What is Lance Betts's strike rate?

Lance Betts has won 31 of 417 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lance Betts do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Lance Betts ride most for?

Brian Ellison, with 146 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11%).

What is Lance Betts's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 414 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Lance Betts

417 rides in the lifetime window · 214 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2016 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

31–417

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=417

111 (27%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=414 · 0.78 incl. margin

−106.25

£1 level stake

n=417 at SP · −25.5%

£178k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (31 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 417 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Brian Ellison: 11% from 146 First rides: 7.7% LTO winners: 9.7%

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (13.5%, n=37), clear of the rider's 7.4% baseline. It is weakest at Redcar (2.6% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.97). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 7.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +7.50 to a £1 stake over 207 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Brian Ellison supplied 35% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11% vs 7.4%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.1%, n=56) and on Soft going (14.3%, n=42).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.7%+0.3

n=207 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +7.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.7%+2.3

n=31 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −2.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.3%−3.1

n=47 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

32%

n=25 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +0.75

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.2%−0.2

n=377 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −115.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.7%−0.7

n=90 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 16.1% vs 7.4% · n=56

On Soft going 14.3% vs 7.4% · n=42

With Tim Easterby 2.3% vs 7.4% · n=87

At Newcastle 13.5% vs 7.4% · n=37

With Brian Ellison 11% vs 7.4% · n=146

At Redcar 2.6% vs 7.4% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 129 8 6.2% −43.00

Good 115 7 6.1% −68.75

Standard (AW) 64 6 9.4% +7.50

Good to Soft 56 2 3.6% −36.50

Soft 42 6 14.3% −1.50

Firm 6 1 16.7% +15.00

Heavy 5 1 20% +21.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Catterick 49 3 6.1% −24.50

Redcar 38 1 2.6% −23.00

Newcastle 37 5 13.5% +2.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 37 4 10.8% +11.50

Beverley 35 2 5.7% −10.00

Ayr 23 3 13% −11.75

Musselburgh 21 1 4.8% +5.00

Thirsk 21 2 9.5% −4.50

Carlisle 20 1 5% −16.75

Southwell (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Hamilton 19 1 5.3% −11.00

York 18 0 0% −18.00

Doncaster 17 2 11.8% +1.50

Ripon 17 0 0% −17.00

Haydock 13 1 7.7% +13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 164 10 6.1% −73.25

Class 6 149 15 10.1% +18.25

Class 4 82 5 6.1% −46.25

Class 3 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 2 3 1 33.3% +14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 33 9 27.3% 1.16 −3.25

2nd–3rd fav 73 6 8.2% 0.59 −35.50

4th–6th fav 131 8 6.1% 0.83 −28.50

7th+ in betting 180 8 4.4% 1.36 −39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Miss Daawe (GB) 15 2 6 17 Sep 09

First Class Favour (IRE) 10 2 3 20 Sep 11

My Mate Mal (GB) 10 2 4 25 Jul 09

Rosbay (IRE) 9 0 2 19 Jul 11

Eastern Hills (GB) 9 0 3 15 Jun 10

Ryedane (IRE) 8 0 2 26 Jul 11

Kingsdale Orion (IRE) 8 1 5 5 Sep 09

John Forbes (GB) 6 1 3 31 Oct 09

Campli (IRE) 6 1 4 25 May 09

Coronado's Gold (USA) 6 0 3 5 May 09

Court Of Appeal (GB) 6 0 4 18 Oct 08

Jun Fan (USA) 6 0 3 5 Aug 08

The 60 most-raced of 214 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

·0886868611033

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBrian Ellison

35% of all rides
11% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Brian Ellison 146 16 11% −20.25

Tim Easterby 87 2 2.3% −65.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£204k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ladies Best (GB) — Paddock Package Handicap Pontefract · Apr 2009 · Class 2

£11,216

Quest For Success (IRE) — Pertemps People Development 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Final Handicap Doncaster · Oct 2008 · Class 4

£6,476

Keisha Kayleigh (IRE) — New Website At Victorchandler.com Handicap Ayr · Aug 2009 · Class 4

£6,476

Notable horses

Miss Daawe (GB) First Class Favour (IRE) My Mate Mal (GB) Prince Noel (GB) Keisha Kayleigh (IRE) Yes Eighteen (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Daawe (USA) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 9.6% of 167 runs since 2008 (5 horses).

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Desert Prince (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.

Intikhab (USA) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.

Danetime (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 11% of 6,948 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 512 · newest first

The latest 50 of 512 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 July 2005 to 26 July 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Jul 16 Beverley Afkar (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado In Loving Memory Of Aidan McArdle 'Mac' HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 25/1

18 Jul 16 Beverley Monopoli (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Racing Uk HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 5th 11/1

14 Jul 16 Doncaster Zaeem (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Terry Bellas Memorial HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 33/1

02 Jul 16 Leicester Monopoli (GB)T: Ivan Furtado H.a.c. Group Of Companies HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 8/1

26 Sep 11 Hamilton Logans Legend (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney Overton Farm Shop Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 16/1

25 Sep 11 Musselburgh Lees Anthem (GB)T: Colin Teague Royal Regiment Of Scotland HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 12/1

24 Sep 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Jaldarshaan (IRE)T: Colin Teague mobet.williamhill.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard To Fast · 10 ran 4th 8/1

20 Sep 11 Beverley First Class Favour (IRE)T: Tim Easterby George Kilburn Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 25/1

17 Sep 11 Catterick Jaldarshaan (IRE)T: Colin Teague racinguk.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1

17 Sep 11 Catterick Tropical Bachelor (IRE)T: Richard Ford Northallerton And Dales Branch Of Samaritans HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 13 ran 6th 12/1

17 Sep 11 Catterick Peteron (GB)T: Colin Teague Project Management Scotland Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 200/1

17 Sep 11 Catterick See Clearly (GB)T: Tim Easterby Louise Johnson 26th Birthday NurseryClass 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1

17 Sep 11 Catterick Lady Romanza (IRE)T: Tim Easterby E.B.F. 'Monsieur Bond' Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1

08 Sep 11 Wolverhampton (AW) First Class Favour (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Williamhill.com Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 14/1

03 Sep 11 Thirsk Holy Angel (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Happy Birthday Marc Findlay And Tom Sloans Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 4th 12/1

01 Sep 11 Redcar Denison Flyer (GB)T: Lawrence Mullaney Hold Your Christmas Party At Redcar Racecourse Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1

01 Sep 11 Redcar Chardonnay Star (IRE)T: Colin Teague Follow Redcarracing On Facebook & Twitter Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 50/1

24 Aug 11 Catterick Mr Mo Jo (GB)T: Lawrence Mullaney Catterickbridge.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 11/2

13 Aug 11 Ripon File And Paint (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney E.B.F. 'Bahri' Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 15/2

12 Aug 11 Catterick Nha Trang (IRE)T: Deborah Sanderson Try Totequickpick If You're Feeling Lucky Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lance Betts's strike rate?: Lance Betts has won 31 of 417 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lance Betts do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lance Betts ride most for?: Brian Ellison, with 146 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11%).
What is Lance Betts's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 414 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.