What is James O'Reilly's strike rate?

James O'Reilly has won 18 of 187 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James O'Reilly do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James O'Reilly ride most for?

Jimmy O'Reilly, with 67 rides since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.4%).

What is James O'Reilly's Fair A/E?

1.17, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James O'Reilly

187 rides in the lifetime window · 72 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2011 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

18–187

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=187

51 (27%)

Placed

1.17

Fair A/E

n=187 · 0.99 incl. margin

−24.25

£1 level stake

n=187 at SP · −13.0%

£76,702

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Jimmy O'Reilly: 10.4% from 67 Claiming: 9.7%

The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (5.7% over 35 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Jimmy O'Reilly supplied 36% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 1.61) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (20.6%, n=34). The market has also underrated the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.48 across 97 rides (12.4% strike, +13.00 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 4.1% over 49 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.85 across 56 rides (7.1% strike, −37.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.8%−0.8

n=57 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −20.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+2.9

n=16 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −8.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8%−1.6

n=25 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +0.50

When favourite

18.2%

n=11 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −2.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.7%+0.1

n=175 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −17.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.8%−0.8

n=34 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 20.6% vs 9.6% · n=34

In Class 5 4.1% vs 9.6% · n=49

At Southwell (AW) 5.7% vs 9.6% · n=35

Over 6f – 7f 12.4% vs 9.6% · n=97

Off a 15-30-day break 7.1% vs 9.6% · n=56

Off a 8-14-day break 11.5% vs 9.6% · n=61 · A/E 1.22

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 186 18 9.7% −23.25

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 119 10 8.4% −49.00

Good to Firm 34 7 20.6% +29.75

Good 21 1 4.8% +8.00

Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 35 2 5.7% −23.50

Kempton (AW) 29 4 13.8% +7.00

Lingfield (AW) 27 3 11.1% −9.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 23 1 4.3% −18.50

Redcar 8 0 0% −8.00

Doncaster 7 1 14.3% +8.00

Beverley 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Catterick 7 2 28.6% +27.50

Pontefract 6 0 0% −6.00

Windsor 5 1 20% +5.00

Chelmsford (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Nottingham 5 1 20% −1.25

Thirsk 3 0 0% −3.00

Yarmouth 3 2 66.7% +9.50

Newcastle 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 90 10 11.1% +10.00

Class 5 49 2 4.1% −39.75

Class 4 29 5 17.2% +13.50

Class 7 10 1 10% +1.00

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.99 −1.75

2nd–3rd fav 33 7 21.2% 1.41 +3.00

4th–6th fav 49 4 8.2% 0.98 −8.50

7th+ in betting 91 4 4.4% 1.22 −17.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Greek Secret (GB) 16 3 3 17 Aug 11

He's A Humbug (IRE) 12 1 3 13 Aug 10

Monte Cassino (IRE) 11 0 4 15 Jan 10

Fromsong (IRE) 10 2 3 3 Aug 09

Crocodile Bay (IRE) 10 1 5 27 Jan 09

Kaystar Ridge (GB) 7 1 2 8 Feb 09

Bertie Southstreet (GB) 6 2 4 10 Aug 10

Last Sovereign (GB) 5 0 0 26 Oct 10

Ellemujie (GB) 5 0 0 28 Sep 10

A Wish For You (GB) 5 0 0 9 Jan 09

Toto Skyllachy (GB) 4 1 1 9 Jul 10

Black Falcon (IRE) 4 0 1 18 Dec 08

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1370··6288001010

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJimmy O'Reilly

36% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.61

TrainerRWSR£1

Jimmy O'Reilly 67 7 10.4% +21.25

Dean Ivory 63 7 11.1% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£179k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Les Arcs (USA) — Betdirect.co.uk Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2006 · Class 2

£12,464

Les Arcs (USA) — Littlewoods Betdirect Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2005 · Class 2

£12,021

Les Arcs (USA) — Text 'Betdirect' To 88600 Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2006 · Class 2

£11,659

Notable horses

Greek Secret (GB) Les Arcs (USA) Zaville (GB) Fromsong (IRE) Bertie Southstreet (GB) Sovereignty (JPN)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Tagula (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,558 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.

Tumbleweed Ridge (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 5.4% of 336 runs since 2008 (30 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.5% from 148.

Choisir (AUS) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Fayruz (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 7.4% of 620 runs since 2008 (43 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 151.

Spectrum (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,553 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 259.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 404 · newest first

The latest 50 of 404 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 February 2005 to 17 August 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Aug 11 Nottingham Greek Secret (GB)T: Deborah Sanderson Rewards4racing.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 17/2

22 Jun 11 Kempton (AW) Blue Charm (GB)T: Ian McInnes Betdaq.com Every Wednesday At Kempton Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 14/1

13 Jun 11 Windsor Sky Diamond (IRE)T: James Given Vestra Wealth Private Client HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 10th 16/1

06 Nov 10 Doncaster Night Trade (IRE)T: Deborah Sanderson Bet Into US Pools At totesport.com Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 16th 40/1

05 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Greek Secret (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 25/1

26 Oct 10 Catterick Last Sovereign (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly TurfTV.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 14/1

15 Oct 10 Redcar Always Gunner (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Racing UK On Sky 432 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 17 ran 2nd 66/1

14 Oct 10 Nottingham Jo'burg (USA)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Denman - Building For You - HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 7/1

11 Oct 10 Windsor Bobs Dreamflight (GB)T: Dean Ivory Got The Feeling, Get To Ladbrokes HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 10/1

02 Oct 10 Newmarket Jo'burg (USA)T: Jimmy O'Reilly totesport.com Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 9f · Soft · 35 ran 7th 80/1

30 Sep 10 Kempton (AW) Last Sovereign (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Ultimate HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1

29 Sep 10 Kempton (AW) Greek Secret (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Sponsor At Kempton Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

28 Sep 10 Newbury Ellemujie (GB)T: Dean Ivory Heaton-Ellis Trust HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good · 16 ran 10th 28/1

22 Sep 10 Redcar Greek Secret (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Buy Your Tickets Online At redcarracing.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 33/1

18 Sep 10 Newmarket Last Sovereign (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Bloodstock South Africa HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 17 ran 10th 20/1

10 Sep 10 Doncaster Ellemujie (GB)T: Dean Ivory Universal Recycling Classified StakesClass 3 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 7th 25/1

25 Aug 10 Catterick Night Trade (IRE)T: Deborah Sanderson Carol Allardyce Birthday HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 4/1F

21 Aug 10 Chester Last Sovereign (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly totepool Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 11/2J

15 Aug 10 Pontefract Greek Secret (GB)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Trevor Woods Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 14/1

13 Aug 10 Newcastle He's A Humbug (IRE)T: Jimmy O'Reilly Northumbrian Water HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James O'Reilly's strike rate?: James O'Reilly has won 18 of 187 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James O'Reilly do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 rides (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James O'Reilly ride most for?: Jimmy O'Reilly, with 67 rides since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.4%).
What is James O'Reilly's Fair A/E?: 1.17, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.