What is Andrew Heffernan's strike rate?

Andrew Heffernan has won 12 of 151 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Heffernan do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 34 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Andrew Heffernan's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 151 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andrew Heffernan

151 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2016

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

12–151

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=151

46 (31%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=151 · 0.77 incl. margin

−55.15

£1 level stake

n=151 at SP · −36.5%

£150k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 151 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.56). The yard also read well on Good going (13.9%, n=36). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 39 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.61 across 63 runners (4.8% strike, −47.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−4.9

n=33 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −16.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

40%+32.1

n=5 · A/E 11.00 · £1 +25.00

Debutants · first career start

10%+2.1

n=10 · A/E 3.10 · £1 −3.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.5%+4.6

n=8 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −1.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.9

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −1.15

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%−3.6

n=46 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −26.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 7.9% · n=39

At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 7.9% · n=34

On Good going 13.9% vs 7.9% · n=36

With claiming riders up 4.3% vs 7.9% · n=46

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.8% vs 7.9% · n=63

In Flat races 5.6% vs 7.9% · n=125

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 125 7 5.6% −79.90

Hurdle 22 5 22.7% +28.75

Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 39 0 0% −39.00

Good 36 5 13.9% +9.10

Good to Firm 32 3 9.4% −16.25

Soft 27 3 11.1% +0.00

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% +1.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00

Leopardstown 11 2 18.2% +9.00

Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00

Down Royal 9 1 11.1% −6.25

Killarney 8 0 0% −8.00

Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Curragh 7 0 0% −7.00

Roscommon 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Navan 5 1 20% +12.00

Wexford 5 1 20% +2.00

Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00

Tramore 4 2 50% +5.00

Bellewstown 4 1 25% −1.90

Galway 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 4 23.5% 1.03 −3.15

2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 1.28 +1.00

4th–6th fav 44 3 6.8% 0.91 −13.00

7th+ in betting 70 2 2.9% 0.79 −40.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fellisha (IRE) 25 0 9 30 May 14

Princess Lomi (IRE)from E J O'Neill 16 1 4 22 Jul 10

Cin Cin (IRE)from Bernard Anthony Heffernan 15 3 6 17 Sep 14

Lomi's Law (IRE)then Andrew McNamara 13 0 3 15 Oct 16

Slade (IRE) 13 1 5 2 May 12

Creative Talent (IRE)then Andrew McNamara 10 0 3 28 May 16

Clopf (IRE)from E J O'Grady 9 1 1 26 Jun 10

Zanka (IRE) 8 0 1 30 Sep 14

Landero (GB)from Bernard Anthony Heffernan 7 1 2 1 May 14

Zoola (IRE) 7 1 2 14 Sep 13

Golden Empire (FR) 7 1 2 22 Apr 09

Hasaratan (IRE) 6 1 2 17 Sep 10

All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bernard Anthony Heffernan (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Andrew McNamara (3); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

·013014014240800

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Emmet McNamara 29 3 10.3% −13.00

Andrew P Thornton 17 2 11.8% +2.75

N G McCullagh 13 0 0% −13.00

Wayne Lordan 12 1 8.3% +1.00

Fran Berry 6 1 16.7% −3.90

B M Cash 5 1 20% +12.00

Johnny Murtagh 5 2 40% +9.00

Ian Queally 5 0 0% −5.00

P B Beggy 5 0 0% −5.00

Seamie Heffernan 4 0 0% −4.00

Sam James 4 0 0% −4.00

Pat Smullen 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£206k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Golden Empire (FR) — Duggan Steel Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Apr 2007

£13,020

Makishma (IRE) — Ballygarry Hse Hotel Median Auction Maiden Listowel · Sep 2005

£12,438

Kaiser So Say (GB) — John Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Galway · Oct 2010

£11,730

Notable horses

Golden Empire (FR) Cin Cin (IRE) Nizamar (IRE) Kaiser So Say (GB) Princess Lomi (IRE) Slade (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Officer (USA) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 7.4% of 349 runs since 2008 (20 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.5% from 209.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Lomitas (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.6% from 122. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 319. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.7% from 120.

Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,419 runs since 2008 (730 horses).

Orpen (USA) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 9% of 4,037 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,629 runs since 2008 (842 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 203 · newest first

The latest 50 of 203 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2005 to 15 October 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 16 Cork Lomi's Law (IRE)J: E T Daly Follow Us On Twitter Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 16/1

17 Aug 16 Killarney Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Denis Linehan Diarmuid Cronin Electrical Apprentice Handicap (45-65)8.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 6/1

07 Jul 16 Leopardstown Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Leopardstown Handicap (50-80)8f · Good · 14 ran 12th 16/1

22 Jun 16 Naas Anania (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Coral.ie Maiden5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 10/1

12 Jun 16 Cork Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Coral.ie Money Back If Your Horse Is Beaten By A Length Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 20/1

02 Jun 16 Fairyhouse Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Andrew Breslin Jogforjockeys.ie Apprentice Handicap (45-65)10f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 16th 20/1

28 May 16 Navan Creative Talent (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Velstone Work Surface Handicap (Div 1)13f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 12th 20/1

11 Nov 15 Dundalk (AW) Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Ian Queally Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (47-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 9/1

28 Sep 15 Roscommon Creative Talent (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara www.roscommonracecourse.ie Maiden12f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 11/2

11 Sep 15 Down Royal Anania (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden (Plus 10)5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/4F

05 Sep 15 Navan Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Ian Queally Gormanlough Handicap (47-70)10f · Good To Firm · 22 ran 8th 8/1

29 Aug 15 Wexford Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Ian Queally Wexford Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)11f · Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

15 Aug 15 Tramore Creative Talent (IRE)J: Colin Keane Perennial Freight Maiden12f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 11/8F

07 Aug 15 Tipperary Anania (IRE)J: Colin Keane McGrath Oil Maiden5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/1

15 Jul 15 Killarney Creative Talent (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Ladbrokes Ireland Maiden14f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 5/1

05 Jul 15 Fairyhouse Anania (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden (Plus 10)6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 11/4F

03 Jul 15 Bellewstown Creative Talent (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Anglo Printers Maiden12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 3/1

23 Jun 15 Ballinrobe Creative Talent (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Vaughanshoes.ie E.B.F. Maiden13f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

20 Jun 15 Down Royal Anania (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Rainbow Communications Maiden (Plus 10)5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 50/1

15 Jun 15 Sligo Lomi's Law (IRE)J: Ian Queally Audi Sligo Apprentice Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Heffernan's strike rate?: Andrew Heffernan has won 12 of 151 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Heffernan do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 34 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Andrew Heffernan's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 151 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.