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Trainer profile

Roger Fisher

279 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2011
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–279
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=279
68 (24%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=279 · 0.79 incl. margin
−83.92
£1 level stake
n=279 at SP · −30.1%
£138k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 279 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
The read

It is weakest at Catterick (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (12.8%, n=47) and in Class 5 (12%, n=75). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.2% over 46 runners, 5pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Trailfinders Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2005, £16,240). The stable star of the record was Rare Coincidence (GB) — 15 wins from 113 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−5.5
n=59 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
40%+32.8
n=5 · A/E 6.70 · £1 +40.33
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +1.58
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%−0.1
n=56 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −21.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 12.8% vs 7.2% · n=47
In Class 5 12% vs 7.2% · n=75
Off a 61-180-day break 2.2% vs 7.2% · n=46
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.8% vs 7.2% · n=36
With Chris Catlin 2.9% vs 7.2% · n=34
At Catterick 3.2% vs 7.2% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 212 16 7.5% −60.42
Hurdle 58 4 6.9% −14.50
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 100 6 6% −63.25
Good 64 5 7.8% −18.50
Good to Firm 59 3 5.1% +0.00
Good to Soft 29 4 13.8% +9.33
Soft 19 2 10.5% −3.50
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 74 5 6.8% −52.25
Catterick 31 1 3.2% −26.67
Musselburgh 21 2 9.5% −16.00
Cartmel 13 2 15.4% +13.00
Southwell (AW) 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Newcastle 11 1 9.1% +30.00
Redcar 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Ayr 10 2 20% +15.50
Lingfield (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Carlisle 10 2 20% +14.00
Sedgefield 8 0 0% −8.00
Hamilton 7 0 0% −7.00
Haydock 7 0 0% −7.00
Thirsk 6 0 0% −6.00
Kempton (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 94 6 6.4% −54.92
Class 5 75 9 12% +37.00
Class 4 66 5 7.6% −22.00
Class 3 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 6 27.3% 1.18 +1.08
2nd–3rd fav 31 4 12.9% 0.81 −14.00
4th–6th fav 89 5 5.6% 0.70 −39.00
7th+ in betting 137 5 3.6% 1.10 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rare Coincidence (GB)then Alan Berry 43 3 14 8 Apr 11
Stoic Leader (IRE) 33 1 5 18 Sep 10
Mystified (IRE)then Alan Berry 26 3 12 19 Apr 11
Beckermet (IRE)then Ruth Carr 24 0 7 14 May 10
Living It Large (FR)then Ed de Giles 20 4 7 26 Apr 11
Tukitinyasok (IRE)then Clive Mulhall 19 3 5 15 Apr 11
Muncaster Castle (IRE) 16 1 2 20 Apr 10
Cinaman (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 14 1 1 8 May 10
Aint She The Lady (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 12 0 3 8 May 10
Marieschi (USA)from Sir Henry Cecil 11 0 0 29 May 10
Highland Song (IRE) 10 0 4 9 Feb 09
Grizebeck (IRE)then Nicky Richards 9 4 7 21 Apr 08
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan Berry (3) and Tim Vaughan (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0631264141001190
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKeith Mercer
13% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Keith Mercer 35 2 5.7% −9.00
Chris Catlin 34 1 2.9% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
55
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£491k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 15 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Beckermet (IRE) — Trailfinders Stakes (Listed) Newbury · Jul 2005 · Listed
£16,240
Beckermet (IRE) — Guido's 40th Birthday Starlit Stakes (Listed) Goodwood · Sep 2007 · Listed
£15,898
Beckermet (IRE) — Countrywide Steel And Tubes Hopeful Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Aug 2007 · Listed
£15,331
Notable horses
Rare Coincidence (GB) Stoic Leader (IRE) Mystified (IRE) Living It Large (FR) Grizebeck (IRE) Beckermet (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Atraf (GB) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Raise A Grand (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 7.5% of 811 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 115.
Second Empire (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 10.1% of 644 runs since 2008 (55 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.4% from 172. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 134.
Fath (USA) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Bertolini (USA) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 852 · newest first

The latest 50 of 852 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 26 April 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Living It Large (FR)J: Tony Hamilton Great Offers At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 16/1
19 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Mystified (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Punchestown Live On ATR Virgin 534 HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 17/2
19 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Barra Raider (GB)J: James Sullivan Punchestown Live On ATR Virgin 534 HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 33/1
15 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Tukitinyasok (IRE)J: Tony Hamilton Pertemps People Development Group HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 16/1
15 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Fiftynotout (IRE)J: Barry McHugh PPDG 100,000 Lives Changed Forever Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 20/1
08 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Martin Lane freebets.co.uk Grand National Free Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 5/1
25 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Living It Large (FR)J: Tony Hamilton wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 8/1
25 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Roose Blox (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 66/1
17 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Tukitinyasok (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Cheltenham Festival Free Bets With Freebetting.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 6/1
17 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Roose Blox (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Free Betting With Freebetting Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 33/1
10 Mar 11 Carlisle Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Callum Whillans carlisle-races.co.uk Racing Excellence 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals'/Amateurs')Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 25/1
04 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Paul Hanagan atrcasinoclub.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 7/2F
16 Feb 11 Lingfield (AW) Tukitinyasok (IRE)J: Neil Callan Download The Blue Square iPhone App HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 15/2
16 Feb 11 Lingfield (AW) Mystified (IRE)J: Neil Callan Crowhurst HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 14/1
21 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Tukitinyasok (IRE)J: Martin Lane Play Free Bingo At bluesq.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 10/1
21 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Martin Lane Felbridge HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
14 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Barra Raider (GB)J: Tom Eaves Play Free Bingo At bluesq.com HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 12/1
14 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Mystified (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 7/1
13 Nov 10 Wetherby Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Alexander Voy Dransfields CIU Charity Raceday Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 12/1
04 Nov 10 Haydock Rare Coincidence (GB)J: Alexander Voy Taylormade Betting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Fisher's strike rate?
Roger Fisher has won 20 of 279 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Fisher do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 74 runners (6.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Roger Fisher's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 279 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).