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Trainer profile

Kevin Prendergast

201 runners in the last 5 seasons · 33 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2025 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
14–201
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=201
54 (27%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=201 · 0.64 incl. margin
−115.62
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −57.5%
£235k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Chris Hayes: 5.8% from 69
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.43). Chris Hayes rides 34% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 0.54). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (13.3%, n=30) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.9%, n=46). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.3% over 30 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. 69 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Shelbourne Hotel Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2006, £985,000). The stable star of the record: Mustameet (USA) — 8 wins from 20 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−4.1
n=34 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −25.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
100%+93.0
n=1 · A/E 9.13 · £1 +6.50
When favourite
60%
n=10 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +7.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7%+0.0
n=43 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −22.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 13.3% vs 7% · n=30
With Gary Halpin 12.2% vs 7% · n=49
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 10.9% vs 7% · n=46
Off a 15-30-day break 10.1% vs 7% · n=79
Off a 31-60-day break 3.3% vs 7% · n=30
On Good going 9.9% vs 7% · n=71
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 191 13 6.8% −120.62
Hurdle 7 1 14.3% +8.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 71 7 9.9% −39.45
Soft 50 3 6% −27.50
Good to Soft 27 3 11.1% +1.33
Standard (AW) 27 1 3.7% −24.00
Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 27 1 3.7% −24.00
Curragh 26 1 3.8% −23.90
Leopardstown 17 0 0% −17.00
Naas 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Bellewstown 11 3 27.3% +17.33
Gowran Park 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Roscommon 9 1 11.1% −7.17
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 7 1 14.3% −3.75
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 6 1 16.7% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 6 42.9% 1.58 +3.13
2nd–3rd fav 40 3 7.5% 0.46 −25.75
4th–6th fav 62 3 4.8% 0.60 −38.00
7th+ in betting 85 2 2.4% 0.74 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Butterfly Garden (IRE) 24 3 8 29 Aug 24
Woodcock Flight (IRE) 12 2 7 6 Sep 23
Monaasib (GB) 12 0 2 26 Aug 23
Profit Refused (IRE)then Ollie Sangster 11 1 3 1 Nov 24
Copie Conforme (IRE) 11 2 5 20 Oct 24
Smiling Bess (IRE)then Ross O'Sullivan 11 1 4 15 Aug 24
With Annie Luck (IRE) 9 0 1 21 Sep 24
Alaroos (IRE)then Harry Eustace 9 2 6 6 Nov 22
Mudamer (IRE)then Geoffrey Harker 9 1 2 27 Sep 22
Cruiscin Lan (IRE)then P J Rothwell 7 0 1 21 Sep 23
Iowntheball (GB) 6 1 2 5 Jun 25
Ace In The Pack (IRE)then Daniel James Murphy 6 0 1 27 Sep 24
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Aengus King (2) and Daniel James Murphy (2); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000071119950·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
34% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 0.54
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 69 4 5.8% −52.34
Gary Halpin 49 6 12.2% −15.78
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
480
Archived wins
69
Pattern / graded wins
£14.9m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 56 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Miss Beatrix (IRE) — Shelbourne Hotel Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2006
£985,000
Awtaad (IRE) — Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) Curragh · May 2016 · Group 1
£171,000
Miss Beatrix (IRE) — Moyglare Stud Stakes (Fillies) Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2006 · Group 1
£168,600
Notable horses
Mustameet (USA) Vastonea (IRE) Katie T (IRE) Almass (IRE) Celtic Dane (IRE) Maude Adams (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Awtaad (IRE) 10.4% · 5–48
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,874 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.1% from 114.
Make Believe (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,612 runs since 2008 (298 horses).
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,878 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (144 horses).
Profitable (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,433 runs since 2008 (358 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,905 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,378 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,378 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 13 June 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jun 25 Cork Glory To Be (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Rathbarry Stud Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 7/2
05 Jun 25 Leopardstown Iowntheball (GB)J: W J Lee BoyleSports 'Home Of The Early Payout' Handicap9f · Good · 12 ran 5th 10/1
23 May 25 Curragh Glory To Be (IRE)J: Chris Hayes QuinnBet Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 33/1
13 May 25 Killarney Jerandme (IRE)J: Jack Cleary FEXCO Handicap17f · Good · 15 ran 12th 50/1
16 Apr 25 Gowran Park Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Golf At Gowran Park Claiming Race8f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 11/8F
29 Mar 25 Curragh Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Sam James Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 3YO Spring Series Median Auction Fillies Maiden10f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 22/1
07 Mar 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Every Cheltenham Festival Race Live Only On Racing TV (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1
21 Feb 25 Dundalk (AW) Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race10.5f · Standard · 4 ran 3rd 11/4
07 Feb 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap16f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1
27 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1
17 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Aileen O'Sullivan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race16f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 14/1
29 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap16f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 18/1
27 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Lost Soul (IRE)J: Sean Davis Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65)16f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 8/1
13 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Lost Soul (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 8/1
01 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Profit Refused (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/1
20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Copie Conforme (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (50-80)10f · Heavy · 20 ran 7th 12/1
17 Oct 24 Curragh Talgo Abbess (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 15th 25/1
13 Oct 24 Naas Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 9/1
12 Oct 24 Naas Lost Soul (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Punctual Print Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 50/1
11 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Prendergast's strike rate?
Kevin Prendergast has won 14 of 201 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Kevin Prendergast?
Chris Hayes, with 69 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.8%).
What is Kevin Prendergast's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).