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Trainer profile

Jake Thomas Coulson

279 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 63 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–279
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=279
29 (10%)
Placed
0.71
Fair A/E
n=279 · 0.61 incl. margin
−91.00
£1 level stake
n=279 at SP · −32.6%
£101k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.71). New recruits from other yards win at 8% first time out (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 279 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Tabitha Worsley: 1.9% from 53 New recruits: 7.5% Claiming riders: 3.9%
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 7.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.73). Tabitha Worsley rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.9%, A/E 0.96). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (7.1%, n=56). The market has also underrated the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.22 across 90 runners (5.6% strike, +39.50 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.78 across 57 runners (5.3% strike, −14.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.2%−1.7
n=85 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −70.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.5%+4.6
n=40 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +87.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%+1.0
n=154 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With new recruits 7.5% vs 2.9% · n=40
On Good to Soft going 7.1% vs 2.9% · n=56
Off a 15-30-day break 5.6% vs 2.9% · n=90
At Uttoxeter 0% vs 2.9% · n=42
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 2.9% · n=33
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.3% vs 2.9% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 147 5 3.4% −66.00
Chase 79 2 2.5% −53.00
Flat 32 1 3.1% +49.00
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 142 2 1.4% −44.00
Good to Soft 56 4 7.1% −16.00
Soft 28 1 3.6% −19.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 18 1 5.6% +23.00
Good to Firm 16 0 0% −16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 42 0 0% −42.00
Southwell 32 1 3.1% +9.00
Stratford 28 1 3.6% −13.00
Worcester 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Hexham 17 2 11.8% +9.00
Huntingdon 14 0 0% −14.00
Hereford 11 0 0% −11.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Leicester 8 0 0% −8.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Carlisle 8 0 0% −8.00
Fakenham 8 1 12.5% −5.50
Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00
Ludlow 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 152 4 2.6% −39.50
Class 4 102 4 3.9% −26.50
Class 6 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.77 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.70 −3.50
4th–6th fav 88 4 4.5% 0.76 −30.00
7th+ in betting 177 2 1.1% 0.61 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
62.8% completed · 226 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 79 62% 2 1 27 0 0
Hurdle 147 63.3% 4 6 44 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gibberwell (IRE)from Brian Jordan 33 2 7 13 Apr 26
Berliet Express (IRE)from P J Rothwell 10 0 0 26 Mar 25
Collingham (GER)from Archie Watson 9 0 0 15 Aug 26
Snitterfield (IRE)from Olly Murphy 9 0 0 17 Oct 25
Conniegetaway (IRE) 9 0 2 11 Sep 24
Miz Klimt (IRE) 8 0 0 27 Aug 25
Gladys Eva Jane (GB)from Peter Bowen 8 0 0 6 Oct 24
Forever A Dove (IRE) 8 1 3 7 Sep 24
Barnay (GB)from Jennie Candlish 8 0 1 27 Jul 23
Kingson (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then Tony Forbes 8 1 1 8 Jun 23
Salley Gardens (IRE)from Olly Murphy 7 0 0 4 May 26
Habibi (IRE)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 7 0 0 20 Feb 25
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Olly Murphy (11) and Fergal O'Brien (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0481033400000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTabitha Worsley
19% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.96
RiderRWSR£1
Tabitha Worsley 53 1 1.9% −36.00
Max Kendrick 45 1 2.2% −42.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
15
Archived wins
£143k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 4 wins
Gibberwell (IRE) — Brocksbushes Handicap Chase Hexham · Mar 2025 · Class 5
£5,255
Gibberwell (IRE) — Download The N-E Bet App Today Handicap Chase Hexham · Apr 2023 · Class 5
£5,202
Coole Well (IRE) — Country Food Trust Claiming Hurdle Fakenham · Mar 2022 · Class 4
£4,520
Notable horses
Gibberwell (IRE) Chapati (FR) Falberto (FR) Rob Royal (FR) Forever A Dove (IRE) Kingson (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,921 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.
Shantou (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,821 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 3,475 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12% of 2,275 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Samum (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,178 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 308. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.3% from 109.
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.8% of 516 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 381 · newest first

The latest 50 of 381 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2014 to 22 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Aug 26 Chester Midnight Rumble (GB)J: Luke Catton Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 40/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Collingham (GER)J: Philip Armson Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 13/2
31 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Ticktyboo (GB)J: Alex Jary QuinnBet Extra Place Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 100/1
24 Jul 26 York Midnight Rumble (GB)J: Rob Hornby Elevator Company Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 28/1
24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Collingham (GER)J: Philip Armson Craig Reid Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 4th 66/1
16 Jul 26 Worcester Prince Imperial (USA)J: Philip Armson Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1
27 Jun 26 Chester Midnight Rumble (GB)J: Sean Levey Roxy Ball Room Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee Collingham (GER)J: Philip Armson Tom Jones Live At Chester Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1
06 Jun 26 Doncaster Ticktyboo (GB)J: Alex Jary Northwick Group HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 50/1
30 May 26 Chester Midnight Rumble (GB)J: Joe Leavy Louise Keegan Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 33/1
25 May 26 Huntingdon Crazy About Her (IRE)J: Philip Armson Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 50/1
22 May 26 Worcester Prince Imperial (USA)J: Beau Morgan Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran PU 100/1
19 May 26 Newcastle (AW) Ticktyboo (GB)J: Alex Jary Newcastle Tapeta Enabling Champions Since 2016 HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 80/1
15 May 26 Aintree Call Me Ken (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards 'Point To Point' Bumper NH Flat Race (Amateur Jockeys' Race) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 14 ran 6th 8/1
04 May 26 Warwick Salley Gardens (IRE)J: Philip Armson M&T Solicitors In Warwick Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 28/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Gibberwell (IRE)J: Theo Gillard Mick Walsh Open Ditch Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 7th 28/1
07 Apr 26 Exeter Upthereforthinking (IRE)J: Philip Armson Travel Incentive For British Buyers Novices' Selling HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 25/1
25 Mar 26 Hexham Gibberwell (IRE)J: Philip Armson BK Racing Hexham Marathon Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 32f · Soft · 11 ran PU 50/1
05 Mar 26 Haydock Prince Imperial (USA)J: Philip Armson Safer Gambling At CopyBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 150/1
03 Feb 26 Carlisle Gibberwell (IRE)J: Philip Armson Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jake Thomas Coulson's strike rate?
Jake Thomas Coulson has won 8 of 279 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jake Thomas Coulson do best at?
Southwell by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jake Thomas Coulson?
Tabitha Worsley, with 53 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is Jake Thomas Coulson's Fair A/E?
0.71, from 279 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).