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Trainer profile

Adrian Brendan Joyce

39 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2023
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–39
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=39
11 (28%)
Placed
0.57
Fair A/E
n=39 · 0.46 incl. margin
−29.00
£1 level stake
n=39 at SP · −74.4%
£32,540
Prize money (window)

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+2.0
n=28 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+3.2
n=24 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 27 2 7.4% −17.00
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 11 1 9.1% −6.50
Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Laytown (AW) 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 1 50% +2.50
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.16 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 0.85 −9.50
7th+ in betting 13 0 0% 0.00 −13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Expound (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Denis Gerard Hogan 3 0 2 29 Sep 23
Suile Ban (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Denis Gerard Hogan 2 0 0 30 Sep 23
Ogee (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 2 0 0 30 Sep 23
Sky Legend (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Philip M Byrne 2 0 0 29 Sep 23
Ciao Adios (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Philip M Byrne 2 0 1 29 Sep 23
Eloquent Arthur (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Philip M Byrne 2 0 2 21 Sep 23
Darkened (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Shane Ryder 2 0 0 18 Sep 23
Hot Whispers (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 2 0 0 18 Sep 23
Barnhill Rose (GB)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Denis Gerard Hogan 2 1 1 12 Sep 23
French Hill (IRE)then Miss Shauna Larkin 1 0 0 1 Oct 23
Rumbled Again (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then D J Bunyan 1 0 1 29 Sep 23
Autocrat (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Shane Ryder 1 0 0 29 Sep 23
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (27); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Gerard Hogan (7) and Philip M Byrne (7); 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
········50··
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
J M Sheridan 10 0 0% −10.00
Daniel King 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Paddy Harnett 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Sean D Bowen 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr Derek O'Connor 1 0 0% −1.00
W J Lee 1 0 0% −1.00
Colin Keane 1 0 0% −1.00
Philip Donovan 1 0 0% −1.00
Nathan Crosse 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr H C Swan 1 0 0% −1.00
Siobhan Rutledge 1 0 0% −1.00
Conor Smithers 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
33
Archived wins
£280k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 10 wins
Florida Times (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Cork · Apr 2017
£9,240
Rock On Rosie (IRE) — Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2016
£7,590
Gold Not Silver (IRE) — Bet With The Tote Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Down Royal · Feb 2014
£6,900
Notable horses
Majestic Timeline (IRE) Coach Bombay (IRE) Times In Anatefka (IRE) Rock On Rosie (IRE) Gold Not Silver (IRE) True Companion (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Galileo (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,192 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Ulysses (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,972 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,826 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,881 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Hot Streak (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8% of 1,755 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 781. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Mayson (GB) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,368 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,729. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 411 · newest first

The latest 50 of 411 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2013 to 1 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Oct 23 Tipperary French Hill (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Peppermill Restaurant Nenagh Fillies Flat Race16f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 11/1
30 Sep 23 Gowran Park Suile Ban (IRE)J: Daniel King Joe Bollard Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Heavy · 19 ran 6th 10/1
30 Sep 23 Gowran Park Ogee (IRE)J: Daniel King Golf Memberships At Gowran Park Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 17 ran 12th 200/1
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Sky Legend (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Dual Racing Friday Nights Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 18/1
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Ciao Adios (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Dual Racing Friday Nights Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Expound (GB)J: J M Sheridan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (50-85)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 13/2
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Autocrat (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (50-85)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 33/1
29 Sep 23 Dundalk (AW) Rumbled Again (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Gateway Hotel Race & Stay Apprentice Handicap (47-75)6f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 6/1
28 Sep 23 Clonmel More Info (IRE)J: Daniel King Clonmel Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 7/2
24 Sep 23 Curragh Almuhit (IRE)J: W J Lee Friends Of The Curragh Pollardstown Handicap (0-95)17f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 17/2
22 Sep 23 Listowel Thecompanysergeant (GB)J: Daniel King Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Listed)16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 4th 6/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Eloquent Arthur (GB)J: J M Sheridan Tote Ireland Handicap (50-80)9f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 5/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Sportingsilvermine (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Buckley Agri New Holland Irish Ebf Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 6th 18/1
18 Sep 23 Fairyhouse Hot Whispers (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap (47-70)6f · Yielding · 17 ran 15th 11/1
18 Sep 23 Listowel Can't Resist It (GB)J: Mr J H Williamson Eric Browne Memorial Flat Race16f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 14/1
18 Sep 23 Listowel Darkened (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Yielding · 16 ran 8th 11/1
18 Sep 23 Listowel Chautuaqua (IRE)J: Daniel King Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 2/1F
13 Sep 23 Tramore Sky Legend (GB)J: Daniel King Gaultier Handicap (47-65)16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 13/2
13 Sep 23 Punchestown Super Cub (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Return Of Jumps October 10th & 11th Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)9f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 10/1
13 Sep 23 Tramore Ciao Adios (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen Copper Coast Handicap (47-65)12f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian Brendan Joyce's strike rate?
Adrian Brendan Joyce has won 2 of 39 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Adrian Brendan Joyce's Fair A/E?
0.57, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).