John McNamara
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode 516 times in our archive record (2005–2006), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.79).
The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (13.2%, n=38), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. Kim Bailey supplied 27% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.3% vs 6.6%, A/E 0.50). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 3: Fair A/E 0.48 across 148 rides (4.1% strike, −50.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 2005–2006Riding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 516 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 516 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 April 2006.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John McNamara's strike rate?
- John McNamara has won 34 of 516 rides between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
- Which course does John McNamara do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) between 2005 and 2006. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does John McNamara ride most for?
- Kim Bailey, with 139 rides between 2005 and 2006 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.3%).
- What is John McNamara's Fair A/E?
- 0.79, from 514 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.