What is Jordan Williams's strike rate?

Jordan Williams has won 32 of 360 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jordan Williams do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 rides (10.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jordan Williams ride most for?

David Evans, with 195 rides since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.3%).

What is Jordan Williams's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 358 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jordan Williams

360 rides in the last 5 seasons · 138 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2025 98% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

32–360

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=360

98 (27%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=358 · 0.87 incl. margin

−97.33

£1 level stake

n=360 at SP · −27.0%

£275k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (36 rides). Rides mostly for David Evans — 54% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 360 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance David Evans: 10.3% from 195 LTO winners: 22.2% Claiming: 9.2%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.2% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.32). David Evans supplies 54% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The market has also underrated the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.39 across 90 rides (11.1% strike, +5.75 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 4.9% over 81 rides, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.59 across 85 rides (5.9% strike, −49.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.4%−0.5

n=131 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −14.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.2%+13.3

n=36 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −1.58

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.7%−0.2

n=46 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +1.00

When favourite

20%

n=20 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −8.08

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.2%+0.3

n=337 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −77.58

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−8.9

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.2% vs 8.9% · n=36

Over 1m – 1m1f 4.9% vs 8.9% · n=81

Off a 8-14-day break 5.9% vs 8.9% · n=85

With Bernard Llewellyn 6.2% vs 8.9% · n=97

Over 6f – 7f 11% vs 8.9% · n=118

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 11.1% vs 8.9% · n=90

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 354 32 9% −91.33

Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 258 23 8.9% −57.83

Good 38 4 10.5% −6.50

Good to Firm 23 1 4.3% −19.00

Good to Soft 14 1 7.1% −9.50

Soft 13 2 15.4% +1.50

Heavy 12 1 8.3% −4.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 97 7 7.2% −54.83

Lingfield (AW) 46 5 10.9% +0.50

Kempton (AW) 45 4 8.9% −17.25

Southwell (AW) 42 4 9.5% −0.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 25 3 12% +17.50

Chepstow 21 5 23.8% +11.50

Bath 18 0 0% −18.00

Ffos Las 18 2 11.1% −6.00

Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00

Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00

Chester 6 1 16.7% +3.50

Newcastle (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Leicester 3 1 33.3% +5.50

Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00

Brighton 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 178 16 9% −30.63

Class 5 112 10 8.9% −35.00

Class 4 55 4 7.3% −25.50

Class 3 12 2 16.7% −3.20

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 21 4 19% 0.71 −9.08

2nd–3rd fav 74 16 21.6% 1.33 +9.25

4th–6th fav 118 9 7.6% 0.93 −17.50

7th+ in betting 147 3 2% 0.75 −80.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Level Up (IRE) 14 3 7 7 Jun 25

Zambezi Magic (GB) 13 2 3 16 Jul 25

Ultramarine (IRE) 10 3 5 7 Jun 25

Lady Wingalong (IRE) 10 4 6 5 Jun 25

Cogital (GB) 9 2 4 22 Jun 25

Change Of Fortune (GB) 9 0 1 10 Jun 25

Dovey Moon (GB) 7 1 1 12 Jun 25

King's Code (GB) 7 2 4 14 May 25

Erosion Risk (IRE) 7 0 4 25 Mar 23

King Charles (USA) 7 0 1 16 Feb 23

Claxton Bay (GB) 6 0 2 14 Jun 25

Supreme King (IRE) 6 1 2 1 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 138 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

821001511617001516

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDavid Evans

54% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

David Evans 195 20 10.3% −60.58

Bernard Llewellyn 97 6 6.2% −43.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£417k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 13 wins

Aerial (FR) — Totepool Southern National Handicap Chase Fontwell · Nov 2016 · Class 3

£15,825

King's Code (GB) — Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Dec 2024 · Class 3

£8,165

King's Code (GB) — Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2024 · Class 3

£7,956

Notable horses

Cogital (GB) Lady Wingalong (IRE) Level Up (IRE) Ultramarine (IRE) Gift Of Silence (GB) Zambezi Magic (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Massaat (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,208 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 113. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 132.

Zoffany (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,768 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Hot Streak (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14

Progeny have won 8% of 1,757 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.

Cityscape (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 9% of 2,996 runs since 2008 (213 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,950 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,566 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 664 · newest first

The latest 50 of 664 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2014 to 22 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Jul 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Early Release (GB)T: David Evans Thanks For Everything Tommo - Happy Retirement HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 18/1

17 Jul 25 Chepstow Over Spiced (GB)T: Grace Harris Trade Centre Wales Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/2F

16 Jul 25 Ffos Las Zambezi Magic (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn Download The DragonBet App 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 5th 7/4F

16 Jul 25 Ffos Las Vellner (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn Best Odds Guaranteed On dragonbet.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1

16 Jul 25 Ffos Las Indigo Times (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn dragonbet.co.uk Born From The Betting Ring HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 12/1

12 Jul 25 Chester Polling Day (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn Absolut Vodka Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 11/1

12 Jul 25 Chester Hedonista (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn Matthew Clark HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

22 Jun 25 Ffos Las Cogital (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn Dandara Homes HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 9/1

22 Jun 25 Ffos Las King of The Dance (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn NB Civils And Surfacing Ltd HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 7/2F

16 Jun 25 Chepstow Alice's Impact (GB)T: David Evans bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

16 Jun 25 Chepstow Redshore City (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 8/1

14 Jun 25 Bath Claxton Bay (GB)T: David Evans Bath Priory HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 11th 3/1F

12 Jun 25 Yarmouth Dovey Moon (GB)T: David Evans QuinnBet 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/2

11 Jun 25 Yarmouth Early Release (GB)T: David Evans Winning Experience With Moulton Racing HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 8/1

10 Jun 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Change Of Fortune (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn HighBet Traders Treble Odds Boost Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

07 Jun 25 Chepstow Cogital (GB)T: Bernard Llewellyn 'SecureIt Security And Fire Protection' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 25/1

07 Jun 25 Chepstow King of The Dance (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn DragonBet Born From The Betting Ring Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

07 Jun 25 Chepstow Alice's Impact (GB)T: David Evans DragonBet Born From The Betting Ring Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 7/2

07 Jun 25 Chepstow Ultramarine (IRE)T: David Evans 'SecureIt Supports Chepstow Racecourse' HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

07 Jun 25 Chepstow Jr Climbs (IRE)T: David Evans DragonBet - Oncourse And Online HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jordan Williams's strike rate?: Jordan Williams has won 32 of 360 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jordan Williams do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 rides (10.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jordan Williams ride most for?: David Evans, with 195 rides since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.3%).
What is Jordan Williams's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 358 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.