish Storm (GB)J: Rian Corcoran Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 16/1
05 Nov 25 Kempton (AW) Havana Tobouggaloo (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 28/1
23 Oct 25 Southwell (AW) Liosa (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 8/1
09 Oct 25 Bath Papabella (GB)J: Rob Hornby BetWright Bangers N'Cash Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stuart Kittow's strike rate?
Stuart Kittow has won 53 of 484 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Kittow do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stuart Kittow?
Rob Hornby, with 121 runners since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.3%).
What is Stuart Kittow's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 482 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).