What is Lewis Dobb's strike rate?

Lewis Dobb has won 15 of 194 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Lewis Dobb ride most for?

L J Morgan, with 84 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (15.5%).

What is Lewis Dobb's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 194 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Lewis Dobb

194 rides in the last 5 seasons · 101 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2025 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

15–194

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=194

40 (21%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=194 · 0.70 incl. margin

−123.05

£1 level stake

n=194 at SP · −63.4%

£159k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). Rides mostly for L J Morgan — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 194 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance L J Morgan: 15.5% from 84 Claiming: 8.1%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.32). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 8.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −115.05 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. L J Morgan supplies 43% of the rides and beats the rider's average (15.5% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (21.1%, n=57) and in Class 5 (12%, n=92). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0.8% over 126 rides, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.39 across 73 rides (4.1% strike, −64.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.2%−2.5

n=96 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −65.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

38.5%+30.8

n=13 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +4.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.4%−5.3

n=42 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −32.50

When favourite

35.7%

n=14 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +0.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.4

n=186 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −115.05

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−7.7

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.7

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 21.1% vs 7.7% · n=57

With L J Morgan 15.5% vs 7.7% · n=84

In Hurdle races 0.8% vs 7.7% · n=126

With horses switching code 0% vs 7.7% · n=32

In Class 5 12% vs 7.7% · n=92

In Class 4 4.1% vs 7.7% · n=73

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 126 1 0.8% −122.00

Chase 57 12 21.1% +3.45

NH Flat 11 2 18.2% −4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 71 5 7% −46.50

Good to Soft 65 4 6.2% −43.25

Soft 45 4 8.9% −26.30

Heavy 10 2 20% −4.00

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 22 2 9.1% −17.50

Musselburgh 19 2 10.5% −9.00

Market Rasen 16 1 6.3% −6.50

Ayr 16 2 12.5% −9.75

Kelso 16 0 0% −16.00

Wetherby 15 1 6.7% −11.00

Newcastle 14 0 0% −14.00

Hexham 8 0 0% −8.00

Sedgefield 7 1 14.3% +1.50

Carlisle 7 1 14.3% −3.50

Doncaster 6 1 16.7% −1.00

Fakenham 6 0 0% −6.00

Catterick 5 1 20% +2.00

Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00

Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 92 11 12% −33.80

Class 4 73 3 4.1% −64.25

Class 3 17 1 5.9% −13.00

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 6 40% 1.33 +3.25

2nd–3rd fav 35 5 14.3% 0.82 −13.30

4th–6th fav 72 4 5.6% 0.68 −41.00

7th+ in betting 72 0 0% 0.00 −72.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74.9% completed · 183 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 57 66.7% 2 3 14 0 0

Hurdle 126 78.6% 4 4 19 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Vollan (IRE) 12 0 2 24 Jan 24

Hasankey (IRE) 11 2 4 18 Oct 23

Theirshegoes (IRE) 10 1 4 25 May 25

Here We Have It (IRE) 9 2 2 7 Sep 23

Big Changes (GB) 8 4 4 23 Nov 23

Taras Day (GB) 8 0 1 30 Oct 22

Rumble B (IRE) 6 0 4 20 May 25

Jet Patrol (IRE) 4 0 1 25 May 25

Red Ned (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Oct 24

Noche Negra (SPA) 3 2 2 18 Feb 24

George Mallory (GB) 3 0 2 3 Jul 23

J'ai Froid (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 101 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

925400250008104

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardL J Morgan

43% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.40

TrainerRWSR£1

L J Morgan 84 13 15.5% −20.55

Sandy Thomson 44 2 4.5% −36.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£172k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 8 wins

Here We Have It (IRE) — Join Vickers.Bet Free Bet Club Handicap Chase Southwell · Dec 2022 · Class 4

£9,585

Hasankey (IRE) — Racing TV Handicap Chase Wetherby · Feb 2022 · Class 3

£7,407

Big Changes (GB) — Download The At The Races App Handicap Chase Doncaster · Mar 2023 · Class 5

£5,175

Notable horses

Big Changes (GB) Hasankey (IRE) Here We Have It (IRE) Noche Negra (SPA) Theirshegoes (IRE) Taras Day (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 25% · 4–16

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mahler (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,639 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.

Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Court Cave (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 214 · newest first

The latest 50 of 214 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 November 2019 to 25 May 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 May 25 Kelso Theirshegoes (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Ponsse UK Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 4/1

25 May 25 Kelso Jet Patrol (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Molson Coors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 4th 2/1F

20 May 25 Hexham Benson (GB)T: Sandy Thomson Port Of Blyth Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 6/1

20 May 25 Hexham Rumble B (IRE)T: Justin Landy Tynedale Agricultural Society Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran F 7/2

14 May 25 Perth Theirshegoes (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Murrayshall Meetings And Events Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 10/1

13 May 25 Sedgefield She's A Dinger (GB)T: L J Morgan Resolve Contracts Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 5/1

13 May 25 Sedgefield Jet Patrol (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Visit The New betvickers.com Website Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 10/1

10 May 25 Hexham Carcaci Castle (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson oddsnow.com Your Home Of Betting Insight Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

03 May 25 Hexham Rumble B (IRE)T: Justin Landy Greenhead Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

25 Apr 25 Perth Flower Of Scotland (FR)T: Sandy Thomson Campbell & Son Roofing Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 40/1

23 Apr 25 Perth Carcaci Castle (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson GS Group Balnakeilly Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran F 25/1

19 Apr 25 Carlisle Russian Virtue (GB)T: David Thompson Jump Season Finale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 15/2

05 Apr 25 Newcastle Lady Hamilton (IRE)T: Wilf Storey quinnbet.com Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/1

31 Mar 25 Newcastle Inta (FR)T: Sandy Thomson Live Sports At Fleet Street Newcastle Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 22/1

28 Mar 25 Wetherby Rumble B (IRE)T: Justin Landy 100% RacingTV Profits Back To Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

23 Mar 25 Carlisle The Jad Factor (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Ladbrokes Go North Red Rum Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 22/1

21 Mar 25 Musselburgh Tiggerelli (GB)T: Sandy Thomson Ladbrokes Get Rewarded With Ladbucks Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 33/1

21 Mar 25 Musselburgh Jet Patrol (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Racing Post Go North Sea Pigeon Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 13/2

21 Mar 25 Musselburgh Theirshegoes (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Racing Post Go North Lady Buttons Mares' Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran F 16/1

21 Mar 25 Musselburgh Leading Force (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Racing Post Go North Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lewis Dobb's strike rate?: Lewis Dobb has won 15 of 194 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Lewis Dobb ride most for?: L J Morgan, with 84 rides since 2022 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (15.5%).
What is Lewis Dobb's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 194 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.