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Horse profile

Erosion Risk (IRE)

3yo gelding (at last run, Oct 2023) · Last trainer David Evans · Last owner Rocbrook Racing Club
by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Kadesh (IRE) (Shamardal)
22 runs · 9 courses · from May 2022
As at 14 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 19 Oct 2023 — 1,090 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2023 · 6th of 11 Beaten favourite LTO Last raced off OR 56
KTB Profile

Erosion Risk (IRE) is yet to win from 22 starts, though has placed 10 times. Best effort: 2nd of 4 at Lingfield (AW) (Mar 2023). Last raced off 56, 24lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 22 archived runs · updated 14 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 24lb off peak
Official rating56↓ 24lb off peak
56 56–80

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 82 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Chelmsford City (AW), 19 Oct 2023

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.

Flat 22 figures · best 109A · median 88
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 14 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)15106B90—
Good3100A55—
Good to Firm3109A82—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 14 Oct 2025
Under 6f15109A87—
6f – 7f7106B93—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 22 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 66A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Chelmsford City (AW), 19 Oct 2023 Official rating 56 at the last run, 19 Oct 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race.

Flat 22 figures · best 98A · median 72.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 14 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)1598A73—
Good395A65—
Good to Firm390A74—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 14 Oct 2025
Under 6f1598A74—
6f – 7f779A69—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 22 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,897 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses).

Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm921415.2%+6.1—
Good to Firm2,47725610.3%+1.20 from 3
Good3,1652648.3%−0.80 from 3
Good to Soft1,3371098.2%−0.90 from 1
Soft1,7081357.9%−1.2—
Heavy4634910.6%+1.5—
Standard (AW)5,6555339.4%+0.30 from 15
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f4,42650611.4%+2.30 from 15
6f – 7f7,6086428.4%−0.70 from 7
1m – 1m1f2,0351577.7%−1.4—
1m2f – 1m4f579447.6%−1.5—
1m5f – 2m17095.3%−3.8—
2m1f – 2m4f6623%−6.1—
2m5f – 3m1200%−9.1—
Over 3m100%−9.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Kadesh (IRE) (Shamardal)

4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Daintree (IRE) (2 wins).

The wins came over 5f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (An Laochmor (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Daintree (IRE)2025f—
An Laochmor (IRE)2025fClass 6
Deirdreanme (IRE)30——
Onfalos (IRE)10——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chester 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
Under 6f 15 0 0% −15.00
6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Jordan Williams 7 0 0% −7.00
Rossa Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Darragh Keenan 2 0 0% −2.00
George Downing 2 0 0% −2.00
Ben Curtis 1 0 0% −1.00
Richard Kingscote 1 0 0% −1.00
Rhiain Ingram 1 0 0% −1.00
Saffie Osborne 1 0 0% −1.00
Callum Shepherd 1 0 0% −1.00
Aidan Keeley 1 0 0% −1.00
J F Egan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 18 0 0% −18.00
Visor 3 0 0% −3.00
Blinkers 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2023 16 0 0% −16.00
2022 6 0 0% −6.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
19 Oct 23+45d Chelmsford City (AW) Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership Available Now Handicap Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6/11 hd 9-10 5682A66A Ben Curtis 7/4F
04 Sep 23+37d Chepstow David Lucas, Wales Leading Independent Bookmaker Handicap Class 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 6/8 1 9-10 6047A65A Richard Kingscote 12/1
29 Jul 23+12d Windsor VRT Your Local VW Audi Specialist Handicap Class 4 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 6/6 19 8-5 6355C27C Rhiain Ingram 22/1
17 Jul 23+14d Wolverhampton (AW) Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11/12 ½ 9-0 6679B46A Darragh Keenan 7/1
03 Jul 23+68d Windsor Harpers Horsing Around 30th Anniversary Cup Handicap Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6/8 1½ 9-2 68109A74A Saffie Osborne 12/1
26 Apr 23+17d Catterick British EBF 40th Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8/9 ½ 9-4 7060A51A Callum Shepherd 5/1
09 Apr 23+15d Southwell (AW) At The Races App Market Movers Handicap Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7/13 2¼ 9-10 7289B67A Rossa Ryan 10/3F
25 Mar 23+7d Lingfield (AW) Talksport Download The App Handicap Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 2/4 ¾ 9-1 7284C73B Jordan Williams 85/40F
18 Mar 23+8d Wolverhampton (AW) BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Restricted Maiden Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race) Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2/10 1 8-12 7393A79A Jordan Williams 10/3
10 Mar 23+3d Wolverhampton (AW) BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 3/6 nk 8-11 74106B72B Jordan Williams 9/4
07 Mar 23+8d Southwell (AW) BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 2/6 1¾ 9-3 7283A76B Rossa Ryan 11/10F
27 Feb 23+17d Wolverhampton (AW) talkSPORT Powered By Fans Handicap Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 2/7 nse 9-6 72100A98A Rossa Ryan 3/1
10 Feb 23+25d Chelmsford City (AW) chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 2/8 2¼ 9-2 7294A95A Jordan Williams 2/1
16 Jan 23+4d Wolverhampton (AW) Top Odds Every Day With BetUK Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 2/5 2½ 9-1 7390C74B Rossa Ryan 13/8
12 Jan 23+8d Chelmsford City (AW) Become A 2023 CCR Member Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 2/5 ¾ 8-10 73101C84B Aidan Keeley 2/1
04 Jan 23+17d Kempton (AW) Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day Handicap Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3/9 ¾ 9-3 7497A75A Jordan Williams 15/2
18 Dec 22+17d Wolverhampton (AW) talkSPORT Powered By Fans Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 2/8 3¾ 8-13 7595A69B Jordan Williams 20/1
01 Dec 22+24d Chelmsford City (AW) Illuminate Christmas Ball Nursery Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 8/8 nk 8-11 7887A62A Jordan Williams 50/1
07 Nov 22+133d Wolverhampton (AW) British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6/9 3½ 9-7 8064A59A Darragh Keenan 5/1
27 Jun 22+2d Windsor British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2/10 1¾ 9-7 —80A90A George Downing 7/2
25 Jun 22+33d Chester Champagne Laurent-Perrier EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 3/8 ¾ 9-7 —100A95A J F Egan 10/1
23 May 22 Windsor British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6/6 4¾ 9-7 —82A53B George Downing 20/1

Quick answers

How many races has Erosion Risk (IRE) won?
Erosion Risk (IRE) has yet to win, from 22 archived starts between 2022 and 2023. Placed 10 times in total (45.5% of starts).
Who trained Erosion Risk (IRE)?
Erosion Risk (IRE) was trained by David Evans on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 19 October 2023.
Who is Erosion Risk (IRE)'s sire?
Erosion Risk (IRE) is by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Kadesh (IRE), whose sire is Shamardal.
What is Erosion Risk (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 56, from the run on 19 October 2023. The highest on record is 80.
What is Erosion Risk (IRE)'s sire's record?
Dandy Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,897 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Who are Erosion Risk (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Kadesh (IRE), Erosion Risk (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Daintree (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (An Laochmor (IRE)). The wins came over 5f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from May 2022. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.