What is Jason Conneely's strike rate?

Jason Conneely has won 1 of 69 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Jason Conneely ride most for?

John Joseph Murphy, with 53 rides since 2008 — 77% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).

What is Jason Conneely's Fair A/E?

0.30, from 68 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jason Conneely

69 rides in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

1–69

Wins / Runs

1.4%

Strike rate

n=69

5 (7%)

Placed

0.30

Fair A/E

n=68 · 0.24 incl. margin

−57.00

£1 level stake

n=69 at SP · −82.6%

£13,299

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB at a glance John Joseph Murphy: 1.9% from 53 First rides: 2.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.3%+0.9

n=43 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −31.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−1.4

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.3%+6.9

n=12 · A/E 2.80 · £1 +0.00

When favourite

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

1.4%+0.0

n=69 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −57.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.6%+1.2

n=38 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With John Joseph Murphy 1.9% vs 1.4% · n=53 · A/E 0.39

In Flat races 1.4% vs 1.4% · n=69 · A/E 0.30

When claiming 1.4% vs 1.4% · n=69 · A/E 0.30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 23 0 0% −23.00

Good 14 0 0% −14.00

Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Heavy 10 1 10% +2.00

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00

Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00

Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00

Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00

Galway 4 0 0% −4.00

Navan 4 0 0% −4.00

Cork 3 0 0% −3.00

Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00

Naas 3 0 0% −3.00

Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00

Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00

4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00

7th+ in betting 51 1 2% 0.60 −39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

War Anthem (IRE) 5 0 2 21 Oct 15

Water Sprite (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Sep 15

Tanneron (IRE) 4 0 1 25 Nov 15

Doppler Effect (GB) 4 0 1 23 Oct 15

Wishing Well (GB) 3 0 0 23 Oct 15

Ken's Sam's (IRE) 2 0 0 25 May 16

Walkabout (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jul 15

High Pitch (IRE) 2 0 0 3 Jul 15

Skimming Stone (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jul 14

High Hill Beauty (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jul 14

Dainty Dancer (IRE) 2 0 0 5 Jul 14

Pontificate (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Mar 14

All 43 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Joseph Murphy

77% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.39

TrainerRWSR£1

John Joseph Murphy 53 1 1.9% −41.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

£13,299

Prize money

2015

Best season · 1 win

Uncharted Waters (IRE) — Daily Tips On thetote.com Apprentice Handicap (47-65) Ballinrobe · Jul 2015

£5,520

Notable horses

Uncharted Waters (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Papal Bull (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.

Zaha (CAN) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 5.9% of 627 runs since 2008 (72 horses).

Elnadim (USA) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Bahri (USA) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,889 runs since 2008 (148 horses).

Echo Of Light (GB) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,633 runs since 2008 (126 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.6% from 373. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 69 · newest first

The latest 50 of 69 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 July 2011 to 15 October 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 17 Naas Dont Quit (IRE)T: J T Gorman Hospitality At Naas Apprentice Handicap (50-70)10f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 11/1

04 Oct 17 Naas Groovy Jazz (IRE)T: Luke Comer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 50/1

20 Sep 17 Fairyhouse Caitie (IRE)T: J T Gorman Your Clubs Fundraiser At Fairyhouse, Enquire Today Apprentice Handicap6f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 14th 40/1

25 May 16 Gowran Park Ken's Sam's (IRE)T: Adrian Brendan Joyce Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 5th 66/1

01 May 16 Sligo (IRE) Ken's Sam's (IRE)T: Adrian Brendan Joyce Join The 2016 Sligo Race Supporters Club Fillies Median Auction Maiden (Plus 10 Race)7f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 20/1

04 Dec 15 Dundalk (AW) Rawaafed (IRE)T: S J Mahon Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1

04 Dec 15 Dundalk (AW) Carraigin Aonair (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1

25 Nov 15 Dundalk (AW) Tanneron (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 33/1

23 Oct 15 Dundalk (AW) Wishing Well (GB)T: John Joseph Murphy Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap (50-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

23 Oct 15 Dundalk (AW) Doppler Effect (GB)T: John Joseph Murphy Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 33/1

21 Oct 15 Navan War Anthem (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy www.navanracecourse.ie Handicap (47-70)8f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 12/1

20 Oct 15 Gowran Park Doppler Effect (GB)T: John Joseph Murphy Like Gowran Park On Facebook Handicap (47-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 4th 20/1

24 Sep 15 Cork Dilly Daydream (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Follow Us On Twitter Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)8f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 14/1

21 Sep 15 Navan Pure Drama (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Simonstown Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10f · Yielding · 18 ran 15th 14/1

21 Sep 15 Navan Sweetie Jar (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden6f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 66/1

16 Sep 15 Listowel Water Sprite (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Seamus Mulvaney Handicap9f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 11/1

16 Sep 15 Listowel Mizen Master (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Exchange Inn Ballybunion & Kevin Broderick's Bar Listowel Median Auction Maiden7f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 8/1

04 Aug 15 Cork Wishing Well (GB)T: John Joseph Murphy Ticket Sales Online Apprentice Handicap (50-80)8f · Good · 14 ran 5th 20/1

29 Jul 15 Galway War Anthem (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy It Pays To Bet With Tote Handicap (50-70)8.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 3rd 8/1

28 Jul 15 Galway War Anthem (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Caulfield Industrial Athlone Handicap (50-80)7f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jason Conneely's strike rate?: Jason Conneely has won 1 of 69 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Jason Conneely ride most for?: John Joseph Murphy, with 53 rides since 2008 — 77% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is Jason Conneely's Fair A/E?: 0.30, from 68 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.